Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Sunday, September 13 · 01:05 PM ET

☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ sits at #1 with 105.0 roto points, a comfortable 16.0 ahead of #2 Phil Swift's Flex Seal — but two categories need your attention: AVG is razor-thin (THAR is 0.000 behind you), and you're just 1 SB short of PEYT for a free roto point.

⚾ Your guys delivered yesterday: Randy Arozarena went 2-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI vs. the Athletics, and James Wood added 1-4, 1R, 2 SB, 1 BB vs. the Angels — Wood's two stolen bags are exactly the kind of production that could close that SB gap on PEYT. Today, make sure Joe Ryan, Eury Perez, and Dylan Cease are active in your lineup.

🔭 The top FA name this morning is Michael Arroyo (MLB Pipeline #44, RI 90) — he went 3-for-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 BB @ the Athletics in MLB action yesterday and is available as a free agent. That's a legitimate prospect with real-deal skills getting immediate production at the big-league level. The waiver wire's other signal worth watching: Victor Mesa Jr. (TB LF, also FA) is flashing an 86/99 contact heat score over 16 BBEs with a .523 xwOBAcon and 3 HR / 2 SB production — the SB utility is particularly relevant given your AVG and SB category situations.

📰 Around the league, Kyle Bradish (owned by FRAN) hit the 15-day IL with lower abdominal discomfort, softening one competitor's rotation. Shea Langeliers (owned by THAR) is back off the IL for the Athletics — relevant since THAR is breathing down your neck in AVG. On the closer front, Rays RHP Bryan Baker hit 40 saves on the season with a 1.54 ERA in 58⅓ innings, cementing his status as one of the fantasy-relevant closers in the AL if he's not already locked up in your league.
ELIGIBILITYK. Schwarber 1B 8/10
Your standing
1stof 12
105.0 roto pts +16.0 clear of 2nd
no change vs last update
Top Gaps
W (7.0) SB (8.0)
categories below mid-pack

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →
Δ to #1
R
992
1069
🥇
HR
290
313
🥇
RBI
933
968
🥇
SB
147
152
153
207
+55
AVG
.255
.255
.256
.261
+0.005
K
1249
1259
1413
+154
W
71
72
76
87
+15
SV
71
83
86
98
+15
ERA
3.50
3.43
🥇
WHIP
1.17
1.15
🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-09-12)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

TeamMove
Miz-waukee’s Best+ Emmanuel Rodriguez | − Ralphy Velazquez
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums+ Emmet Sheehan | − Walbert Urena

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10,000-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

100.0% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 104.1 roto pts

#TeamPtsFAABWin%Proj PtsRangeProj Rk
1MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best105.0$0100.0%104.1102–1061.0
2PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal 89.0$250.0%88.885–922.1
3KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz84.0$160.0%84.982–882.9
4FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums79.5$310.0%80.878–843.9
5BLOB Camp MVP69.0$1680.0%68.967–715.0
6GoOs I need Buck Showalter63.5$1700.0%64.761–686.1
7THAR Phil Mickeltits60.0$1760.0%61.959–656.8
8KNIG Team Knighton57.5$1370.0%57.955–617.9
9GARR The Boys of Summer46.0$1550.0%47.044–509.2
10FRST Worst2First45.0$1540.0%44.742–4710.0
11DORN Dorn and Associates LLC 44.5$890.0%43.942–4610.4
12RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine37.0$1630.0%32.431–3412.0

10,000 sims · fixed seed · noise CV talent 0.12 / idio 0.06 / team-cat 0.08 · assumes ATC rest-of-season rates

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 12.0SB 8.1AVG 9.4W 7.0SV 9.0K 10.8ERA 12.0WHIP 11.9

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

165 of 200 GS · should be 185 · 20 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively
035 left · ~17.5/wk to cap · proj 179200

⏳ BP's post is late — Verdict pill is running on our score + Pitcher List for now (BP joins the top-2 once it posts).

Your starters + top FA streamers

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Joe Ryanvs CLEAUTO STARTrust—6.2#3Looked healthy and normal returning from IL.
Eury Perezvs LADSIT—2.6#20Three straight rough outings, now faces Dodgers.
Dylan Ceasevs BALSTART—6.9#8Velocity down two ticks; results declining with it.
Jacob Lopezvs SEASTART—6.0#11Mulligan earned but whiff rate is a genuine concern.
Andrew Painter@ ATLDART—4.2#12Velo still missing despite improved secondary stuff.
Christian Scott@ NYYDART—5.6#18Judge back makes lineup tougher; tempered confidence.
Michael McGreevyvs CWSSIT—2.9#14Adequate streamer against weak White Sox offense.
Robert Gasservs CINSIT—5.2#23Cutter intriguing but supporting arsenal lacks conviction.
Jackson Jobevs COLSIT—2.7#15Secondary pitches underperforming despite favorable matchup.
Bubba Chandler@ CHCSIT—4.6#25Cubs lineup far tougher than White Sox; avoid.
David Sandlin@ STLSITrust—4.8#27Back but raw; desperation-only streaming option.
Gabriel Hughes@ DETSIT—4.4#30One good Yankees start insufficient to justify streaming.
Grayson Rodriguez@ WSHSIT—1.4#26Just got shelled; LHB platoon edge insufficient to start.

