The Miz — The Brandon League

Last updated Wednesday, May 06 · 06:29 AM ET

☕ Morning Briefing

Morning, Peter. You're sitting #1 of 12 with 98.0 pts (down 2.0 since yesterday).

💎 Alex Vesia was just dropped by The Mizuhara Maxbets (+0.9σ underlying) — now a free agent. See FA Hunt for the full ranking.

🔥 Yesterday: Samuel Basallo went off (4 RBI, 3 hits).

⚾ Eury Perez starts today — make sure they're active.
MIZ Standing
#1 / 12
98.0 roto points
-2.0 pts vs last update
Top Gaps
W (6.5) ERA (7.0) K (8.5)
categories below mid-pack
Score change since last update
K -1.5SV -0.5

🎯 Category Pressure

Your rank in each category vs. the league.

Rank →
Δ to #1
R
255
262
🥇
HR
70
81
81
🥇
RBI
234
240
257
+17
SB
46
49
51
+2
AVG
.252
.253
.253
.263
+0.010
K
287
302
302
306
354
+52
W
16
17
17
19
23
+6
SV
18
20
20
🥇
ERA
3.87
3.86
3.82
2.94
−0.91
WHIP
1.22
1.20
1.13
1.08
−0.13

📋 Top of Mind

Today's actionable signals, sorted by urgency.

  • 🔥Samuel Basallo went off: 3-4, 1R, 4RBI
  • Chandler Simpson: 2-4, 1R, 1SB
  • Zach Neto: 2-4, 1R, 1HR, 1RBI
  • Josh Jung: 3-5, 1R
  • 🆓Agustin Ramirez (56% owned) dropped by Worst2First — may hit waivers
  • 📉-2.0 roto points since last update (rank unchanged at #1)
  • 📈James Wood: extreme buy-low (+2.0σ) — HOLD, don't sell at cold price
  • 📉Ozzie Albies: extreme sell-high (-1.8σ) — explore trade market NOW
  • 📉Chandler Simpson: extreme sell-high (-2.3σ) — explore trade market NOW

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-05-05)

Last night's lines for every player on your roster.

Hitters

PlayerTmABHAVGRHRRBISBBB
Samuel BasalloBal43.75010400
Zach NetoLAA42.50011100
Chandler SimpsonTB42.50010010
Josh JungTex53.60010000
Yandy DiazTB41.25010100
Miguel VargasChW30.00010012
James WoodWsh41.25000100
Ozzie AlbiesAtl41.25010000
Gunnar HendersonBal51.20000000
Bryce EldridgeSF41.25000000
Kyle SchwarberPhi50.00000000
Randy ArozarenaSea40.00000000
Cam SmithHou30.00000000
Jac CaglianoneKC40.00000000

Pitchers

PlayerTmIPHERBBKERAWHIPWSV
Andres MunozSea111129.002.00
Louis VarlandTor0.200010.000.00

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

TeamMove
Dorn and Associates LLC − Jeremiah Estrada
The Mizuhara Maxbets+ Sean Burke | − Alex Vesia
The Mizuhara Maxbets+ Caleb Kilian | − Brad Keller
The Mizuhara Maxbets+ Carson Benge | − MJ Melendez
Dorn and Associates LLC + Jeff McNeil | − Matt Shaw
Phil Swift's Flex Seal + Jasson Dominguez | − Edouard Julien
Worst2First+ Ryan Jeffers | − Agustin Ramirez
The Miz+ Logan Henderson | − Connor Prielipp
The Miz+ Robby Snelling | − Cole Young
I need Buck Showalter+ Michael Wacha

🏆 League Standings

Roto points by category, league-wide.

#TeamPtsRHRRBISBAVGKWSVERAWHIP
1The Miz98.01211.51111108.56.511.579
2The Mizuhara Maxbets77.53468.58108.57.51012
3Hit the Damn Ball You Bums75.011109.543118.5981
4Camp MVP73.04248.5712121.51111
5Dorn and Associates LLC 72.065.5361221011.597
6Phil Swift's Flex Seal 68.01011.512763.541022
7Phil Mickeltits65.57321058.511568
8Team Knighton62.59755966.5456
9Ramirez Against the Machine50.058712152.51.535
10The Boys of Summer47.02982272.57.543
11I need Buck Showalter46.085.59.521111314
12Worst2First45.5111243.5561210

🎯 Free Agent Hunt

Best available free agents — ranked by underlying skill and recent heat.

Hitters

Top 5 anyone-new-and-gettable, ranked by season skill + last 7 days. The Add? chip on each row is the recommendation — BUY / MAYBE / PASS.

