Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Saturday, August 22 · 01:47 PM ET

☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ sits comfortably at 1st with 105.0 roto points, 19 back to #2 — but keep an eye on K (only 7 separating you from THAR) and W (1 back of GoOs for a free roto point).

⚡ Your guys delivered yesterday: Jordan Lawlar made his MLB debut count, going 3-for-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI vs. Cincinnati in his call-up game, while Miguel Vargas backed him up with a 2-for-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI line, and Jacob Misiorowski outdueled Chris Sale — 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 K, W — his 13th win of the season in a 2-1 Brewers victory over Atlanta.

🌱 On the farm, James Tibbs (RI 93) went 3-for-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 BB at AAA vs. Sugar Land — that's a prospect worth watching closely as a future MIZ asset. Meanwhile, two contact heat signals worth noting on the wire: Andres Chaparro (L7: 83/99, 13 BBE, .530 xwOBAcon) and Lars Nootbaar (L7: 93/99, 8 BBE, .596 xwOBAcon) are both flashing early but real heat, though sample sizes are still small.

📰 Tommy White hit the wire after being dropped by Photogenic Nick Kurtz — he carries elite underlying metrics and is worth a look if you have a roster spot. On the closer front, Dylan Smith (SF) leads your FA sim board at +1.0 pts with a confirmed closer role, and the saves category gap is live; Andrew Kittredge (BAL) is right behind at +0.9 with 90th-percentile suppression. Tonight, make sure Eury Perez and Dylan Cease are active in your lineup.
ELIGIBILITYC. Carrigg SS 8/10K. Schwarber 1B 4/10
Your standing
1stof 12
105.0 roto pts +19.0 clear of 2nd
no change vs last update
Top Gaps
SB (7.0) W (7.0)
categories below mid-pack

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →
Δ to #1
R
874
937
🥇
HR
252
273
🥇
RBI
819
831
🥇
SB
123
127
132
177
+50
AVG
.254
.254
.256
.257
+0.003
K
1103
1110
1194
+84
W
62
63
64
77
+14
SV
72
74
79
86
+12
ERA
3.42
3.24
🥇
WHIP
1.17
1.11
🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-08-21)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

✅ Activated off the IL: Jordan Lawlar (SS · 2026-08-17) — rehab done.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: James Wood (IL10), Joe Ryan (IL15), Felix Bautista (IL60), Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

TeamMove
Miz-waukee’s Best+ Felix Bautista | − Justin Martinez
Miz-waukee’s Best+ James Tibbs III | − Ozzie Albies
Photogenic Nick Kurtz+ Joey Ortiz | − Tommy White
Phil Swift's Flex Seal + Jake Bennett | − Cody Bradford
Miz-waukee’s Best+ Josue De Paula | − Lawrence Butler
Photogenic Nick Kurtz+ Luis Castillo | − Peter Lambert

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10k-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

94.5% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 97.4 roto pts

#TeamPtsFAABWin%Proj PtsProj Rk
1MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best105.0$094.5%97.41.0
2FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums86.0$745.3%88.02.1
3KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz78.0$350.1%79.83.4
4GoOs I need Buck Showalter76.0$1700.0%71.65.0
5PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal 73.0$350.1%78.03.7
6BLOB Camp MVP63.5$1680.0%68.55.6
7THAR Phil Mickeltits63.0$1760.0%59.27.3
8KNIG Team Knighton53.0$1470.0%55.28.1
9GARR The Boys of Summer52.5$1550.0%53.18.6
10DORN Dorn and Associates LLC 45.0$890.0%44.010.6
11RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine43.5$1630.0%39.211.7
12FRST Worst2First41.5$1540.0%45.910.2

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 11.2SB 7.1AVG 7.6W 4.1SV 9.0K 10.4ERA 12.0WHIP 11.9

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

142 of 200 GS · should be 161 · 19 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively
058 left · ~11.3/wk to cap · proj 176200

RelieverRecon's BP score + Pitcher List's tier ranking + our matchup score, folded into one Verdict — rows ranked by the Verdict number, your arms pinned on top. Refreshed 15:30 · BP post.

