Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Sunday, August 23 · 04:21 AM ET

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☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ sits at 1st overall with 105.5 roto points, up half a point and a commanding 19.5 ahead of #2 — your only real threats are category-level, not team-level.

⚾ Yesterday was a monster day across the roster: Randy Arozarena went 3-for-4 with 2 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R, and a walk, Kyle Schwarber added 2-for-3 with a HR, 2 RBI, and 2 R, and Kaelen Culpepper chipped in a HR and RBI in his 1-for-4 — three bats, five home runs combined. On the bases, Zach Neto went 3-for-5 with 2 R and a stolen base, a timely reminder that SB is your most actionable category gap (just 4 steals behind THAR for a roto point). On the mound, Dylan Cease was filthy — 6.2 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 8 K, W — Eury Perez picked up a win with 5 IP, 4 K, 1 ER, and Louis Varland slammed the door with a 2-K save in a clean inning.

📋 Category flags to watch: Wins is a dead heat with GoOs — Blake Snell is toeing the rubber tonight, so get him active. The Baltimore closer situation is worth a note: Andrew Kittredge [available FA] saw his role-security rating downgrade from blue to magenta, meaning the dashboard now reads his hold on the job as shakier — highest sim uplift among available arms if you're bullpen shopping.

🔭 Hector Rodriguez (RI 87) made his MLB debut and went 2-for-3 with a HR, RBI, and walk against Arizona — he's a free agent if you want a high-upside stash. Meanwhile Tommy White, dropped by Photogenic Nick Kurtz, is also now a FA; he carries a positive underlying skill delta worth noting. Early contact-heat signals on Coby Mayo (L7: 85/99 xwOBAcon, 0.642 xwOBAcon) and Justin Foscue (84/99, 0.541) are small-sample but worth bookmarking — neither is on the Heat Board yet.

📰 Around the league, Quinn Mathews was recalled to St. Louis and Christian Moore is back with the Angels — both available FAs worth a look for teams needing MI or SP depth. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been activated off the IL for Toronto, good news for DORN who owns him and has been sliding (-7.5 pts in 10 days, now #10). On the Dodgers' injury front, Andy Pages (owned by BLOB) lands on the IL with a fractured left hand — a meaningful blow to a roster that was climbing to #3.

ELIGIBILITYC. Carrigg SS 9/10K. Schwarber 1B 5/10

Your standing

1stof 12

105.5 roto pts +19.5 clear of 2nd

+0.5 pts vs last update

Top Gaps

SB (7.0) W (7.5)

categories below mid-pack

Score change since last update

W +0.5

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →

Δ to #1

876

947

🥇

254

277

🥇

RBI

822

837

🥇

123

128

132

178

+50

AVG

.254

.255

.256

.257

+0.002

1103

1124

1204

+80

+12

+11

ERA

3.42

3.22

🥇

WHIP

1.17

1.11

🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-08-22)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

✅ Activated off the IL: Jordan Lawlar (SS · 2026-08-17) — rehab done.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: James Wood (IL10), Joe Ryan (IL15), Felix Bautista (IL60), Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

Team	Move
Miz-waukee’s Best	− Josue De Paula
Miz-waukee’s Best	− James Tibbs III
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ Felix Bautista \| − Justin Martinez
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ James Tibbs III \| − Ozzie Albies
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ Joey Ortiz \| − Tommy White
Phil Swift's Flex Seal	+ Jake Bennett \| − Cody Bradford
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ Josue De Paula \| − Lawrence Butler
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ Luis Castillo \| − Peter Lambert

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10k-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

97.9% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 99.5 roto pts

#	Team	Pts	FAAB	Win%	Proj Pts	Proj Rk
1	MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best	105.5	$0	97.9%	99.5	1.0
2	FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	86.0	$74	2.0%	87.9	2.1
3	KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz	77.0	$35	0.0%	78.5	3.6
4	GoOs I need Buck Showalter	74.5	$170	0.0%	71.5	5.0
5	PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal	74.0	$35	0.0%	79.2	3.4
6	THAR Phil Mickeltits	63.0	$176	0.0%	58.6	7.3
7	BLOB Camp MVP	63.0	$168	0.0%	68.2	5.7
8	KNIG Team Knighton	53.5	$147	0.0%	55.2	8.0
9	GARR The Boys of Summer	52.5	$155	0.0%	52.4	8.7
10	DORN Dorn and Associates LLC	45.0	$89	0.0%	43.4	10.7
11	RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine	44.5	$163	0.0%	39.4	11.6
12	FRST Worst2First	41.5	$154	0.0%	46.2	10.1

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 11.3SB 7.2AVG 8.0W 5.4SV 9.0K 10.6ERA 12.0WHIP 11.9

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

144 of 200 GS · should be 162 · 18 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively

056 left · ~11.2/wk to cap · proj 178200

⏳ BP's post is late — Verdict pill is running on our score + Pitcher List for now (BP joins the top-2 once it posts).