Openers filtered: Riley Cornelio

Your staff: 3.43 ERA / 1.15 WHIP · GS 165/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

Tomorrow · top 5 FA · Mon 9/14 · BP not out yet, so pill = our score + Pitcher List

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Quinn Mathewsvs SFSTART—6.8#8Slider/fastball command underwhelming, but matchup still favorable.
Jonah Tongvs BALDART⚠ opener—5.3#11Vulcan changeup reliance makes outcome unpredictable.
Sean Burke@ CLEDART—4.7#10Must find curveball and cutter feel vs. LHB-heavy lineup.
Brandon Young@ NYMSIT—4.4#14Fastball intrigues, secondary stuff lacks.
Dean Kremervs NYYSIT—3.1—average NYY lineup, shaky recent form, short leash

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 340 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 44% · BLOWUP 19% · agg ERA 4.61 · WHIP 1.37 · 4.4 K/start · 376 picks logged, 20 never started, 16 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 340 graded starts

GEM 53 GOOD 95 OK 126 BLOWUP 66
GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.
CohortnGOOD+BLOWUPERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START2374%17%3.45
Verdict · START4953%12%4.39
Verdict · DART9037%20%5.14
Verdict · SIT17840%21%4.57
MIZ ≥ 5.010755%19%4.30
MIZ 3.5–4.914038%22%5.09
MIZ < 3.57641%16%4.32
All live board picks34044%19%4.61
Q1 read — the ladder has not separated: GOOD+ runs 74% · 53% · 37% · 40% down the rungs, and MIZ does not sort either: 55% · 38% · 41% from the top band down.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start2365%22%4.21
PL · Probably Start5056%14%4.03
PL · Questionable Start9647%21%4.60
PL · Do Not Start14138%22%4.88
BP · Auto650%0%3.45
BP · Likely2540%20%4.77
All graded picks34044%19%4.61
Q2 read — against the 44% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (65% · 56%) and BP's top tiers are too thin to call (50% · 40% on n=6 · n=25).

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is ahead so far — 67% GOOD+ on n=6. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 44% for all live picks).

Calibration — do our numbers mean anything? · full season, 2026-06-29→2026-09-12 · 1034 graded picks · MIZ on 491, BP on 230, Verdict on 515

The ladder above asks whether the tiers sort. This asks the harder question: is the number a probability — when the board says 7, do 70% of those starts come back GOOD+? Bins are equal-count and merge until every one clears n=15; the walk-forward rows are scored against a model that only ever saw earlier days.

Score binnmeanGOOD+95% CI
MIZ score → P(GOOD+) · our matchup score, 0–10 · live rows only · n=491
MIZ 0.5–3.31102.741%32%–50%
MIZ 3.4–4.0933.743%33%–53%
MIZ 4.1–4.81004.451%41%–61%
MIZ 4.9–5.6955.248%39%–58%
MIZ 5.7–8.9936.458%48%–68%
All MIZ-scored picks491—48%—
BP score → P(GOOD+) · RelieverRecon's published rating · includes git-backfilled rows · n=230
BP 4.6–6.6486.135%23%–50%
BP 6.7–7.3447.052%38%–66%
BP 7.4–7.7477.545%31%–59%
BP 7.8–8.4478.147%33%–61%
BP 8.5–10.0449.143%30%–58%
All BP-scored picks230—44%—
Verdict tier → P(GOOD+) · the consensus call itself · live rows only
AUTO START33—67%50%–80%
START69—57%45%–68%
DART139—45%37%–54%
SIT274—45%39%–50%
Out-of-samplenvaluevs
Walk-forward probability · logistic on MIZ, refit daily on earlier days only · from 2026-08-05 · 38 days
Brier — our probability4270.250lower is better
Brier — flat base rate to date4270.254we win by 0.004
Brier — verdict-tier history4270.254we win by 0.004
Log loss — our probability4270.693lower is better
ECE — our probability4270.0725 equal-count bins
ECE bins · predicted p vs what actually happened
said 32%–46%8542%off by 0%
said 46%–50%8638%off by 10%
said 50%–55%8641%off by 12%
said 55%–59%8554%off by 3%
said 60%–74%8554%off by 10%
Verdict — poor: ECE 0.072 over n=427 out-of-sample picks (≤0.03 well calibrated · ≤0.07 usable with caveats); edges the flat base rate on Brier (0.250 vs 0.254, a thin margin; log-loss ~coin-flip).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#HitterMatchupWhyLegsScore
1AUTO STARTJustin Foscue2B · 0% own
@ AZ · Rodriguez LHP
szn .331 xwOBAL15: 0.955 OPS (31 PA)L14 contact +5.5 (.492 xwOBAcon, 20 BBE)usually bats 3rd (×1.07)beats 5 of 5 eligible startersRodriguez .320 allowed · avg SP1.008 OPS vs LHP (127 AB)AZ plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
84
2AUTO STARTRandal GrichukRF · 0% own
@ STL · McGreevy RHP
szn .332 xwOBAL15: 1.079 OPS (30 PA)L14 contact +2.0 (.414 xwOBAcon, 18 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 36% of ABMcGreevy .352 allowed · soft SP0.692 OPS vs RHP (82 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
68
3AUTO STARTTy France1B · 14% own
@ SF · Webb RHP
szn .335 xwOBAL15: 1.011 OPS (47 PA)L14 contact +1.3 (.399 xwOBAcon, 30 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 2 of 3 eligible startersWebb .311 allowed · avg SP0.88 OPS vs RHP (274 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
67
4STARTRafael Flores Jr.1B · 2% own
@ CHC · Boyd LHP
szn .340 xwOBAL15: 0.779 OPS (41 PA)L14 contact +0.9 (.391 xwOBAcon, 28 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 2 of 4 eligible startersBoyd .331 allowed · soft SP0.83 OPS vs LHP (55 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
61
5STARTKyle Karros3B · 2% own
@ DET · Jobe RHP
szn .337 xwOBAL14 contact +2.2 (.418 xwOBAcon, 13 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 1 of 3 eligible startersJobe .342 allowed · soft SP0.759 OPS vs RHP (233 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
59
6DEPTHKyle TeelC · 4% own
@ STL · McGreevy RHP
szn .313 xwOBAL14 contact +5.2 (.485 xwOBAcon, 12 BBE)usually bats 9th (×0.90)beats 0 of 2 eligible startersMcGreevy .352 allowed · soft SP0.745 OPS vs RHP (62 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
58
7DEPTHLuis CampusanoC · 1% own
@ SF · Webb RHP
szn .343 xwOBAL15: 0.769 OPS (47 PA)L14 contact +2.6 (.428 xwOBAcon, 30 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 0 of 2 eligible startersWebb .311 allowed · avg SP0.869 OPS vs RHP (144 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
58
8AUTO STARTLars NootbaarLF · 2% own
vs TEX · Quantrill RHP
szn .348 xwOBAL15: 0.938 OPS (33 PA)L14 contact -0.4 (.361 xwOBAcon, 18 BBE)usually bats 1st (×1.12)fills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersQuantrill .305 allowed · avg SP0.76 OPS vs RHP (201 AB)AZ plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
56
9AUTO STARTJahmai JonesRF · 0% own
vs KC · Cameron LHP
szn .343 xwOBAusually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersCameron .307 allowed · avg SP0.787 OPS vs LHP (111 AB)BOS plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
55
10AUTO STARTAndrew BenintendiLF · 3% own
@ STL · McGreevy RHP
szn .311 xwOBAL15: 0.628 OPS (40 PA)L14 contact -1.9 (.327 xwOBAcon, 26 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)fills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersMcGreevy .352 allowed · soft SP0.748 OPS vs RHP (350 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
55