⚠ Patreon blocked today's post body, so the Save/Hold Vulture and Multi-Inning lists below could not be read. The SP board is current — check the BP post directly for today's relievers.

Top SPs · ranked by Verdict · green = yours

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Dylan Cease@ NYYAUTO START8.57.2#2Straightforward ace endorsement, no caveats.
Eury Perezvs WSHAUTO START7.66.5#3Near-ace treatment; Nationals matchup invites dominant line.
Christian Scott@ CWSSTART⚠8.84.4#10Elite LHB sequencing; still hunting a reliable put-away pitch.
Jacob Lopez@ HOUSTART7.46.4#5Month-long command/approach gains are real and repeating; strong conviction.
Dean Kremer@ SDSTART8.36.0#14Bad-luck HR spoiled last start; splitter and cutter still improved.
Cody Bradfordvs LAASTART⚠7.13.5#12Extension and upstairs changeup command offset soft velocity; Angels vulnerable.
David Peterson@ SEADARTopener⚠ opener6.85.1#19Piggyback role with Assad; command of fastball/sinker determines viability.
Brandon Youngvs TBDART⚠6.42.4#13Fastball vert promising; everything else needs to show up in
Jared Jones@ LADDART⚠7.23.6#17Tough Dodger lineup, but stuff profiles for five-plus quality frames.
Drew Anderson@ KCDART⚠ opener6.25.5#21Stretched out, elite matchup; split-change strike rate is the swing
Andrew Paintervs STLDART⚠6.03.7#16Revamped four-seamer now 120 plvStuff+; upside real if it sticks.
Quinn Mathews@ PHIDART7.4—#22More rotation opportunities but efficiency and road park suppress ceiling.

Your staff: 3.24 ERA / 1.11 WHIP · GS 142/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

Tomorrow · 1 of yours + top 5 FA · Sun 8/23 · BP not out yet, so pill = our score + Pitcher List

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Blake Snellvs PITAUTO START—8.8#1Emphatic auto-start, hot stretch continues.
Tyler Mahle@ MILSTART—4.5#6Rolling; trusted even without elite location metrics.
Cal Quantrillvs LAASTART⚠ opener—6.5#11Hot streak rooted in splitter/cutter gains; soft Angels matchup.
Walker Buehlervs MINSIT—4.7#18Two straight productive starts; kitchen-sink approach lacks upside.
Mitch Brattvs CINSIT—5.1#23Weak arsenal; viable only in desperation for moderate length.
Janson Junkvs WSHSITleash—4.1#21Short hook expected; stuff hasn't translated to results.

Openers filtered: Daniel Lynch IV

Probable Multi-Inning (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Bulk Watch (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Save Vulture (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Hold Vulture (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Rested Multi-Inning (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 416 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 53% · BLOWUP 16% · agg ERA 4.08 · WHIP 1.27 · 4.6 K/start · 473 picks logged, 45 never started, 12 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 416 graded starts

GEM 90 GOOD 131 OK 128 BLOWUP 67
GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.
CohortnGOOD+BLOWUPERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START1669%6%3.00
Verdict · START3057%10%3.49
Verdict · DART7749%16%4.49
Verdict · SIT13851%21%4.43
MIZ ≥ 5.09358%14%3.74
MIZ 3.5–4.99154%18%4.54
MIZ < 3.56740%22%4.90
All live board picks26152%17%4.25
Q1 read — the ladder has not separated: GOOD+ runs 69% · 57% · 49% · 51% down the rungs, and MIZ sorts: GOOD+ falls 58% · 54% · 40% from the top band down. Too early either way — the top rungs are still AUTO START n=16 over 22 days of live picks; this is the line to watch as rows land.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start4869%12%3.45
PL · Probably Start4367%21%3.62
PL · Questionable Start9752%15%4.46
PL · Do Not Start19750%18%4.18
BP · Auto2040%15%4.50
BP · Likely6144%13%3.91
All graded picks41653%16%4.08
Q2 read — against the 53% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (69% · 67%) and BP's top tiers sit under it (40% · 44%) — PL is earning the weight, BP is not.