PlayerPosMLBxwOBAHot 7dAdd?Why?
J.P. CrawfordSEASON🔥 HOTSSSea0.3783 HR · 1.124 OPSPASSSS not a need; strong underlying; blistering 7d; soft platoon — occasional bench
Mark VientosSEASON🔥 HOT3BNYM0.3492 HR · 1.125 OPSADDModest 3B fit; strong underlying; blistering 7d; 16 PA — short-side platoon risk
Luke RaleySEASONRFSea0.385SKIPModest OF fit; elite underlying; strict platoon — sits vs same-handed SP
Gary SanchezSEASONCMil0.379PASSStrong underlying
Carson KellySEASONCChC0.351PASSStrong underlying

Sort = 0.6 × season skill + 0.4 × last-7d heat. Add? verdict per row: BUY (≥80) · MAYBE (65–79) · PASS (<65). Hot triggers (any one fires): 2+ HR · 8+ H · 2+ SB · .900+ OPS (min 9 PA).

Pitchers

Top 5 anyone-new-and-gettable, ranked by season skill + last 3 starts. The Add? chip on each row is the recommendation — BUY / MAYBE / PASS.

PitcherMLBIPxERAK-BB%Hot 3 startsAdd?Why?
Janson JunkSEASON🔥 HOTMia38.33.3012.3ERA ≤ 3.00 · WHIP ≤ 1.10 · 2+ WADDFills SP need; strong underlying; good last 3 starts; fits weak cats
Jesse ScholtensSEASON🔥 HOTTB22.74.1211.7WHIP ≤ 1.10PASSFills SP need; good last 3 starts
Bailey OberSEASON🔥 HOTMin38.03.8110.2ERA ≤ 3.00 · WHIP ≤ 1.10MAYBEFills SP need; strong underlying; fits weak cats
Luis SeverinoSEASON🔥 HOTOak43.34.479.7ERA ≤ 3.00 · 2+ WMAYBEFills SP need; good last 3 starts; fits weak cats
Tyler MahleSEASON🔥 HOTSF36.04.6810.1ERA ≤ 3.00 · WHIP ≤ 1.10 · 0 HRPASSFills SP need; good last 3 starts

Sort = 0.6 × season skill + 0.4 × last-3-start heat. Add? verdict per row: BUY (≥80) · MAYBE (65–79) · PASS (<65). Hot triggers (any fires): ERA ≤ 3.00 · WHIP ≤ 1.10 · K-BB% ≥ 25% · 0 HR · 2+ W.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings & Closer Chart

FA starters from Pitcher List's weekly board + closer-tier chart.

SPs on Pitcher List (fetched 2026-05-04) — 5 yours + top 10 FAs

RankPitcherMLBChgERAxERAK/9Badges
16Jacob MisiorowskiMIL+32.842.8914.0Ace Potential Strikeout Upside Injury Ri
33Kyle HarrisonMIL+222.123.3510.6Holly Strikeout Upside Injury Risk
39Eury PérezMIA-44.465.009.7Cherry Bomb Strikeout Upside
43Logan HendersonMIL+UR4.501.4512.4Holly
49Connor PrielippMIN+13.863.459.6Frizzle Strikeout Upside Stash Option Pl
54Payton TolleBOS-22.042.0311.7Frizzle Strikeout Upside Injury Risk Pla
55Ryne NelsonARI+66.615.778.0Toby Wins Bonus
62Griffin CanningSD+UR1.804.0912.6Frizzle
63Jake BennettBOS+UR1.8010.265.4Frizzle
67Tyler MahleSF-25.004.688.5Toby Quality Starts
72Christian ScottNYM+UR4.264.6812.8Frizzle
75Joey CantilloCLE-53.674.239.4Frizzle Strikeout Upside Playing Time Qu
77Brandon SproatMIL-136.755.278.4Frizzle Wins Bonus
78Justin WrobleskiLAD-51.254.233.8Vargas Rule Team Context Effect
81Luis Severino+24.154.478.9Hipster Strikeout Upside

Save Targets — from Closer Chart

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning

Yours on the chart:

  • Andrés Muñoz (Seattle Mariners · Closer (highest leverage))
    Rating 5.0 · Own —
    Capping his team’s rally and preserving a one-run lead, Jose A.
  • Louis Varland (Toronto Blue Jays · Closer (highest leverage)) · b2b MAGENTA
    Rating 4.0 · Own —
    Handed a two-run lead despite throwing a career-high 30 pitches as a reliever on Saturday, Louis Varland locked down his third save, allowing a lead-off single, inducing a fielder’s choice groundout, and consecutive strikeouts.
  • Tanner Scott (Los Angeles Dodgers · Closer (highest leverage)) · 1A BLUE
    Rating 3.0 · Own —
    Tossing a scoreless top of the ninth while allowing a one-out single by Jakob Marsee, Jake Eder collected his first win courtesy of a walk-off rally at the bottom of the frame. Edgardo Henriquez retired the side in the eighth.