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 53, worst Jac Caglianone (9). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal we track considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Kyle Schwarber
86
1Victor Mesa Jr.LF · TB · 7.1%HEATER
16-BBE flare at 86 heat, .529/.523xwOBA corroborated by 3 HR/2 SB production; SB touches live need
L7 flare 86 · ATC 31 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.228 · L7 0.529 · 3 HR · sim +0.1 pts
2Leo Bernal
C · StL · 2.6% · BEST VALUE
37-BBE trusted heat sample, 80 heat, .434 xwOBAcon; 3 HR/13 RBI L14 production is real volume
Heat 80 · 37 BBE · ATC 30 PA · 1 HR · 0 SB · 0.239 · L7 0.28 · 2 HR · sim +0.1 pts
3Brett Baty
3B · NYM · 2.7% · UPSIDE
91 heat on 15 BBE needs corroboration but .444 BA/2 HR last 7 delivers it; RBI upside real
Heat 91 · 15 BBE · ATC 37 PA · 1 HR · 0 SB · 0.236 · L7 0.444 · 2 HR · sim +0.1 pts
4Cole Young
2B · Sea · 11.1% · CATEGORY FIT
Most PA of any candidate (49 ATC RoS), .4 BA L7, 1 SB touches live SB/AVG margins
L7 flare 72 · ATC 49 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.241 · L7 0.4 · 1 HR · sim +0.1 pts
5Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cle · 1.5% · FLOOR
26-BBE trusted heat, wRC+ 105 projection, everyday role; 2 HR last 7 adds power volume
Heat 72 · 26 BBE · ATC 31 PA · 1 HR · 0 SB · 0.250 · L7 0.143 · 2 HR · sim +0.1 pts
Passed on: Francisco Alvarez flashes elite 83-heat but only 15 BBE and .182 recent BA with falling PA projection make him too thin to trust over proven producers.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 16 yours · 10 FAs