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is earning its keep — 80% GOOD+ on n=5. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 52% for all live picks).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#HitterMatchupWhyLegsScore
1AUTO STARTEduardo Valencia1B · 7% own
@ KC · Wacha RHP
.340 xwOBAL15: 0.879 OPS (28 PA)L14 contact +2.0 (.415 xwOBAcon, 17 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 3 of 4 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 51% of ABWacha .314 allowed · avg SP1.039 OPS vs RHP (31 AB)KC plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
76
2AUTO STARTJoc PedersonDH · 3% own
vs LAA · Johnson RHP
.346 xwOBAL15: 0.567 OPS (35 PA)L14 contact -2.3 (.318 xwOBAcon, 16 BBE)usually bats 1st (×1.12)beats 1 of 1 eligible startersJohnson .359 allowed · soft SP0.831 OPS vs RHP (302 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
75
3AUTO STARTChristian Encarnacion-Strand1B · 3% own
vs TB · McClanahan LHP
.353 xwOBAL15: 0.744 OPS (43 PA)L14 contact +3.1 (.439 xwOBAcon, 28 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 3 of 4 eligible startersMcClanahan .315 allowed · avg SP1.108 OPS vs LHP (32 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
70
4AUTO STARTLuis CampusanoC · 1% own
vs MIN · Kremer RHP
.351 xwOBAL15: 0.952 OPS (31 PA)L14 contact +0.3 (.376 xwOBAcon, 17 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 2 of 2 eligible startersKremer .315 allowed · avg SP0.935 OPS vs RHP (106 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
69
5AUTO STARTAndrew Vaughn1B · 4% own
vs ATL · Pérez LHP
.341 xwOBAL15: 0.741 OPS (41 PA)L14 contact -3.4 (.295 xwOBAcon, 29 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 3 of 4 eligible startersPérez .322 allowed · avg SP1.072 OPS vs LHP (84 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
69
6CONSIDERKyle Karros3B · 3% own
vs CLE · Bibee RHP
.339 xwOBAL14 contact +0.6 (.383 xwOBAcon, 16 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)beats 0 of 3 eligible startersBibee .320 allowed · avg SP0.775 OPS vs RHP (219 AB)COL plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
61
7AUTO STARTJose SiriCF · 0% own
@ TEX · Bradford LHP
.320 xwOBAL15: 0.612 OPS (30 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.584 xwOBAcon, 16 BBE)usually bats 5thfills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersBradford .369 allowed · soft SP0.699 OPS vs LHP (75 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
60
8CONSIDERJared Young1B · 1% own
@ CWS · Castillo RHP
.324 xwOBAL15: 0.833 OPS (45 PA)L14 contact -2.2 (.322 xwOBAcon, 35 BBE)usually bats 5thbeats 0 of 3 eligible startersCastillo .337 allowed · soft SP0.817 OPS vs RHP (194 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
59
9STARTTim TawaCF · 3% own
vs CIN · Lowder RHP
.309 xwOBAL15: 0.700 OPS (55 PA)L14 contact +4.9 (.480 xwOBAcon, 33 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)fills OF needbeats 5 of 11 eligible startersLowder .346 allowed · soft SP0.743 OPS vs RHP (149 AB)AZ plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
58
10STARTColt Keith2B · 5% own
@ KC · Wacha RHP
.337 xwOBAL15: 0.829 OPS (35 PA)L14 contact +1.3 (.398 xwOBAcon, 22 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 2 of 5 eligible startersWacha .314 allowed · avg SP0.789 OPS vs RHP (310 AB)KC plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
56