Top 5 un-owned closers (by team rating):

  • Brad Keller (Philadelphia Phillies · Closer (highest leverage)) · 1A preferred BLUE
    Rating 3.5 · Own 5.0%
    Handed a four-run lead at the bottom of the tenth, Kyle Backhus allowed two hits and an unearned run, closing out a win over Atlanta. Brad Keller worked 1.1 scoreless frames and stranded an inherited runner in the eighth, resulting in his first win.
  • Enyel De Los Santos (Houston Astros · Closer (highest leverage)) BLUE
    Rating 3.0 · Own 1.1%
    Wrapping up his team’s win over the Yankees in a non-save capacity, things went a bit sideways for Enyel De Los Santos. Bryan King retired the side and recorded a strikeout at the top of the eighth.
  • Ryan Zeferjahn (Los Angeles Angels · Closer (highest leverage)) BLUE
    Rating 3.0 · Own 0.2%
    Getting in work during a lopsided loss, Jordan Romano allowed three hits, four earned runs, and a walk during two-thirds of the eighth. We will always have those first two weeks, but he has not recorded a save since April 6.
  • Ryan Walker (San Francisco Giants · Closer (highest leverage)) BLUE
    Rating 3.0 · Own 19.3%
    Summoned at the top of the eighth with a runner on and two outs, Erik Miller retired all four batters, one via strikeout, preserving a three-run lead while recording his second save this season.
  • Gus Varland (Washington Nationals · Closer (highest leverage)) BLUE
    Rating 3.0 · Own 2.0%
    Handed a two-run lead at the bottom of the tenth, Paxton Schultz converted his first career save, letting the “courtesy runner” score on a one-out RBI single, followed by consecutive strikeouts.

✂️ Cut List

Ranked by drop priority — combines current value, recent form, draft pedigree, and closer-chart role security. IL stashes excluded.

#PlayerPosTmTVPedigreeCut ScoreWhy?
1Bryce EldridgeDHSF0UFDA46low TV (0); cold last 7d; BUT top prospect (stash board)
2Chandler SimpsonOFTB30Rd 1129low TV (30); BUT SB specialist (12 SB on 138 AB)
3Cam SmithOFHou18Rd 2126low TV (18); BUT fresh-callup upside
4Samuel BasalloCBal31Rd 2323mid TV (31); BUT HR specialist (5 HR on 98 AB)
5Zach NetoSSLAA59Rd 1421mid TV (59); cold last 7d; BUT SB specialist (7 SB on 147 AB)

Cut score = (50 − TV/2) + recent-form penalty − pedigree shield − closer-chart shield. High pedigree (1st-3rd round) and named closers (BLUE on closer chart) are protected — but the protection drops if they're really struggling.

🌱 Stash List

Pitcher List's top prospects — roster them now while they're still cheap.

Hitters

Top prospect hitters (yours in green).

Source: The Stash List Week 6: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Top 10 Prospects (13 on the board — 1 yours)