Your starters + top FA streamers

Pitcher	Matchup	Verdict	BP	MIZ	PL	Take
Blake Snell	vs PIT	AUTO START	—	8.9	#1	Full confidence, hot stretch continues.
Tyler Mahle	@ MIL	START	—	4.6	#6	On a roll; trusted despite imperfect command metrics.
Cal Quantrill	vs LAA	START⚠ opener	—	6.6	#11	Hot streak rooted in splitter/cutter gains; Angels matchup extends window.
Walker Buehler	vs MIN	SIT	—	5.3	#18	Two straight productive starts; kitchen-sink approach, no plus pitch.
Kyle Leahy	@ PHI	SITleash	—	4.2	#13	Club announced innings limits; downgraded from higher tier.
Mitch Bratt	vs CIN	SIT	—	5.1	#23	Desperation-only option; ceiling is five decent innings.
Janson Junk	vs WSH	SITleash	—	4.2	#21	Stuff underperforming; team likely hooks him early.
Matt Wilkinson	@ BOS	SITleash	—	4.4	#26	Role unclear; if given 80+ pitches, borderline Questionable-tier arm.
Cristian Javier	vs ATH	SIT	—	2.2	#15	Trending up each start; favorable Athletics matchup.
Jackson Kent	@ MIA	SIT	—	3.6	#22	Decent matchup but hasn't delivered a complete start yet.
Erick Fedde	vs. NYM	SITopener	—	—	#19	Harder cutter working; hopes for opener support vs. Mets.

Openers filtered: Brady Basso, Daniel Lynch IV, Sean Newcomb, Lake Bachar

Your staff: 3.22 ERA / 1.11 WHIP · GS 144/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 419 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 53% · BLOWUP 16% · agg ERA 4.10 · WHIP 1.28 · 4.6 K/start · 475 picks logged, 45 never started, 11 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 419 graded starts

GEM 91 GOOD 131 OK 130 BLOWUP 67

GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.

Cohort	n	GOOD+	BLOWUP	ERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START	19	68%	11%	3.30
Verdict · START	34	59%	9%	3.53
Verdict · DART	82	50%	15%	4.41
Verdict · SIT	138	51%	21%	4.43
MIZ ≥ 5.0	99	60%	13%	3.67
MIZ 3.5–4.9	95	54%	17%	4.51
MIZ < 3.5	68	41%	22%	4.87
All live board picks	273	53%	17%	4.23
Q1 read — the ladder has not separated: GOOD+ runs 68% · 59% · 50% · 51% down the rungs, and MIZ sorts: GOOD+ falls 60% · 54% · 41% from the top band down. Too early either way — the top rungs are still AUTO START n=19 over 23 days of live picks; this is the line to watch as rows land.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start	47	68%	13%	3.44
PL · Probably Start	46	67%	20%	3.64
PL · Questionable Start	99	52%	15%	4.48
PL · Do Not Start	195	50%	18%	4.18
BP · Auto	23	43%	13%	4.39
BP · Likely	66	47%	12%	3.86
All graded picks	419	53%	16%	4.10
Q2 read — against the 53% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (68% · 67%) and BP's top tiers sit under it (43% · 47%) — PL is earning the weight, BP is not.

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is earning its keep — 67% GOOD+ on n=9. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 53% for all live picks).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#	Hitter	Matchup	Why	Legs	Score
1	STARTLuis CampusanoC · 1% own	vs MIN · Ober RHP	.351 xwOBAL15: 0.914 OPS (29 PA)L14 contact +1.9 (.413 xwOBAcon, 16 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 1 of 2 eligible startersOber .333 allowed · soft SP0.944 OPS vs RHP (107 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	78
2	AUTO STARTJustin Foscue2B · 0% own	vs LAA · Kikuchi LHP	.324 xwOBAL15: 0.819 OPS (29 PA)L14 contact +1.1 (.394 xwOBAcon, 20 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 4 of 5 eligible startersKikuchi .340 allowed · soft SP0.989 OPS vs LHP (94 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	76
3	STARTTy France1B · 14% own	vs MIN · Ober RHP	.332 xwOBAL15: 0.907 OPS (55 PA)L14 contact -1.3 (.341 xwOBAcon, 35 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 1 of 3 eligible startersOber .333 allowed · soft SP0.884 OPS vs RHP (235 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	71
4	AUTO STARTDonovan Walton2B · 0% own	@ HOU · Javier RHP	.319 xwOBAL15: 0.905 OPS (38 PA)L14 contact -1.7 (.333 xwOBAcon, 24 BBE)usually bats 8th (×0.93)beats 5 of 6 eligible startersJavier .357 allowed · soft SP0.858 OPS vs RHP (138 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	68
5	STARTEduardo Valencia1B · 7% own	@ KC · IV LHP	.340 xwOBAL15: 0.948 OPS (26 PA)L14 contact -0.1 (.367 xwOBAcon, 15 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 2 of 4 eligible startersIV .295 allowed · elite SP1.166 OPS vs LHP (30 AB)KC plays hot	L15 bat SP L/R park	64
6	DEPTHJoc PedersonDH · 3% own	vs LAA · Kikuchi LHP	.346 xwOBAL15: 0.436 OPS (35 PA)L14 contact -3.3 (.297 xwOBAcon, 17 BBE)usually bats 1st (×1.12)beats 0 of 1 eligible startersKikuchi .340 allowed · soft SP	L15 bat SP L/R park	60
7	STARTKyle Manzardo1B · 2% own	@ COL · Sugano RHP	.306 xwOBAbeats 1 of 3 eligible startersSugano .395 allowed · soft SP0.698 OPS vs RHP (252 AB)COL plays hot	L15 bat SP L/R park	59
8	STARTLawrence ButlerRF · 15% own	@ HOU · Javier RHP	.314 xwOBAL15: 0.897 OPS (57 PA)L14 contact +1.4 (.401 xwOBAcon, 37 BBE)usually bats 5thfills OF needbeats 3 of 6 eligible startersJavier .357 allowed · soft SP0.667 OPS vs RHP (256 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	56
9	STARTKyle Karros3B · 3% own	vs CLE · Griffin LHP	.339 xwOBAL14 contact -0.2 (.366 xwOBAcon, 14 BBE)usually bats 5thbeats 1 of 3 eligible startersGriffin .315 allowed · avg SP0.797 OPS vs LHP (125 AB)COL plays hot	L15 bat SP L/R park	55
10	DEPTHAustin HedgesC · 0% own	@ COL · Sugano RHP	.286 xwOBAusually bats 8th (×0.93)beats 0 of 2 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 54% of ABSugano .395 allowed · soft SP0.731 OPS vs RHP (89 AB)COL plays hot	L15 bat SP L/R park	55