RankHitterMLBPosChgAVGxwOBAHRSBRoSChu’s Take
16Kyle SchwarberPHIDH+3.236.363443123
18Randy ArozarenaSEAOF-.273.3462322127
21Miguel VargasCHW1B/3B+19.247.3803018115Miguel Vargas has returned to the levels we saw early this summer and that really revs my engine. He’s one of those players who has shown…
36Yandy DíazTB1B+3.301.351223122
46Zach NetoLAASS+11.240.3082519111Zach Neto has been a monster over the last nine games, with 17 hits, 18 combined runs and RBI (a seven RBI night helps), and seven extra-…
59Jac CaglianoneKC1B/OF+13.282.356236107Jac Caglianone still hits a lot of grounders, but not quite as many as before (the rolling 15-game rate is a hair below 50%) and the stri…
72Ty FranceSD1B+12.294.335201108
77Royce LewisMIN1B/2B/3B-15.231.312141496Royce Lewis is streaky. We just gotta deal with that.
85Cole CarriggCOLSS/OF-22.261.3147967The strikeouts have creeped up on Cole Carrigg , up to 32% over his last 11 games (which is, conveniently, exactly 50 plate appearances).…
106Luis Robert Jr.BALOF+UR.221.321112100
109Mickey GasperBOSC/1B+UR.265.37190104Mickey Gasper — Fantastic mustache, first of all. Second of all, the batted ball data suggests what’s happening of late is very real, tho…
115Kaelen CulpepperMINSS+UR.283.3043190Kaelen Culpepper — Culpepper puts a lot of balls in play and it’s working out so far. The BABIP Gods can be cruel, though. The 55 point g…
119Rafael Flores Jr.PITC/1B+UR.250.3408083
133Connor NorbyCOL1B/2B/3B+UR.231.3057890Connor Norby still has huge contact issues but the guy can hit the ball hard in the air and plays for Colorado so stream away.
135Henry BolteATHOF+UR.277.317102093Henry Bolte is leading off again and should get some games in Sacramento soon, if you need a streamer.
137Christian Encarnacion-StrandBAL1B/3B+UR.263.3478191
143Alejandro KirkTORC+UR.276.308101113
145Tyler StephensonCINC-33.248.33215094
146Ryan JeffersMINC-29.270.361141116
148Andruw MonasterioBOS2B/SS-26.241.2946489
149Dylan CrewsWSHOF-35.222.31111983
TSBryce EldridgeSF1B—.267.35416199Bryce Eldridge (1B, SFG) — Power prospects can often take a while to really shine.
TSCam SmithHouOF—.217.322201098Cam Smith (OF, HOU) — The roller coaster continues.
TSWalker JenkinsMinOF—.108.25911102Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Jenkins will get the call today after a white-hot month in the triple-A. He’s worth a scoop in most leagues, E…
UREmmanuel RodriguezMinOF——.812——101Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
URJames WoodWshOF—.266.4133021126Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/30–9/12 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

91
Brett Baty
3B · NYM · 2.7% own · xwOBAcon .541 · EV 96.1 · Brl 26.7% · 15 BBE
▲ .124 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2291050485
L14.35321030
83
Francisco Alvarez
C · NYM · 8.8% own · xwOBAcon .561 · EV 98.0 · Brl 13.3% · 15 BBE
▼ .038 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2301537320
L14.1922430
80
Leo Bernal
C · StL · 2.6% own · xwOBAcon .434 · EV 94.8 · Brl 8.1% · 37 BBE
▲ .000 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.31131380
L14.31131380
77
Justin Foscue
2B · Tex · 0.5% own · xwOBAcon .492 · EV 91.2 · Brl 15.0% · 20 BBE
▲ .065 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2681133220
L14.3332820
77
Jose Siri
CF · LAA · 0.1% own · xwOBAcon .435 · EV 93.6 · Brl 18.8% · 16 BBE
▼ .066 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.226826306
L14.1601320
74
Sean Murphy
C · Atl · 0.8% own · xwOBAcon .441 · EV 90.0 · Brl 15.8% · 19 BBE
▼ .003 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2103890
L14.2072550
73
Elias Diaz
C · Tex · 0.1% own · xwOBAcon .382 · EV 92.4 · Brl 19.0% · 21 BBE
▲ .105 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.240731190
L14.3451930
72
Mickey Gasper
C · Bos · 11.7% own · xwOBAcon .430 · EV 89.0 · Brl 17.2% · 29 BBE
▼ .049 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.265923250
L14.2164480
72
Nathaniel Lowe
1B · Cle · 1.5% own · xwOBAcon .467 · EV 90.5 · Brl 15.4% · 26 BBE
▼ .080 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2511758380
L14.1713950
71
Michael Massey
2B · KC · 0.9% own · xwOBAcon .468 · EV 91.2 · Brl 3.2% · 31 BBE
▲ .043 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2811145463
L14.3240101
Honorable mention · hottest L7 (9/6–9/12), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust
86
Victor Mesa Jr.
LF · TB
.523 xwOBAcon
16 BBE · .529 L7
78
Jared Young
1B · NYM
.397 xwOBAcon
16 BBE · .353 L7
75
Rafael Flores Jr.
1B · Pit
.438 xwOBAcon
15 BBE · .389 L7
75
Connor Norby
3B · Col
.590 xwOBAcon
10 BBE · .333 L7
74
Kyle Teel
C · ChW
.618 xwOBAcon
9 BBE · .313 L7
72
Cole Young
2B · Sea
.397 xwOBAcon
18 BBE · .400 L7
🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal we track considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine order (model offline) · sim drop basis: Andres Munoz
89
1Andrew SearsSP · Det · 0.3%ENGINE
engine order — -0.1 projected roto pts
Supp 89 · 31 BBE · ATC 5.0 IP · 0 W · 4 K · 4.36 · 1.36 · sim -0.1 pts
2Brady Basso
RP · Oak · 0.0% · ENGINE
engine order — -0.1 projected roto pts
Supp 80 · 32 BBE · ATC 6.0 IP · 0 W · 5 K · 4.13 · 1.31 · sim -0.1 pts
3Juan Morillo
RP · Ari · 3.1% · ENGINE
engine order — -0.1 projected roto pts
Supp 52 · 15 BBE · ATC 5.0 IP · 0 W · 5 K · 3.83 · 1.36 · 1 SV · Closer · sim -0.1 pts
4Andrew Kittredge
RP · Bal · 2.9% · ENGINE
engine order — -0.1 projected roto pts
Supp 39 · 13 BBE · ATC 5.0 IP · 0 W · 5 K · 3.80 · 1.20 · 1 SV · Closer · sim -0.1 pts
5Steven Cruz
RP · KC · 1.4% · ENGINE
engine order — -0.1 projected roto pts
Supp 90 · 11 BBE · ATC 5.0 IP · 0 W · 5 K · 4.24 · 1.31 · 1 SV · Closer · sim -0.1 pts