  • #Pin · Walker Jenkins OF · MIN · 21yo · AAAETA 2026FA
    FV 50Hit 45 / 55 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 45 / 55 Spd 50 / 50
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)259023259.2560.785
    L7 (AAA)4157114.4671.396
    Last (5/3)121000.500
    🔥 Heating up L7 vs season: +0.211 AVG
  • #Pin · Emmanuel Rodriguez OF · MIN · 23yo · AAAETA 2026FA
    FV 50Hit 20 / 30 Game Pwr 50 / 60 Raw Pwr 65 / 65 Spd 50 / 50 (2025 board)
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)2581206318.2470.923
    L7 (AAA)361002.1670.621
    Last (5/1)110001
    ↓ Cooling L7 vs season: -0.080 AVG
  • #Pin · Dylan Crews OF · WSN · 23yo · MLBETA 2025FA
    FV 60Hit 45 / 50 Game Pwr 50 / 60 Raw Pwr 60 / 60 Spd 70 / 70 (2025 board)
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)31115294514.2520.755
    L7 (AAA)6217204.3331.030
    Last (5/5)130000
    🔥 Heating up L7 vs season: +0.081 AVG
  • #Pin · Aidan Miller SS · PHI · 21yo · AAAETA 2026FA
    FV 55Hit 40 / 50 Game Pwr 45 / 60 Raw Pwr 55 / 60 Spd 55 / 55
    No MiLB games found.
  • #Pin · Joshua Baez OF · STL · 22yo · AAAETA 2027FA
    FV 45+Hit 35 / 40 Game Pwr 50 / 60 Raw Pwr 60 / 70 Spd 50 / 40
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)28110277620.2450.825
    L7 (AAA)5216115.2860.762
    Last (5/3)151000.200
    ↑ Trending up L7 vs season: +0.041 AVG
  • #Pin · Kaelen Culpepper SS · MIN · 23yo · AAAETA 2027FA
    FV 50Hit 30 / 40 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 55 / 55 Spd 55 / 55
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)29119307621.2520.822
    L7 (AAA)5205216.2501.010
    Last (5/5)152102.400
    → Steady L7 vs season: -0.002 AVG
  • #Pin · Braden Montgomery OF · CHW · 23yo · AAETA 2027FA
    FV 50Hit 30 / 40 Game Pwr 40 / 60 Raw Pwr 60 / 65 Spd 50 / 50
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AA/AAA)28103316222.3011.002
    L7 (AA)6236203.2610.936
    Last (5/5)140000
    ↓ Cooling L7 vs season: -0.040 AVG
  • #3 · Sterlin Thompson OF · MIN · 24yo · AAAETA MayFA
    Blocked by: Troy Johnston (Indifferent)
    FV 40+Hit 40 / 50 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 55 / 55 Spd 40 / 40
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)29101353620.3470.975
    L7 (AAA)4149127.6431.750
    Last (5/2)121010.500
    🔥 Heating up L7 vs season: +0.296 AVG
  • #4 · Jesús Made SS · MIL · 18yo · AAETA AugFA
    Blocked by: Joey Ortiz (Indifferent)
    FV 65Hit 40 / 60 Game Pwr 35 / 60 Raw Pwr 50 / 60 Spd 50 / 45
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AA)281153131417.2700.804
    L7 (AA)6225132.2270.644
    Last (5/5)150010
    ↓ Cooling L7 vs season: -0.043 AVG
  • #5 · Charlie Condon 1B · COL · 23yo · AAAETA JuneFA
    Blocked by: TJ Rumfield (Indifferent)
    FV 50Hit 30 / 35 Game Pwr 30 / 60 Raw Pwr 70 / 70 Spd 40 / 40
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)27100244317.2400.785
    L7 (AAA)6223003.1360.481
    Last (5/5)140000
    📉 Slumping L7 vs season: -0.104 AVG
  • #6 · Leo De Vries SS · OAK · 19yo · AAETA JulyFA
    Blocked by: Zack Gelof (Indifferent)
    FV 60Hit 40 / 50 Game Pwr 50 / 60 Raw Pwr 45 / 60 Spd 50 / 50
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AA)28102304813.2940.853
    L7 (AA)6173010.1760.568
    Last (5/5)132010.667
    📉 Slumping L7 vs season: -0.118 AVG
  • #8 · Bryce Eldridge 1B · SF · 21yo · AAAETA MayYOURS
    Blocked by: Casey Schmitt (Indifferent)
    FV 55Hit 30 / 40 Game Pwr 50 / 70 Raw Pwr 70 / 80 Spd 30 / 20
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA/MLB)32120395022.3250.938
    L7 (AAA)6219208.4291.286
    Last (5/5)141000.250
    🔥 Heating up L7 vs season: +0.104 AVG
  • #9 · Colt Emerson SS · SEA · 21yo · AAAETA JuneFA
    Blocked by: J.P. Crawford (Indifferent)
    FV 55Hit 45 / 60 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 50 / 55 Spd 50 / 50
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)28103234714.2230.752
    L7 (AAA)6244105.1670.567
    Last (5/5)151000.200
    ↓ Cooling L7 vs season: -0.056 AVG

On The Bubble (4 available)

  • Spencer Jones OF · NYYON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 45+Hit 20 / 30 Game Pwr 50 / 60 Raw Pwr 70 / 80 Spd 60 / 60
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)321153011740.2610.968
    L7 (AAA)62484210.3331.218
    Last (5/5)141103.250
    ↑ Trending up L7 vs season: +0.072 AVG
  • Joe Mack C · MIAON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50Hit 20 / 30 Game Pwr 35 / 50 Raw Pwr 55 / 60 Spd 45 / 40
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA/MLB)2689223110.2470.753
    L7 (AAA)5196003.3160.679
    Last (5/5)142001.500
    ↑ Trending up L7 vs season: +0.069 AVG
  • Jett Williams 3B/SS · MILON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50Hit 30 / 40 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 50 / 50 Spd 60 / 60
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)32123293816.2360.697
    L7 (AAA)6206105.3000.967
    Last (5/3)130000
    ↑ Trending up L7 vs season: +0.064 AVG
  • Tommy Troy SS · ARION THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50Hit 40 / 45 Game Pwr 40 / 50 Raw Pwr 45 / 50 Spd 60 / 60
    GABHHRSBRBIAVGOPS
    Szn (AAA)32129402523.3100.861
    L7 (AAA)6257014.2800.757
    Last (5/5)140000
    → Steady L7 vs season: -0.030 AVG

Pitchers

Top SP prospects (yours in green).