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 55, worst Bryce Eldridge (26). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Miguel Vargas

1Luis Robert Jr.CF · NYM · 13.1%HEATER

28-BBE trusted heat board (82/99, 0.523 xwOBAcon); best RoS volume plus 6 SB aids only live category

Heat 82 · 28 BBE · ATC 120 PA · 4 HR · 6 SB · 0.233 · L7 0.231 · 1 HR · sim +0.5 pts

2Ryan Vilade

RF · TB · 0.3% · HEATER

84/99 heat, 0.581 xwOBAcon on 16 BBE, .471 last-7; +0.4 sim backs scorching contact quality

Heat 84 · 16 BBE · ATC 43 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.229 · L7 0.471 · 2 HR · sim +0.4 pts

3Rafael Flores Jr.

1B · Pit · 7.1% · BEST VALUE

5 HR and 10 RBI L14 with 81/99 heat (20 BBE); +0.4 sim despite tiny ATC PA projection

Heat 81 · 20 BBE · ATC 36 PA · 1 HR · 0 SB · 0.233 · L7 0.267 · 2 HR · sim +0.4 pts

4Mickey Gasper

C · Bos · 0.7% · UPSIDE

3 HR, 8 RBI last 7 days; ATC is stale—actual playing time clearly exceeds 12 PA projection

L7 flare 78 · ATC 12 PA · 0 HR · 0 SB · 0.225 · L7 0.308 · 3 HR · sim +0.4 pts

5Dylan Beavers

LF · Bal · 1.0% · HEATER

82/99 heat (16 BBE), 4 HR L14, +0.3 sim; everyday Baltimore role provides needed volume

Heat 82 · 16 BBE · ATC 101 PA · 3 HR · 3 SB · 0.237 · L7 0.2 · 3 HR · sim +0.3 pts

Passed on: Colt Keith has elite last-7 production (.500 BA, 78/99 heat) but only 24 BBE and minimal RBI/SB upside makes him redundant behind better-rounded options.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 15 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Hitter	MLB	Pos	Chg	AVG	xwOBA	HR	SB	RoS	Chu’s Take
18	Randy Arozarena	SEA	OF	-	.275	.344	19	20	123	Randy Arozarena is only hitting .238 in August, but his expected stats for this month suggest it should be closer to .280. I’m a little d…
19	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	DH	+2	.245	.364	38	3	129	When Kyle Schwarber is hot, he’s HOT. The Field of Dreams game was his second two-homer outing in his last five starts and facing the Twi…
39	Yandy Díaz	TB	1B	+10	.306	.358	19	3	123
40	Miguel Vargas	CHW	1B/3B	-10	.245	.388	29	12	113	Miguel Vargas continues to slump, and while there isn’t anything you should do about it from an add/drop perspective, it’s certainly frus…
53	Ozzie Albies	ATL	2B	-1	.252	.284	20	2	97
57	Zach Neto	LAA	SS	+4	.235	.299	21	18	108
62	Royce Lewis	MIN	1B/2B/3B	+8	.236	.321	13	12	103
63	Cole Carrigg	COL	OF	+2	.278	.326	5	7	67
72	Jac Caglianone	KC	1B/OF	+23	.276	.363	22	6	107	Jac Caglianone has improved the strikeout rate in a huge way, and the ground ball rate is below 50%. All systems are GO.
77	Dansby Swanson	CHC	SS	+2	.216	.307	18	17	100
84	Ty France	SD	1B	+1	.292	.332	18	1	106
101	Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	1B/OF	+5	.245	.328	19	2	—
102	Jacob Wilson	ATH	SS	+8	.266	.282	7	4	—
112	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	C	+UR	.242	.341	12	0	95
114	Dylan Crews	WSH	OF	+15	.210	.316	10	8	89
117	Ryan Jeffers	MIN	C	+15	.282	.357	10	1	117
120	Tim Tawa	ARI	1B/2B/3B/OF	+16	.245	.309	8	7	79
122	Andruw Monasterio	BOS	2B/SS	+15	.254	.303	6	4	90
126	Luis Rengifo	SD	2B/3B/OF	+17	.243	.308	4	6	86
139	Bryce Eldridge	SF	1B	-26	.248	.349	14	1	99	Bryce Eldridge is getting the ball in the air, but he’s not pulling it much and strikeouts have been an issue. He’s a solid hold in Dynas…
TS	Henry Bolte	Oak	OF	—	.264	.304	6	14	96	Henry Bolte (OF, ATH) — Playing every day but the results aren’t overly exciting (though playing a ton of lefties lately has helped).
TS	Jordan Lawlar	Ari	3B/OF	—	.283	.321	2	4	88	Jordan Lawlar (3B/OF, ARI) — Has a home run in back-to-back games on his rehab, but striking out a TON. Sounds like he’ll be back this we…
TS	Kaelen Culpepper	Min	SS	—	.286	.303	2	0	90	Kaelen Culpepper (SS, MIN) — Culpepper is off to a slow start and is sitting every third day or so, but can remain an upside stash if you…
TS	Walker Jenkins	Min	OF	—	—	—	—	—	91	Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Hitting extremely well in August (1.063 OPS), and the collapse of Larnach may give him a chance to break throu…
UR	James Wood	Wsh	OF	—	.265	.419	30	17	131	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/9–8/22 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

Ryan Vilade

RF · TB · 0.3% own · xwOBAcon .581 · EV 94.8 · Brl 12.5% · 16 BBE

▲ .101 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.263	11	37	24	3
L14	.364	2	2	5	0

Luis Robert Jr.