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

RankPitcherMLBChgERAxERAK/9RoSPollack’s Take
1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL-1.952.1013.23.40Like a base set Charizard, Misiorowski’s not gonna stop being dope.
9Blake SnellLAD+71.912.1012.23.31#HotSnellSummer is in full swing.
10Dylan CeaseTOR-12.402.7812.73.45Like a perfect burger without the condiments to hit all your macros, Cease gives you everything except for a stable WHIP due to his infla…
20Kyle HarrisonMIL+83.983.8510.94.19With a dominant outing, he muted our concerns, but Harrison’s still displaying decreased velocity and not commanding as well as he did in…
22Eury PérezMIA-43.944.109.73.91Pérez has the stuff to be an ace, but there’s polishing to do in the command and game plan departments to unlock his full potential.
29Sean BurkeCHW-43.583.829.84.43Burke’s hot streak has come to a brief pause, but he’s still doing everything he’s supposed to with elite four-seamers upstairs and suppo…
30Sandy AlcantaraMIA-43.783.916.44.17Baseball’s premier innings eater hasn’t ruined his appetite.
38Jacob LopezATH+64.783.518.44.55It’s the 2025 hot streak all over again. Enjoy the ride, ya’ll!
39Dustin MayMIL-4.494.258.74.18May got Singled Out in a disastrous performance, but his stuff is still dope, and his new situation is ideal. Higher win chance, great de…
40Walbert UreñaLAA-2.883.418.64.49Armed with upper-90s heaters and one of the best changeups in baseball, Ureña has hit few speed bumps. If that developing sweeper becomes…
43Andrew PainterPHI+UR5.714.557.94.71From off The List to inside the Top 50, Painter has stolen our hearts with an improved heater (97+ mph with 17-18″ iVB) and emphasis on r…
45Peter LambertHOU-43.713.698.74.61Lambert’s stumble last time was a product of being Singled Out . He’s been reliable all year, but we should be recognizing that Holly is …
46Jared JonesPIT-84.103.4310.53.97The stuff is top-tier, but he’s still shaking off the Tommy John surgery rust with his command and the tight leash the Pirates have on hi…
54Joey CantilloCLE-83.894.169.94.05Efficiency is a problem, but Cantillo is doing everything we want. More curveballs, faster fastballs, and supportive cutters. Throw more …
56Shane BieberTOR+144.375.977.14.05Bieber is back in business. His heater looked awesome in The Trop, and his offspeed pitches are being the CSW monsters they need to be to…
58Brandon PfaadtARI-3.773.856.14.67Despite what the line suggests, Pfaadt’s last start wasn’t an end to his Vargas Rule . It was a textbook Careful, Icarus with a three-run…

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning
PitcherTmRoleSVSVHDIPERAWHIPxERAK/9Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—Andrés MuñozSeattle MarinersCL272754.33.981.163.2114.15.0 · —
—Louis VarlandToronto Blue JaysCL333873.31.231.002.23 ↑11.25.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—Dylan SmithSan Francisco GiantsCL41134.33.151.403.8510.74.0 · 0%
—Steven Cruz
HLR
Kansas City RoyalsCL71255.74.041.244.029.53.5 · 1%
Andrew KittredgeBaltimore OriolesCL91845.73.741.403.997.53.0 · 3%
Ryan ZeferjahnChicago CubsCL61965.04.151.263.1912.33.0 · 1%
Juan MorilloArizona DiamondbacksCL32158.32.311.062.5010.31.0 · 3%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

45
Royce Lewis 3B · Min
low TV (17)
sim cost ~0
TV 17
Rd 13
28
Kyle Harrison SP · Mil
mid TV (43); cold last 7d; UFDA — easy to drop; BUT top-tier keeper
sim cost ~0
TV 43
UFDA
24
Sandy Alcantara SP · Mia
mid TV (58); BUT solid keeper
sim cost ~0
TV 58
Rd 14
14
Joe Ryan SP · Min
BUT high-pedigree (Rd 5)
sim cost ~0
TV 72
Rd 5
9
Blake Snell SP · LAD
BUT strong RoS (3.31 ERA)
sim cost ~0
TV 80
Rd 8

Higher score = drop sooner — top 5 by score, and only 8+ reaches the board, so the number has no ceiling and is only comparable within this list. The sim line is a roto-sim marginal (cut vs. keep on one shared set of draws), not a measured cost. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 24: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