Source: The Stash List Week 6: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Top 10 SP Prospects (10 available — 2 yours)

  • #1 · Logan Henderson SP · MIL · 24yo · AAA · 40-Man: Yes · RHPYOURS
    FV 50FB 55 / 55 CB 40 / 40 CH 70 / 70 CT 40 / 40 CMD 55 / 60
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA/MLB)25.72.101.0913.03.537101860
    L3 (AAA)12.32.191.1410.93.6155930
    Last (5/3 L)680320
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.09 ERA
  • #2 · Robby Snelling SP · MIA · 22yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · LHPYOURS
    FV 50FB 60 / 60 SL 45 / 45 CB 50 / 55 CH 45 / 50 CMD 50 / 50
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)291.860.9013.74.744151162
    L3 (AAA)161.120.6912.43.9227421
    Last (5/1 W)591000
    ↑ Trending up L3 vs season: -0.74 ERA
  • #3 · Thomas White SP · MIA · 21yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · LHPFA
    FV 60FB 60 / 60 SL 60 / 70 CH 50 / 60 CMD 30 / 40
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (A/AAA)18.72.411.0714.04.829101052
    L3 (A)12.72.130.8713.52.8194731
    Last (4/30)4.251420
    → Steady L3 vs season: -0.28 ERA
  • #4 · Kade Anderson SP · SEA · 21yo · AA · 40-Man: No · LHPFA
    FV 50FB 70 / 70 SL 55 / 60 CB 55 / 60 CH 50 / 60 CMD 30 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AA)24.30.370.7014.11.53841310
    L3 (AA)15.30.590.5912.30.6211810
    Last (5/1 W)5.280400
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.22 ERA
  • #5 · Jake Bennett SP · BOS · 25yo · AAA · 40-Man: Yes · LHPFA
    FV 45FB 45 / 45 SL 50 / 50 CH 45 / 55 CMD 45 / 60 (2025 board)
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA/MLB)261.040.856.61.71951731
    L3 (AAA)12.71.421.184.32.1631221
    Last (5/1 W)532511
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.38 ERA
  • #6 · Brody Hopkins SP · TBR · 24yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · RHPFA
    FV 50FB 55 / 60 SL 50 / 55 CH 20 / 45 CT 60 / 70 CMD 30 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)32.74.131.6210.27.7372825153
    L3 (AAA)14.36.281.6710.06.9161113101
    Last (5/5)573400
    📉 Slumping L3 vs season: +2.15 ERA
  • #7 · Carlos Lagrange SP · NYY · 22yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · RHPFA
    FV 50FB 70 / 70 SL 55 / 60 CB 45 / 55 CH 50 / 60 CMD 30 / 35
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)243.751.3811.25.2301419103
    L3 (AAA)13.34.051.2711.53.41751261
    Last (4/30)4.143320
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.30 ERA
  • #8 · Ethan Pecko SP · HOU · 23yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · RHPFA
    FV 45FB 60 / 60 SL 40 / 40 CB 50 / 50 CH 30 / 40 CT 45 / 50 CMD 50 / 50
    No game logs found.
  • #10 · Nestor German SP · BAL · 24yo · AAA · 40-Man: No · RHPFA
    FV 40+FB 50 / 50 SL 50 / 50 CB 50 / 55 SPL 45 / 55 CMD 40 / 50 (2025 board)
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)304.501.5712.35.4411829151
    L3 (AAA)134.851.6912.56.21891371
    Last (5/5)5.1101311
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.35 ERA
  • #HM · Tanner McDougal SP · CHW · 23yo · AAA · 40-Man: Yes · RHPFA
    FV 50FB 60 / 60 SL 60 / 60 CB 50 / 55 CH 30 / 40 CMD 30 / 40
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)243.001.0410.14.927131282
    L3 (AAA)94.001.008.04.084540
    Last (4/29)110000
    ↓ Cooling L3 vs season: +1.00 ERA

On The Bubble (10 available)