CF · NYM · 13.1% own · xwOBAcon .523 · EV 93.0 · Brl 21.4% · 28 BBE

▲ .045 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.222	9	22	22	2
L14	.267	3	7	4	0

Lars Nootbaar

LF · Ari · 2.5% own · xwOBAcon .443 · EV 92.6 · Brl 15.0% · 20 BBE

▼ .075 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.225	4	20	25	2
L14	.150	1	2	2	1

Dylan Beavers

LF · Bal · 1.0% own · xwOBAcon .481 · EV 94.1 · Brl 25.0% · 16 BBE

▼ .003 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.244	6	28	27	5
L14	.241	4	9	5	0

Rafael Flores Jr.

1B · Pit · 7.1% own · xwOBAcon .542 · EV 91.2 · Brl 25.0% · 20 BBE

▲ .065 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.268	6	13	10	0
L14	.333	5	10	8	0

Colt Keith

2B · Det · 5.3% own · xwOBAcon .402 · EV 93.3 · Brl 8.3% · 24 BBE

▲ .010 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.270	9	32	46	5
L14	.280	1	1	4	0

Tim Tawa

CF · Ari · 3.3% own · xwOBAcon .493 · EV 90.8 · Brl 14.3% · 35 BBE

▲ .017 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.245	8	32	25	7
L14	.262	1	4	3	4

Jose Siri

CF · LAA · 0.1% own · xwOBAcon .531 · EV 92.9 · Brl 22.2% · 18 BBE

▼ .036 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.250	7	23	27	5
L14	.214	1	4	5	3

Brett Baty

3B · NYM · 2.6% own · xwOBAcon .393 · EV 93.1 · Brl 20.0% · 15 BBE

▼ .036 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.218	8	40	44	5
L14	.182	1	6	3	0

Xander Bogaerts

SS · SD · 18.7% own · xwOBAcon .353 · EV 94.1 · Brl 13.8% · 29 BBE

▼ .058 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.219	11	46	49	16
L14	.161	2	5	3	0

Honorable mention · hottest L7 (8/16–8/22), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust

Coby Mayo

1B · Bal

.642 xwOBAcon

14 BBE · .235 L7

Justin Foscue

2B · Tex

.541 xwOBAcon

9 BBE · .400 L7

Esmerlyn Valdez

RF · Pit

.448 xwOBAcon

9 BBE · .125 L7

Patrick Bailey

C · Cle

.522 xwOBAcon

11 BBE · .308 L7

Mickey Gasper

C · Bos

.543 xwOBAcon

14 BBE · .308 L7

Andres Chaparro

1B · Wsh

.470 xwOBAcon

12 BBE · .333 L7

🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Sandy Alcantara

1Dylan SmithRP · SF · 0.6%BEST VALUE

Highest roto sim (+0.9), confirmed closer role, SV gap only 5 from losing rank 3.

Supp 41 · 9 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.97 · 1.33 · 4 SV · Closer · sim +0.9 pts

2Andrew Kittredge

RP · Bal · 1.7% · CATEGORY FIT

Second-best sim (+0.8), confirmed Bal closer, 81st-percentile suppression on valid 20-BBE sample.

Supp 81 · 20 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.87 · 1.21 · 3 SV · Closer · sim +0.8 pts

3Jonathan Loaisiga

RP · Ari · 0.2% · HEATER

99th-percentile suppression, confirmed closer role; sub-15-BBE but extreme signal warrants trust.

Supp 99 · 12 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 10 K · 3.81 · 1.29 · Closer · sim +0.7 pts

4Jared Jones

SP · Pit · 13.4% · BEST VALUE

Best SP roto sim (+0.2), 42nd-percentile suppression on 33 BBE, safe ERA/WHIP for ratio protection.

Supp 42 · 33 BBE · ATC 29.0 IP · 2 W · 31 K · 3.99 · 1.23 · sim +0.2 pts

5Max Scherzer

SP · Tor · 2.6% · UPSIDE

95th-percentile suppression on 31 BBE overrides weak ATC; elite contact suppression signals ratio safety.