19 available

S. Thompson
OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down
96
PSS
82
PFV
55
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
14·20·.308
J. Tibbs III
OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door
93
PSS
88
PFV
54
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
29·10·.294
B. Davidson
OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
84
PSS
86
PFV
42
ETA
September
Szn
28·19·.286
H. Mendez
OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
84
PSS
68
PFV
58
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
12·5·.281
M. Anderson
2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
83
PSS
69
PFV
52
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
17·5·.300
S. Walcott
3B/SS · TEX · AA · 23 · nearly ready
83
PSS
98
PFV
60
ETA
Sept
Szn
10·12·.329
Z. Hope
OF · DET · AA · 21 · nearly ready
82
PSS
94
PFV
60
ETA
Sept
Szn
29·26·.288
C. Ingle
C · CLE · ↩ sent down
81
PSS
78
PFV
48
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
20·2·.285
S. King
SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready
81
PSS
72
PFV
50
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
19·15·.306
R. Ward
LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down
80
PSS
79
PFV
51
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
21·8·.247
C. Cannarella
OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
80
PSS
76
PFV
50
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
15·21·.330
E. Arroyo
SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
80
PSS
70
PFV
49
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
15·14·.281
R. Clifford
1B · NYM · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
79
PSS
50
PFV
53
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
17·8·.177
J. Made
SS · MIL · AA · 19 · nearly ready
79
PSS
96
PFV
64
ETA
Sept
Szn
14·36·.270
J. Long
1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
78
PSS
67
PFV
52
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
16·3·.274
K. Alderman
OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · on the climb
77
PSS
68
PFV
49
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
18·10·.252
A. Miller
SS · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb
75
PSS
83
PFV
61
ETA
Sept
Szn
0·1·.333
D. Crisantes
2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb
68
PSS
26
PFV
58
ETA
Sept
Szn
9·0·.290
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 24: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

28 available

O. Murphy
SP · ATL · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
80
PSS
51
PFV
64
ETA
—
Szn
127K·3.63
D. Davalillo
SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
80
PSS
40
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
106K·4.62
J. Wenninger
SP · on the climb
76
PSS
33
PFV
66
ETA
September 1st
Szn
122K·4.21
M. Bratt
SP · ARI · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
76
PSS
71
PFV
68
ETA
—
Szn
84K·3.88
J. Ritchie
SP · ATL · ↩ sent down
75
PSS
42
PFV
59
ETA
—
Szn
142K·3.72
G. Wood
SP · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb
75
PSS
99
PFV
48
ETA
'26
Szn
139K·4.36
M. Forret
SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb
74
PSS
78
PFV
72
ETA
—
Szn
125K·3.89
T. Bremner
SP · LAA · on the climb
73
PSS
98
PFV
66
ETA
—
Szn
100K·4.33
E. Rodriguez
SP · NYY · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
72
PSS
66
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
123K·3.09
T. McDougal
SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down
70
PSS
40
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
50K·5.09
R. Ryan
SP · on the climb
69
PSS
84
PFV
64
ETA
September 1st
Szn
45K·4.23
B. Garrett
SP · ↩ sent down
69
PSS
76
PFV
62
ETA
June 1st
Szn
114K·3.76
C. Dana
SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb
67
PSS
33
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
85K·5.52
R. Sloan
SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb
63
PSS
99
PFV
64
ETA
—
Szn
128K·3.73
C. Crow
SP · MIL · ↩ sent down
63
PSS
49
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
104K·4.01
T. Gibson
SP · BAL · ↩ sent down
61
PSS
37
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
107K·5.26
L. Braun
SP · ATL · developing
49
PSS
37
PFV
54
ETA
—
Szn
112K·4.18
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 15 not a 2026 factor — Anthony Eyanson · Jackson Ferris · Liam Doyle · Tyson Hardin · Christian Zazueta · Jackson Wolf · Jurrangelo Cijntje · Jamie Arnold · Bryce Mayer · Jaxon Wiggins · Daniel Eagen · David Hagaman · Jonathan Santucci · Joseph Dzierwa · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWJuan Soto RF · NYM · GARR · jregarris
+1.2σ buy-low · RF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.275 / xBA 0.295 · xwOBA 0.417
100%158 wRC+≈ 0.0%Kyle Schwarber DH · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
📈 BUY-LOWHeriberto Hernandez LF · Mia · FRAN · francisw789
+1.4σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.225 / xBA 0.246 · xwOBA 0.353
10%99 wRC+≈ 0.0%Royce Lewis 3B + +$3 FAAB · comparable value (TV 17 vs target 23)
📈 BUY-LOWJJ Bleday CF · Cin · RAGE · glhoward40
+1.3σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.215 / xBA 0.240 · xwOBA 0.342
21%100 wRC+≈ 0.0%Cole Carrigg CF + Henry Bolte RF · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 26)
↑ mild buyTaylor Ward LF · Sea · GoOs · My Best Guys
+0.7σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.225 / xBA 0.241 · xwOBA 0.335
57%120 wRC+≈ 0.0%Sandy Alcantara SP · comparable value (TV 58 vs target 60)
↑ mild buyKyle Stowers LF · Mia · KNIG · TKHOO
+0.7σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.242 / xBA 0.229 · xwOBA 0.329
28%111 wRC+≈ 0.0%Cole Carrigg CF + Henry Bolte RF · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 27)
↑ mild buyIan Happ LF · ChC · FRAN · francisw789
+0.8σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.219 / xBA 0.206 · xwOBA 0.314
70%109 wRC+≈ 0.0%Bryce Eldridge 1B + +$3 FAAB · comparable value (TV 34 vs target 41)
↑ mild buyDominic Canzone RF · Sea · GARR · jregarris
+0.6σ buy-low · RF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.258 / xBA 0.268 · xwOBA 0.352
12%114 wRC+≈ 0.0%Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 34 vs target 34)
↑ mild buyJarren Duran LF · Bos · RAGE · glhoward40
+0.8σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.205 / xBA 0.234 · xwOBA 0.298
66%100 wRC+≈ 0.0%Sandy Alcantara SP · comparable value (TV 58 vs target 57)
📈 BUY-LOWMike Trout OF · LAA · KNIG · TKHOO
+1.3σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.243 / xBA 0.253 · xwOBA 0.376
90%126 wRC+≈ 0.0%Joe Ryan SP · comparable value (TV 72 vs target 76)
↑ mild buyHeliot Ramos LF · NYY · DORN · Lambertmt48
+0.6σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.242 / xBA 0.255 · xwOBA 0.327
10%104 wRC+≈ 0.0%Cole Carrigg CF · comparable value (TV 12 vs target 17)