  • Jamie Arnold SP · ATHON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 45FB 50 / 55 SL 60 / 60 CH 40 / 50 CT 30 / 50 CMD 30 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AA)254.321.6411.94.0331130122
    L3 (AA)125.251.589.85.21371270
    Last (5/3 L)3.211950
    ↓ Cooling L3 vs season: +0.93 ERA
  • Gage Jump SP · ATHON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 60 / 60 SL 60 / 60 CB 50 / 50 SPL 40 / 50 CMD 35 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)22.35.641.6113.35.6331422142
    L3 (AAA)128.251.9212.86.817914112
    Last (5/2)464210
    📉 Slumping L3 vs season: +2.61 ERA
  • Chase Petty SP · CINON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 40+FB 30 / 55 SL 50 / 55 CH 40 / 50 CT 45 / 60 CMD 40 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA/MLB)30.34.451.298.93.9301326154
    L3 (AAA)141.931.145.15.188831
    Last (5/4)5.212431
    🔥 Heating up L3 vs season: -2.52 ERA
  • Eduardo Rivera SP · BOSON THE BUBBLEFA
    Off FG prospect board — look up on FanGraphs for the Prospects Report.
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AA/AAA/MLB)19.31.400.7214.01.43031130
    L3 (AA)100.900.9014.42.7163610
    Last (5/1 W)350100
    → Steady L3 vs season: -0.50 ERA
  • River Ryan SP · LADON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 60 / 60 SL 55 / 60 CB 55 / 60 CH 40 / 50 CT 55 / 70 CMD 40 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)75.141.5712.92.6102940
    L3 (AAA)75.141.5712.92.6102940
    Last (4/11)341420
    → Steady L3 vs season: -0.00 ERA
  • Hagen Smith SP · CHWON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 60 / 60 SL 70 / 70 CH 35 / 40 CMD 25 / 40
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)22.32.821.2512.96.432161272
    L3 (AAA)9.34.821.6112.510.61311451
    Last (5/3)333120
    📉 Slumping L3 vs season: +2.00 ERA
  • Jonah Tong SP · NYMON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 70 / 70 SL 40 / 45 CB 40 / 45 CH 50 / 55 CT 40 / 50 CMD 40 / 45
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)31.34.601.2112.64.9441721165
    L3 (AAA)162.251.0611.83.92171041
    Last (5/2)662100
    🔥 Heating up L3 vs season: -2.35 ERA
  • Miguel Ullola SP · HOUON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 40+FB 60 / 70 SL 45 / 50 CB 45 / 50 CH 30 / 35 CMD 30 / 35
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)24.34.811.3612.26.3331716131
    L3 (AAA)127.501.7510.58.2141110101
    Last (4/28)5.154210
    📉 Slumping L3 vs season: +2.69 ERA
  • Jack Wenninger SP · NYMON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 50 / 55 SL 40 / 45 CB 45 / 55 CH 60 / 60 CMD 50 / 60
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)22.31.611.2510.54.826121641
    L3 (AAA)13.32.021.2010.85.4168831
    Last (4/30 W)5.271400
    → Steady L3 vs season: +0.41 ERA
  • Jaxon Wiggins SP · CHCON THE BUBBLEFA
    FV 50FB 70 / 70 SL 40 / 45 CB 50 / 55 CH 45 / 60 CMD 30 / 40
    IPERAWHIPK/9BB/9KBBHERHR
    Szn (AAA)85.621.5011.25.6105751
    L3 (AAA)85.621.5011.25.6105751
    Last (4/4)443541
    → Steady L3 vs season: -0.00 ERA

💼 Trades

Buy-low candidates league-wide + how deals have played out.

Top Buy-Lows

Surface stats below underlying — likely rebound candidates with suggested offers.

Hitters

  • Trent Grisham (CF, NYY) — owned by RAGE (glhoward40)
    Own 19%
    +2.4σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.170 / xBA 0.240 · xwOBA 0.371
    💱 Offer: Chandler Simpson (CF, TB) — comparable value (TV 30 vs target 35)
  • Brent Rooker (DH, Oak) — owned by FRAN (francisw789)
    Own 78%
    +1.6σ buy-low · DH — fits a need · BA 0.153 / xBA 0.205 · xwOBA 0.291
    💱 Offer: Miguel Vargas (3B, ChW) — comparable value (TV 48 vs target 53)
  • Lawrence Butler (RF, Oak) — owned by RAGE (glhoward40)
    Own 15%
    +1.1σ buy-low · RF — fits a need · BA 0.180 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.303
    💱 Offer: Robby Snelling (SP, Mia) + +$3 FAAB — comparable value (TV 6 vs target 12)
  • Mike Trout (DH, LAA) — owned by KNIG (TKHOO)
    Own 97%
    +1.7σ buy-low · DH — fits a need · BA 0.262 / xBA 0.280 · xwOBA 0.461
    💱 Offer: James Wood (LF, Wsh) — comparable value (TV 93 vs target 96)
  • Munetaka Murakami (3B, ChW) — owned by GARR (jregarris)
    Own 91%
    +1.5σ buy-low · 3B — fits a need · BA 0.244 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.402
    💱 Offer: Gunnar Henderson (SS, Bal) — comparable value (TV 84 vs target 81)
  • Garrett Mitchell (CF, Mil) — owned by FRAN (francisw789)
    Own 6%
    +0.9σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.219 / xBA 0.215 · xwOBA 0.335
    💱 Offer: Bryce Eldridge (DH, SF) + +$3 FAAB — comparable value (TV 0 vs target 7)
  • Kazuma Okamoto (3B, Tor) — owned by PEYT (simplejack2k9)
    Own 50%
    +0.9σ buy-low · 3B — fits a need · BA 0.244 / xBA 0.243 · xwOBA 0.362
    💱 Offer: Chandler Simpson (CF, TB) — comparable value (TV 30 vs target 33)
  • Carson Benge (CF, NYM) — owned by MAX$ (FratSkins)
    Own 6%
    +0.9σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.192 / xBA 0.237 · xwOBA 0.304
    💱 Offer: Bryce Eldridge (DH, SF) — comparable value (TV 0 vs target 2)
  • Tyler Soderstrom (LF, Oak) — owned by MAX$ (FratSkins)
    Own 71%
    +1.0σ buy-low · LF — fits a need · BA 0.216 / xBA 0.244 · xwOBA 0.334
    💱 Offer: Zach Neto (SS, LAA) — comparable value (TV 59 vs target 57)
  • Kerry Carpenter (RF, Det) — owned by GoOs (My Best Guys)
    Own 14%
    +0.8σ buy-low · RF — fits a need · BA 0.214 / xBA 0.210 · xwOBA 0.309
    💱 Offer: Cam Smith (RF, Hou) — comparable value (TV 18 vs target 15)