Supp 95 · 31 BBE · ATC 26.0 IP · 1 W · 25 K · 4.77 · 1.27 · sim -0.1 pts

Passed on: Clay Holmes has an 88th-percentile suppression heater but his 1.33 WHIP projection risks MIZ's #1 WHIP lead for minimal roto sim gain (-0.0), making the ratio bleed unacceptable.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Pitcher	MLB	Chg	ERA	xERA	K/9	RoS	Pollack’s Take
1	Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	-	1.68	1.98	13.4	3.32	I’m kinda incredulous that it’s mid-August and he’s still doing it.
9	Dylan Cease	TOR	+1	2.37	2.68	13.0	3.45	Cease’s walk rate will continue to keep the WHIP higher than we like, but that strikeout rate is bonkers.
16	Blake Snell	LAD	+8	3.60	2.16	12.0	3.42	It’s #HotSnellSummer.
18	Eury Pérez	MIA	+7	3.17	3.67	9.7	3.87	Pérez is getting more done with his slider to RHB, and I’m happy the fastballs find success, even if they need a touch more polish.
26	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	-3	3.46	3.67	6.7	4.19	He’s a QS machine. It’s as simple as that.
28	Kyle Harrison	MIL	-6	2.84	3.14	11.2	4.12	Say what you want about the scoring change of his last start, he still pitched badly. All I want is for him to redeem himself tonight.
38	Jared Jones	PIT	+2	4.76	3.67	10.2	3.99	Jones had some rough patches against the Red Sox, but was able to wriggle out of jams. I still question if this is too high a rank above …
39	Dustin May	MIL	+6	4.57	4.20	8.6	4.09	May isn’t getting the whiffs we want to see from his sweeper (yet), and is still a reliable arm for a winning team.
40	Walbert Ureña	LAA	+2	2.80	3.31	8.7	4.54	Ureña rarely lets us down. He’s really doing José a service.
41	Peter Lambert	HOU	-	3.68	3.44	8.8	4.58	It’s the tier of fantastic pickups and Lambert has produced so regularly for managers all year.
44	Jacob Lopez	ATH	+16	4.98	3.36	8.6	4.63	He’s doing what he did last summer. It’s AWESOME.
46	Joey Cantillo	CLE	-3	3.73	3.88	9.9	4.05	The velocity and curveball are there. It’s what you want.
51	Jackson Jobe	DET	-4	4.50	6.33	7.1	4.71	Jobe looked great, then looked blegh. The velocity was still there in his second start, though, with a flatter HAVAA than I receall befor…
53	Nick Lodolo	CIN	+5	5.04	6.49	7.1	4.24	We’ve seen two starts of Lodolo since returning from the IL and I was impressed by his changeup feel recently. Not the rest of his approa…
56	Sean Manaea	NYM	+3	4.31	4.81	9.0	4.26	Manaea’s last outing wasn’t as pretty as the others, but his four-seamer is still the pitch we want it to be.
57	Tyler Mahle	ATL	+11	4.53	4.17	8.6	4.10	Mahle is cooking right now. His command across his last few starts has been as good as anyone you’ll find in the majors.

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

🚨 Closer Tier Changes (vs. yesterday)

COLOR SHIFT Baltimore Orioles: Andrew Kittredge → Andrew Kittredge (blue → magenta) FA — ADD
COLOR SHIFT Chicago White Sox: Grant Taylor → Grant Taylor (magenta → blue) rostered
COLOR SHIFT Los Angeles Angels: Ben Joyce → Ben Joyce (magenta → ) rostered
COLOR SHIFT Milwaukee Brewers: Trevor Megill → Trevor Megill (magenta → ) rostered
COLOR SHIFT New York Mets: Kodai Senga → Kodai Senga ( → magenta) rostered
COLOR SHIFT New York Yankees: David Bednar → David Bednar (magenta → ) rostered
COLOR SHIFT San Diego Padres: Mason Miller → Mason Miller ( → magenta) rostered
COLOR SHIFT Texas Rangers: Jacob Latz → Jacob Latz (magenta → ) rostered

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning

	Pitcher	Tm	Role	SV	SVHD	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K/9	Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—	Andrés Muñoz	Seattle Mariners	CL	23	23	47.3	4.37	1.20	3.29 ↓	14.3	5.0 · —
—	Louis Varland	Toronto Blue Jays	CL	29	34	66.3	1.22	0.98	2.24 ↑	11.1	5.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—	Dylan Smith	San Francisco Giants	CL	3	10	27.3	2.96	1.21	3.54	11.5	4.0 · 1%
	Andrew Kittredge b2b	Baltimore Orioles	CL	6	15	39.3	3.43	1.35	3.86	7.6	3.0 · 2%
	Jonathan Loáisiga	Arizona Diamondbacks	CL	1	9	51.3	2.63	1.07	3.12	6.3	1.0 · 0%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

45	Royce Lewis 3B · Min low TV (18) sim +0.17% win if cut	TV 18 Rd 13
17	Ryan Jeffers C · Min cold last 7d; UFDA — easy to drop sim +0.18% win if cut	TV 100 UFDA
12	Kyle Harrison SP · Mil mid TV (60); UFDA — easy to drop; BUT top-tier keeper sim cost ~0	TV 60 UFDA
10	Sandy Alcantara SP · Mia BUT solid keeper sim cost ~0	TV 72 Rd 14