Pitchers

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWKodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins
+1.1σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.14 vs xERA 5.10
11%3.88 ERA≈ 0.0%Cam Smith RF + +$4 FAAB · comparable value (TV 6 vs target 14)
↑ mild buyNick Pivetta SP · SD · GARR · jregarris
+0.7σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 3.43 vs xERA 2.42
69%3.88 ERA≈ 0.0%Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 43 vs target 48)
↑ mild buyEmmet Sheehan SP · LAD · FRAN · francisw789
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.08 vs xERA 3.91
49%4.01 ERA≈ 0.0%Cole Carrigg CF + Henry Bolte RF · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 27)
↑ mild buyBryce Miller SP · Sea · BLOB · crenshawh19
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.22 vs xERA 3.46
33%4.15 ERA≈ 0.0%Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 43 vs target 48)
↑ mild buyFreddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.82 vs xERA 3.93
82%4.03 ERA≈ 0.0%Sandy Alcantara SP · comparable value (TV 58 vs target 58)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

SideSentAt dealNowTrend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsAndy PagesA- +7A+ +45▲ up
Camp MVPPete Crow-ArmstrongC -7F -45▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team KnightonMatthew BoydF -22F -23
Camp MVPKenley JansenA+ +22A+ +23
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s BestCharlie Condon, Payton TolleA+ +50A+ +33▼ down
Worst2FirstDylan CeaseF -50F -33▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick KurtzTravis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLeanA+ +144A+ +106▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David BednarF -144F -106▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s BestSamuel Basallo, Kade AndersonA- +8A+ +32▲ up
Ramirez Against the MachineBlake SnellC -8F -32▼ down
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick KurtzJo Adell, Jacob deGromF -49F -63▼ down
Team KnightonTrea TurnerA+ +49A+ +63▲ up
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the MachineSandy AlcantaraF -42F -29▲ up
Miz-waukee’s BestJosh JungA+ +42A+ +29▼ down
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck ShowalterNasim NunezA+ +28A +14▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsJustin WrobleskiF -28D -14▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s BestChandler SimpsonA +10A- +7▼ down
The Boys of Summer$30 FAABD -10C -7▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s BestKenley Jansen—A- +7
Camp MVP$30 FAABA- +3C -7▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s BestNathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB—F -56
Ramirez Against the MachineJac CaglianoneA+ +60A+ +56▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. σ = his surface-stat z-score minus his Statcast-skill z-score, both against the league reference for his side — bigger σ = further ahead of the skill. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

VerdictPlayerOwnSurface vs expectedContact2027 keeper
↓ SHOPYandy Diaz 1B · TB
0.62σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.301 / xBA 0.285 · xwOBA 0.351 — test the market, don't force it
93%BA 0.301 / xBA 0.285 +.016
wOBA 0.360 / xwOBA 0.351 +.009		HH 48.2% · Brl/PA 5.5%7th · +1 rd vs mkt
↓ SHOPHenry Bolte RF · Oak
0.61σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.277 / xBA 0.248 · xwOBA 0.317 — test the market, don't force it
12%BA 0.277 / xBA 0.248 +.029
wOBA 0.340 / xwOBA 0.317 +.023		HH 47.8% · Brl/PA 4.6%25th · +5 rds vs mkt
↓ SHOPCole Carrigg CF · Col
0.50σ sell-high · CF · BA 0.262 / xBA 0.250 · xwOBA 0.314 — test the market, don't force it
12%BA 0.262 / xBA 0.250 +.012
wOBA 0.335 / xwOBA 0.314 +.021		HH 34.4% · Brl/PA 3.5%25th · +5 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

PlayerPosMLBBAxBAwOBAxwOBABrl%Own%Signal
James WoodLFWsh0.2660.2720.3920.413100.099.0📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle SchwarberDHPhi0.2360.2370.3700.36399.099.6📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas3BChW0.2470.2660.3590.38089.094.8📈 BUY-LOW
Walker JenkinsCFMin0.1080.1590.2360.259—4.4fair
Kaelen Culpepper DTDSSMin0.2830.2490.3350.304—5.3fair
Cam SmithRFHou0.2170.2410.3000.32275.07.3↑ mild buy
Royce Lewis3BMin0.2310.2410.3030.31272.013.2↑ mild buy
Bryce Eldridge1BSF0.2670.2570.3560.35472.014.0↑ mild buy
Ryan JeffersCMin0.2700.2570.3750.36173.041.3fair
Zach NetoSSLAA0.2400.2130.3310.30874.060.6fair
Jac CaglianoneRFKC0.2820.2800.3550.35690.046.4fair
Randy ArozarenaLFSea0.2730.2570.3670.34649.093.8fair
Cole CarriggCFCol0.2610.2500.3350.31426.012.1↓ mild fade
Henry BolteRFOak0.2770.2480.3400.31749.012.4↓ mild fade
Yandy Diaz1BTB0.3010.2850.3600.35147.092.7↓ mild fade
Emmanuel RodriguezCFMin0.2500.5180.5120.81250.00.6—