Pitchers

  • Matthew Boyd (SP, ChC) — owned by KNIG (TKHOO)
    Own 56%
    +1.1σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 6.00 vs xERA 4.14
    💱 Offer: Payton Tolle (SP, Bos) + +$4 FAAB — comparable value (TV 33 vs target 41)
  • Jesus Luzardo (SP, Phi) — owned by KNIG (TKHOO)
    Own 92%
    +1.3σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 5.09 vs xERA 3.16
    💱 Offer: Gunnar Henderson (SS, Bal) — comparable value (TV 84 vs target 81)
  • Emmet Sheehan (SP, LAD) — owned by PEYT (simplejack2k9)
    Own 55%
    +0.7σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 5.23 vs xERA 4.32
    💱 Offer: Payton Tolle (SP, Bos) + +$4 FAAB — comparable value (TV 33 vs target 41)
  • Landen Roupp (SP, SF) — owned by FRST (prestonc51684)
    Own 64%
    +0.7σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 3.18 vs xERA 2.64
    💱 Offer: Mickey Moniak (RF, Col) + +$3 FAAB — comparable value (TV 44 vs target 50)
  • Aaron Nola (SP, Phi) — owned by PEYT (simplejack2k9)
    Own 48%
    +0.6σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 5.06 vs xERA 4.41
    💱 Offer: Cam Smith (RF, Hou) + +$4 FAAB — comparable value (TV 18 vs target 26)
  • Jack Flaherty (SP, Det) — owned by THAR (12AlexanderTharp)
    Own 40%
    +0.5σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 5.90 vs xERA 5.34
    💱 Offer: Cam Smith (RF, Hou) — comparable value (TV 18 vs target 22)
  • Nolan McLean (SP, NYM) — owned by MAX$ (FratSkins)
    Own 93%
    +0.6σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 2.98 vs xERA 2.32
    💱 Offer: Gunnar Henderson (SS, Bal) — comparable value (TV 84 vs target 86)
  • Paul Skenes (SP, Pit) — owned by THAR (12AlexanderTharp)
    Own 100%
    +0.6σ buy-low · SP — strong fit (current need) · ERA 2.91 vs xERA 2.25
    💱 Offer: James Wood (LF, Wsh) + +$4 FAAB — comparable value (TV 93 vs target 100)

League History

Completed trades, with frozen + live grades for both sides.

  • The Miz ⇄ Camp MVP
    2026-05-01
    The Miz sent: Kenley Jansen
    At trade: C (-3 TV) Current: C (-3 TV) balanced
    Camp MVP sent: $30 FAAB
    At trade: A- (+3 TV) Current: A- (+3 TV) balanced
  • The Miz ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine
    2026-04-22
    The Miz sent: Nathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB
    At trade: F (-60 TV) Current: F (-66 TV) trending down keeper-leaning
    Ramirez Against the Machine sent: Jac Caglianone
    At trade: A+ (+60 TV) Current: A+ (+66 TV) trending up win-now-leaning

👥 Your Roster

What's happening with your guys — news, buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Last 24h of player news.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Surface stats vs. Statcast underlying — flags buy/sell windows.

Hitters

PlayerPosMLBBAxBAwOBAxwOBABrl%Own%Signal
James WoodLFWsh0.2320.2650.3810.420100.096.3📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle SchwarberDHPhi0.2050.2150.3780.36997.099.5📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas3BChW0.2220.2510.3560.37876.054.9📈 BUY-LOW
Cam SmithRFHou0.2240.2580.3050.34889.014.4↑ mild buy
Gunnar HendersonSSBal0.2080.2250.3110.29867.098.4↑ mild buy
Zach NetoSSLAA0.2180.2100.3250.31564.066.2↑ mild buy
Jac CaglianoneRFKC0.2480.2420.3390.33191.026.1↑ mild buy
Samuel BasalloCBal0.2550.2500.3460.33155.019.3fair
Randy ArozarenaLFSea0.2650.2490.3470.32534.090.5fair
Yandy DiazDHTB0.3200.3030.3920.36929.087.8↓ mild fade
Mickey MoniakRFCol0.3330.2500.4740.35484.064.2📉 SELL-HIGH
Josh Jung3BTex0.3360.3190.4050.37225.035.1📉 SELL-HIGH
Ozzie Albies2BAtl0.3290.2660.4030.32223.096.2📉 SELL-HIGH
Chandler SimpsonCFTB0.3040.2620.3040.2661.051.5📉 SELL-HIGH
Bryce EldridgeDHSF0.1670.2460.2300.2950.09.7