Higher score = drop sooner. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

23 available — 1 yours

W. Jenkins YOURS

OF · MIN · AAA · 21 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

11·15·.313

J. Tibbs III

OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

27·7·.303

S. Thompson

OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

11·14·.294

F. Arias

SS · BOS · AAA · 20 · knocking on the door

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

23·5·.312

L. Montes

OF · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

37·6·.254

S. King

SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·14·.323

K. Alderman

OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·10·.266

R. Velazquez

1B/C · CLE · AA · 20 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

27·2·.293

M. Arroyo

SS · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

17·15·.279

E. Salas

C · SDP · AAA · 20 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

10·15·.297

Y. Morales

3B · WSN · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

23·5·.287

R. Ward

LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

20·7·.262

M. Anderson

2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

15·5·.302

B. Davidson

OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

25·18·.287

E. Arroyo

SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

15·14·.295

J. Made

SS · MIL · AA · 19 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

13·33·.272

C. Ingle

C · CLE · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·2·.292

H. Mendez

OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

11·4·.279

J. Long

1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

12·3·.280

C. Cannarella

OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

13·18·.331

Z. Hope

OF · DET · AA · 21 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

25·19·.275

P. Harber

3B · SFG · AAA · 24 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

'27

Szn

17·4·.291

D. Crisantes

2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

8·0·.291

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

26 available

A. Kelly

SP · PIT · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

70K·4.21

H. Smith

SP · CHW · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

August 1st

Szn

97K·4.06

E. Pecko

SP · HOU · AAA · 23 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

90K·4.59

M. Wilkinson

SP · SFG · AAA · 23 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

96K·3.33

C. Seymour

SP · SFG · AAA · 27 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

81K·4.04

R. Snelling

SP · MIA · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

46K·2.38

E. Rodríguez

SP · NYY · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

109K·2.91

J. Tong

SP · NYM · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

125K·4.75

C. Crow

SP · MIL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

89K·3.55

D. Davalillo

SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

90K·4.61

T. McDougal

SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

46K·4.08

R. Sloan

SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

111K·3.63

T. Johnson

SP · TBR · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

78K·2.81

J. Ritchie

SP · ATL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

114K·3.83

G. Wood

P · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

'26

Szn

117K·4.11

M. Forret

SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

110K·3.86

B. Garrett

SP · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

June 1st

Szn

94K·3.89

B. Mautz

SP · STL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

87K·3.72

C. Dana

SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

69K·6.18

M. Ullola

SP · HOU · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

93K·4.50

L. Perales

SP · WSN · AAA · 23 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

94K·3.72

J. Wenninger

SP · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

September 1st

Szn

104K·4.17

T. Bremner

SP · LAA · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

84K·4.26

B. Hopkins

SP · TBR · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

109K·5.48

T. Gibson

SP · BAL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

94K·5.15

K. Curtis

SP · PIT · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

108K·4.81

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 10 not a 2026 factor — Joseph Dzierwa · Liam Doyle · Anthony Eyanson · Jamie Arnold · Jurrangelo Cijntje · Nestor German · Jaxon Wiggins · Jonathan Santucci · Tyson Hardin · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
📈 BUY-LOW	Corey Seager SS · Tex · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.4σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.221 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.343	58%	129 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Jac Caglianone RF · comparable value (TV 52 vs target 51)
↑ mild buy	Yordan Alvarez OF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.0σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.322 / xBA 0.329 · xwOBA 0.459	100%	168 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buy	Cam Smith RF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.0σ buy-low · RF — fits a need · BA 0.218 / xBA 0.244 · xwOBA 0.326	8%	100 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Walker Jenkins CF · comparable value (TV 2 vs target 6)
↑ mild buy	Oneil Cruz CF · Pit · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.8σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.266 / xBA 0.256 · xwOBA 0.365	83%	107 wRC+	↑ 0.3%	Zach Neto SS · comparable value (TV 59 vs target 62)
↑ mild buy	JJ Wetherholt SS · StL · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.6σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.241 / xBA 0.252 · xwOBA 0.348	85%	109 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Zach Neto SS · comparable value (TV 59 vs target 64)
↑ mild buy	Elly De La Cruz SS · Cin · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.6σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.257 / xBA 0.266 · xwOBA 0.356	98%	113 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buy	Kazuma Okamoto 3B · Tor · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.6σ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.230 / xBA 0.218 · xwOBA 0.314	46%	106 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 24 vs target 28)
fair	Esteury Ruiz LF · Mia · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · LF — fits a need · BA 0.253 / xBA 0.203 · xwOBA 0.305	2%	90 wRC+	↓ 0.7%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fair	Max Clark CF · Det · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.260 / xBA 0.271 · xwOBA 0.301	20%	98 wRC+	↓ 1.0%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fair	Connor Norby 3B · Col · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.212 / xBA 0.196 · xwOBA 0.290	1%	86 wRC+	↓ 0.7%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)

Pitchers

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
📈 BUY-LOW	Kodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins +1.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.67 vs xERA 4.91	11%	3.96 ERA	↑ 0.5%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 15)
↑ mild buy	Freddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO +0.8σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.33 vs xERA 4.11	69%	4.01 ERA	↓ 0.4%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 42)
↑ mild buy	Landen Roupp SP · SF · FRST · prestonc51684 +0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.34 vs xERA 3.75	21%	3.98 ERA	≈ 0.1%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 19)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

Side	Sent	At deal	Now	Trend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Andy Pages	A- +7	A+ +44	▲ up
Camp MVP	Pete Crow-Armstrong	C -7	F -44	▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team Knighton	Matthew Boyd	F -22	F -22
Camp MVP	Kenley Jansen	A+ +22	A+ +22
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s Best	Charlie Condon, Payton Tolle	A+ +50	A+ +35	▼ down
Worst2First	Dylan Cease	F -50	F -35	▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Travis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLean	A+ +144	A+ +106	▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC	Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David Bednar	F -144	F -106	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s Best	Samuel Basallo, Kade Anderson	A- +8	A+ +16	▲ up
Ramirez Against the Machine	Blake Snell	C -8	F -16	▼ down
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Jo Adell, Jacob deGrom	F -49	F -50
Team Knighton	Trea Turner	A+ +49	A+ +50
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the Machine	Sandy Alcantara	F -42	F -68	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best	Josh Jung	A+ +42	A+ +68	▲ up
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck Showalter	Nasim Nunez	A+ +28	B +0	▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Justin Wrobleski	F -28	B -0	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s Best	Chandler Simpson	A +10	A- +7	▼ down
The Boys of Summer	$30 FAAB	D -10	C -7	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s Best	Kenley Jansen	—	A- +7
Camp MVP	$30 FAAB	A- +3	C -7	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s Best	Nathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB	—	F -15
Ramirez Against the Machine	Jac Caglianone	A+ +60	A+ +15	▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