Pitchers

PitcherPosMLBIPERAWHIPxERAK-BB%xwOBA-aBrl%-aOwn%Signal
Blake SnellSPLAD37.71.911.092.1022.70.2251.290.5↑ mild buy
Andres MunozRPSea54.33.981.163.2127.40.2788.580.5↑ mild buy
Joe RyanSPMin129.74.101.143.5121.60.29010.590.4fair
Jacob MisiorowskiSPMil161.31.950.802.1031.70.2253.999.3fair
Kyle HarrisonSPMil110.73.981.313.8521.30.3038.652.2fair
Sandy AlcantaraSPMia200.03.781.223.9110.60.3055.682.3fair
Dylan CeaseSPTor161.32.401.042.7824.80.2595.299.3fair
Eury PerezSPMia139.33.941.244.1015.10.31210.270.3fair
Louis VarlandRPTor73.31.231.002.2324.30.2324.085.8fair

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

Top fantasy stories · last 24h.

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · Age2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdictNotes
1.0Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yo21st#1 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51UFDA-G FV 55
2.5Miguel Vargas3B · 26yo25th#2 (+23.4)#3 (+19.8)S · $20UFDA
2.5Louis VarlandRP · 28yo22nd#3 (+21.6)#2 (+27.1)S · $27
4.5Bryce Eldridge1B · 20yo25th#4 (+16.1)#5 (+14.4)A · $14UFDA FV 55
5.0Zach NetoSS · 25yo10th#6 (+13.8)#4 (+16.1)A · $16
5.5Henry BolteRF · 21yo25th#5 (+14.9)#6 (+14.4)A · $14UFDA FV 40
7.0Dylan CeaseSP · 30yo4th#7 (+11.9)#7 (+11.7)A · $12
8.0Eury PerezSP · 23yo20th#8 (+10.6)#8 (+8.5)B · $8UFDA-G

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

PlayerPos · AgeCostPeter (if elig.)Claude (if elig.)
Emmanuel RodriguezCF · 22yo25th#9 (+11.0)#8 (+9.7)

Updated Sun Sep 13 · 1:05 PM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · AgeTeam2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdict
1.5Jesus LuzardoSP · 28yoKNIG21st#1 (+29.1)#2 (+42.1)S · $42
2.0Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yoMIZ21st#3 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51
3.5Jordan WalkerRF · 24yoGARR25th#2 (+27.0)#5 (+38.7)S · $39
4.0Bryan BakerRP · 31yoDORN25th#4 (+24.1)#4 (+38.7)S · $39
6.5Ben Rice1B · 27yoDORN20th#6 (+23.3)#7 (+24.0)S · $24
7.0Louis VarlandRP · 28yoMIZ22nd#8 (+21.6)#6 (+27.1)S · $27
7.0Cam SchlittlerSP · 24yoKRTZ19th— (+19.6)#3 (+40.8)S · $41
7.5Miguel Vargas3B · 26yoMIZ25th#5 (+23.4)#10 (+19.8)S · $20
9.0Payton TolleSP · 22yoFRST25th#7 (+22.3)— (+18.5)S · $18
9.5Junior Caminero3B · 22yoRAGE5th— (+12.4)#8 (+23.3)S · $23
10.0Jose SorianoSP · 27yoBLOB25th#9 (+20.2)— (+17.1)A · $17
10.0Riley O'BrienRP · 31yoTHAR17th— (+12.3)#9 (+21.9)S · $22
10.5Logan HendersonSP · 23yoPEYT25th#10 (+20.0)— (+15.8)A · $16

Updated Sun Sep 13 · 1:05 PM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

TeamK1K2K3K4K5K6Cupboard
1MIZMisiorowskiR21VargasR25VarlandR22EldridgeR25NetoR10BolteR25100
2DORNBakerR25RiceR20McLeanR20PerdomoR21BazzanaR25LaraR2582
3KNIGLuzardoR21deGromR13MartinezR25JensenR20AbreuR15RodriguezR2571
4FRANLatzR25CavalliR21BurnsR5AntonacciR25McCarthyR25BradishR2164
5KRTZSchlittlerR19BengeR25McGonigleR17SanojaR25StewartR10MahleR2363
6GoOsGriffinR25BradleyR25GoodmanR21BurlesonR9WachaR25GomezR2561
7THARRasmussenR8O'BrienR17Jr.R16WilliamsR11KeaschallR21BauersR2561
8BLOBSorianoR25LopezR20ScottR25ClemensR25SaleR1SuarezR1256
9PEYTHendersonR25SanchezR9WooR8ClarkR22MayoR17WetherholtR1353
10GARRWalkerR25MessickR18CanzoneR25GrayR7DinglerR22MerrillR151
11FRST ▼ thinTolleR25WheelerR8RouppR25MuncyR18SkubalR1RumfieldR2546
12RAGE ▼ thinEwingR25CamineroR5JonesR25BasalloR19HerreraR20ImanagaR946

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 5h · BP 19d · PL 19d · HL 16d · PSS 9h · BR 0h · FG 1h · proj 2h · closer 0h · oyster 1h · AAA-sc 14h · cookie ok
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