Pitchers

PitcherPosMLBIPERAWHIPxERAK-BB%xwOBA-aBrl%-aOwn%Signal
Andres MunozRPSea15.06.001.405.0027.30.35014.789.5↑ mild buy
Brandon Woodruff FIFTEEN_SPMil30.03.601.033.0714.90.2808.076.0↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan DAY_TO_DSPMin38.73.721.063.1219.10.28210.593.7↑ mild buy
Jacob Misiorowski DAY_TO_DSPMil38.02.841.002.8928.40.2723.995.7fair
Payton TolleSPBos17.72.040.742.0325.40.2288.127.5fair
Eury PerezSPMia36.34.461.385.0014.60.35013.976.6fair
Louis VarlandRPTor17.70.511.021.5235.80.1960.052.9fair
Kyle HarrisonSPMil29.72.121.113.3521.70.2925.525.5↓ mild fade
Tanner ScottRPLAD14.31.880.703.7925.00.3098.619.0↓ mild fade
Spencer Schwellenbach SIXTY_DASPAtl0.013.9
Jared Jones SIXTY_DASPPit0.010.0
Robby SnellingSPMia0.04.6
Logan HendersonSPMil8.04.500.881.4533.30.1910.06.7

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

Top 5 fantasy-impact stories from the last 24h.

🔒 2027 Keeper Slate — Two-Model Comparison

Peter's model (additive): cost-surplus + Statcast skill + pedigree (FV or career wRC+/FIP-) + age tier + stability. Heavy on cost arbitrage — a steep bargain wins.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). Career grades cached weekly.

Cons
Rank
PlayerPos · Age2027
Cost
PeterClaudeVerdictNotes
1.0Spencer SchwellenbachSP · 26yo25th#1 (+24.8)#1 (+6.8)BOTHUFDA
3.0Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yo21st#2 (+22.5)#4 (+4.3)BOTHUFDA-G FV 55
3.0Kyle HarrisonSP · 24yo25th#3 (+14.2)#3 (+5.0)BOTHUFDA
3.0Miguel Vargas3B · 26yo25th#4 (+14.2)#2 (+5.1)BOTHUFDA
6.0Mickey MoniakRF · 28yo22nd#6 (+12.6)#6 (+3.6)BOTH
6.5Eury PerezSP · 23yo20th#5 (+13.0)#8 (+2.5)BOTHUFDA-G
7.0Samuel BasalloC · 21yo19th— (+5.1)#5 (+3.9)Claude onlyUFDA-G FV 65
8.0Zach NetoSS · 25yo10th#7 (+7.3)— (+0.3)Peter only
8.0Cam SmithRF · 22yo19th— (+2.4)#7 (+2.7)Claude onlyFV 50
8.5Jac CaglianoneRF · 22yo21st#8 (+5.2)— (+2.4)Peter onlyUFDA-G FV 55

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers across all 12 teams, both models. Same scoring as your slate — UFDA cap dropped (that's a per-team draft constraint, not a ranking question). Your players highlighted in green.

Cons
Rank
PlayerPos · AgeTeam2027
Cost
PeterClaudeVerdict
2.0Nick Kurtz1B · 22yoMAX$21st#1 (+26.4)#3 (+6.3)BOTH
2.0Spencer SchwellenbachSP · 26yoMIZ25th#2 (+24.8)#2 (+6.8)BOTH
3.0Jordan WalkerRF · 24yoGARR25th#5 (+23.7)#1 (+7.5)BOTH
6.0Francisco AlvarezC · 24yoPEYT25th#7 (+23.7)#5 (+5.6)BOTH
7.0Nolan McLeanSP · 24yoMAX$20th#3 (+23.8)— (+3.7)Peter only
7.5Ivan HerreraDH · 26yoRAGE20th#4 (+23.8)— (+4.5)Peter only
7.5Ryan JeffersC · 29yoFRST25th— (+21.1)#4 (+5.8)Claude only
8.5Cam SchlittlerSP · 24yoMAX$19th#6 (+23.7)— (+3.4)Peter only
8.5Liam HicksC · 25yoGoOs25th— (+22.7)#6 (+5.6)Claude only
9.0Ben Rice1B · 27yoDORN20th#9 (+23.3)#9 (+5.5)BOTH
9.0Dominic CanzoneRF · 28yoGARR25th— (+21.6)#7 (+5.6)Claude only
9.5Jose SorianoSP · 27yoBLOB25th#8 (+23.4)— (+5.1)Peter only
9.5Jasson DominguezLF · 22yoPEYT25th— (+15.2)#8 (+5.5)Claude only
10.5Geraldo PerdomoSS · 26yoDORN21st#10 (+22.8)— (+3.9)Peter only
10.5Bryce ElderSP · 27yoFRST25th— (+16.9)#10 (+5.3)Claude only