Verdict	Player	Own	Surface vs expected	Contact	2027 keeper
↓ SHOP	Yandy Diaz 1B · TB 0.68σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.305 / xBA 0.289 · xwOBA 0.358 — test the market, don't force it	92%	BA 0.305 / xBA 0.289 +.016 wOBA 0.367 / xwOBA 0.358 +.009	HH 47.7% · Brl/PA 5.3%	7th · +1 rd vs mkt
↓ SHOP	Henry Bolte RF · Oak 0.52σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.267 / xBA 0.240 · xwOBA 0.304 — test the market, don't force it	4%	BA 0.267 / xBA 0.240 +.027 wOBA 0.318 / xwOBA 0.304 +.014	HH 47.5% · Brl/PA 4.3%	25th · +2 rds vs mkt
HOLD — KEEPER PRICE	Louis Varland RP · Tor 0.49σ sell-high · RP · ERA 1.22 vs xERA 2.24 — only move for keeper-grade return	86%	ERA 1.22 / xERA 2.24 -1.02	Brl 4.5% allowed	22nd · +16 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Randy Arozarena Anderson solid in MLB debut; Arozarena walks it off for Mariners
Sun 08-23 06:02 AM
Rookie Kade Anderson had an up-and-down debut, allowing three runs in 5⅔ innings for the Mariners, who won 5-4 over the Cubs on Randy Arozarena's walk-off, two-run home run in the ninth.
Randy Arozarena Arozarena's walk-off homer gives Mariners 5-4 win over Cubs in Anderson’s MLB debut
Sun 08-23 03:24 AM
— Randy Arozarena hit a walk-off, two-run home run as the Seattle Mariners beat the Chicago Cubs 5-4 on Saturday night.
Kyle Schwarber Painter works 7 strong innings, Schwarber hits MLB-leading 38th HR as Phillies rout Cardinals 12-3
Sun 08-23 01:03 AM
— Rookie Andrew Painter pitched seven strong innings and Kyle Schwarber hit his MLB-leading 38th homer of the season as the Philadelphia Phillies extended their winning streak to eight games with a 12-3 rout of the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday night.
Eury Perez Hernández, Marsee homer in the Marlins' 4-2 win over the Nationals
Sat 08-22 11:14 PM
— Heriberto Hernández and Jakob Marsee hit solo homers, Eury Pérez pitched five innings and the Miami Marlins beat the Washington Nationals 4-2 on Saturday.
Dylan Cease Dylan Cease carries no-hitter into 7th inning as Blue Jays hang on for 4-3 win over Yankees
Sat 08-22 09:14 PM
— Dylan Cease carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning and Nathan Lukes' homer in the eighth inning was the difference as the Toronto Blue Jays beat the New York Yankees 4-3 on Saturday.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

Player	Pos	MLB	BA	xBA	wOBA	xwOBA	Brl%	Own%	Signal
James Wood IL10	LF	Wsh	0.265	0.275	0.395	0.419	100.0	99.1	📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas	3B	ChW	0.245	0.266	0.364	0.388	93.0	94.8	📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle Schwarber	DH	Phi	0.245	0.236	0.377	0.364	98.0	99.5	📈 BUY-LOW
Bryce Eldridge	1B	SF	0.248	0.248	0.341	0.349	78.0	8.4	↑ mild buy
Jac Caglianone	RF	KC	0.276	0.282	0.353	0.363	92.0	62.9	↑ mild buy
Zach Neto	SS	LAA	0.235	0.203	0.322	0.299	76.0	57.6	fair
Randy Arozarena	LF	Sea	0.275	0.261	0.358	0.344	53.0	93.2	fair
Yandy Diaz	1B	TB	0.306	0.289	0.367	0.358	43.0	92.5	↓ mild fade
Cole Carrigg	CF	Col	0.278	0.260	0.360	0.326	nan	16.6	fair
Walker Jenkins	CF	Min	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	Min	0.282	0.253	0.379	0.357	nan	42.6	fair
Henry Bolte	RF	Oak	0.264	0.240	0.318	0.304	42.0	4.1	↓ mild fade
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	Min	0.286	0.251	0.330	0.303	nan	2.9	fair
Royce Lewis	3B	Min	0.236	0.245	0.317	0.321	76.0	21.2	↑ mild buy
Jordan Lawlar	3B	Ari	0.283	0.261	0.351	0.321	nan	3.1	fair

Pitchers

Pitcher	Pos	MLB	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K-BB%	xwOBA-a	Brl%-a	Own%	Signal
Blake Snell	SP	LAD	15.0	3.60	1.13	2.16	22.2	0.229	0.0	86.5	📈 BUY-LOW
Andres Munoz	RP	Sea	47.3	4.37	1.20	3.29	28.6	0.282	9.5	80.2	↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan IL15	SP	Min	125.7	4.08	1.15	3.49	21.2	0.290	10.5	90.4	fair
Jacob Misiorowski	SP	Mil	145.0	1.68	0.76	1.98	33.3	0.219	3.8	99.5	fair
Dylan Cease	SP	Tor	144.3	2.37	1.06	2.68	25.0	0.255	4.8	99.3	fair
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Mia	176.7	3.46	1.18	3.67	11.5	0.297	5.3	90.8	fair
Kyle Harrison	SP	Mil	98.3	2.84	1.11	3.14	23.9	0.276	6.8	74.9	fair
Eury Perez	SP	Mia	127.7	3.17	1.11	3.67	16.5	0.297	9.2	83.0	fair
Louis Varland	RP	Tor	66.3	1.22	0.98	2.24	24.8	0.233	4.5	85.8	↓ mild fade
Felix Bautista IL60	RP	Bal	0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	—

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict	Notes
1.0	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	21st	#1 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51	UFDA-G FV 55
2.0	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	25th	#2 (+22.5)	#2 (+18.5)	S · $18	UFDA
3.5	Louis Varland	RP · 28yo	22nd	#4 (+18.2)	#3 (+17.0)	A · $17
4.0	Eury Perez	SP · 23yo	20th	#3 (+18.5)	#5 (+15.2)	A · $15	UFDA-G
6.0	Kyle Harrison	SP · 24yo	25th	#5 (+16.2)	#7 (+13.3)	A · $13	UFDA
6.0	Bryce Eldridge	1B · 20yo	25th	#6 (+15.9)	#6 (+13.7)	A · $14	UFDA FV 55
6.0	Zach Neto	SS · 25yo	10th	#8 (+13.3)	#4 (+16.1)	A · $16
7.5	Jac Caglianone	RF · 22yo	21st	#7 (+15.5)	#8 (+11.8)	A · $12	UFDA-G FV 55

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

Player	Pos · Age	Cost	Peter (if elig.)	Claude (if elig.)
Walker Jenkins	CF · 20yo	25th	#16 (-2.0)	#14 (+1.4)

Updated Sun Aug 23 · 4:22 AM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	Team	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict
2.0	Jesus Luzardo	SP · 28yo	KNIG	21st	#1 (+28.7)	#3 (+42.1)	S · $42
2.0	Jordan Walker	RF · 24yo	GARR	25th	#2 (+28.5)	#2 (+47.4)	S · $47
2.5	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	MIZ	21st	#4 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51
4.0	Bryan Baker	RP · 31yo	DORN	25th	#3 (+25.5)	#5 (+38.7)	S · $39
5.5	Ivan Herrera	C · 26yo	RAGE	20th	#5 (+23.2)	#6 (+33.9)	S · $34
7.0	Dillon Dingler	C · 27yo	GARR	22nd	#7 (+22.8)	#7 (+27.1)	S · $27
7.5	Cam Schlittler	SP · 24yo	KRTZ	19th	— (+20.3)	#4 (+40.8)	S · $41
8.5	Gabriel Moreno	C · 26yo	FRAN	25th	#6 (+23.1)	— (+18.5)	S · $18
9.5	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	MIZ	25th	#8 (+22.5)	— (+18.5)	S · $18
9.5	Cristopher Sanchez	SP · 29yo	PEYT	9th	— (+17.5)	#8 (+26.9)	S · $27
10.0	Ben Rice	1B · 27yo	DORN	20th	#9 (+22.1)	— (+15.2)	A · $15
10.0	Nolan McLean	SP · 23yo	DORN	20th	— (+20.3)	#9 (+24.0)	S · $24
10.5	Brandon Marsh	CF · 28yo	THAR	25th	#10 (+21.8)	— (+19.8)	S · $20
10.5	Riley O'Brien	RP · 31yo	THAR	17th	— (+11.7)	#10 (+21.9)	S · $22

Updated Sun Aug 23 · 4:22 AM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

Team	K1	K2	K3	K4	K5	K6	Cupboard
1MIZ	MisiorowskiR21	VargasR25	VarlandR22	PerezR20	HarrisonR25	EldridgeR25	100
2GARR	WalkerR25	DinglerR22	MessickR18	HancockR25	GrayR7	CanzoneR25	93
3DORN	BakerR25	RiceR20	McLeanR20	PerdomoR21	BazzanaR25	WarrenR25	88
4FRAN	MorenoR25	LatzR25	McCarthyR25	ContrerasR11	CavalliR21	BradishR21	84
5KNIG	LuzardoR21	AbreuR15	deGromR13	MartinezR25	JensenR20	RodriguezR25	80
6KRTZ	BengeR25	SchlittlerR19	BurkeR25	StewartR10	McGonigleR17	IIR5	78
7THAR	MarshR25	O'BrienR17	RasmussenR8	BauersR25	WilliamsR11	GonzalesR25	70
8RAGE	HerreraR20	EwingR25	CamineroR5	LeeR21	ImanagaR9	BasalloR19	69
9GoOs	GriffinR25	BradleyR25	BaldwinR14	BurlesonR9	ReynoldsR10	RafaelaR8	67
10BLOB	SorianoR25	LopezR20	ScottR25	LileR15	ClemensR25	SaleR1	65
11PEYT ▼ thin	SanchezR9	WeathersR18	WooR8	HendersonR25	ArenadoR25	SmithR19	60
12FRST ▼ thin	TolleR25	WheelerR8	RouppR25	RumfieldR25	BuxtonR7	SkubalR1	55

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 0h · BP 17h · PL 4d · HL 8d · PSS 0h · BR 0h · FG 15h · proj 15h · closer 0h · oyster 17h · AAA-sc 6h · cookie ok