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 59, worst Royce Lewis (19). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Miguel Vargas
80
1Randal GrichukRF · ChW · 0.5%HEATER
83/99 heat on trusted 21-BBE sample plus .467/.407 production; best near-term bang despite limited RoS PA
Heat 80 · 21 BBE · ATC 51 PA · 2 HR · 0 SB · 0.245 · L7 0.467 · 2 HR · sim +0.3 pts
2Ryan Vilade
RF · TB · 0.3% · HEATER
83/99 heat, 17 BBE qualifies, .551 xwOBAcon elite; .471 L7 BA with 2 HR corroborates the signal
Heat 83 · 17 BBE · ATC 43 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.229 · L7 0.471 · 2 HR · sim +0.3 pts
3Colt Keith
2B · Det · 5.3% · HEATER
81/99 heat on 22-BBE trusted sample, .398 xwOBAcon backed by .462 L7 BA; best full-season PA floor of heaters
Heat 81 · 22 BBE · ATC 123 PA · 4 HR · 1 SB · 0.259 · L7 0.462 · 1 HR · sim +0.1 pts
4Dylan Beavers
LF · Bal · 0.9% · UPSIDE
81/99 heat, 19 BBE, 3 HR last 7 days; +0.2 sim delta and 101 PA projection give real counting-stat upside
Heat 81 · 19 BBE · ATC 101 PA · 3 HR · 3 SB · 0.237 · L7 0.177 · 3 HR · sim +0.2 pts
5Rafael Flores Jr.
1B · Pit · 7.3% · HEATER
85/99 heat leads board; 5 HR L14 is elite production, but 36 PA ATC projection caps ceiling
Heat 85 · 18 BBE · ATC 36 PA · 1 HR · 0 SB · 0.233 · L7 0.278 · 2 HR · sim +0.3 pts
Passed on: Patrick Bailey's +0.3 sim delta and L7 RBI burst are intriguing but catcher PA floor (83) and wRC+ 75 projection make him a low-ceiling SB-zero drain on AVG.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 17 yours · 10 FAs

RankHitterMLBPosChgAVGxwOBAHRSBRoSChu’s Take
18Randy ArozarenaSEAOF-.271.3441720123Randy Arozarena is only hitting .238 in August, but his expected stats for this month suggest it should be closer to .280. I’m a little d…
19Kyle SchwarberPHIDH+2.242.364373129When Kyle Schwarber is hot, he’s HOT. The Field of Dreams game was his second two-homer outing in his last five starts and facing the Twi…
39Yandy DíazTB1B+10.305.358193123
40Miguel VargasCHW1B/3B-10.243.3882912113Miguel Vargas continues to slump, and while there isn’t anything you should do about it from an add/drop perspective, it’s certainly frus…
53Ozzie AlbiesATL2B-1.249.28420297
57Zach NetoLAASS+4.231.2992117108
62Royce LewisMIN1B/2B/3B+8.238.3211312103
63Cole CarriggCOLOF+2.282.3265767
72Jac CaglianoneKC1B/OF+23.277.363226107Jac Caglianone has improved the strikeout rate in a huge way, and the ground ball rate is below 50%. All systems are GO.
77Dansby SwansonCHCSS+2.216.3071817100
84Ty FranceSD1B+1.293.332181106
101Tyler SoderstromATH1B/OF+5.245.328192—
102Jacob WilsonATHSS+8.266.28274—
112Tyler StephensonCINC+UR.239.34112095
114Dylan CrewsWSHOF+15.210.31610889
117Ryan JeffersMINC+15.279.357101117
120Tim TawaARI1B/2B/3B/OF+16.240.3097779
122Andruw MonasterioBOS2B/SS+15.258.3036490
126Luis RengifoSD2B/3B/OF+17.247.3084686
139Bryce EldridgeSF1B-26.248.34914199Bryce Eldridge is getting the ball in the air, but he’s not pulling it much and strikeouts have been an issue. He’s a solid hold in Dynas…
TSHenry BolteOakOF—.267.30461496Henry Bolte (OF, ATH) — Playing every day but the results aren’t overly exciting (though playing a ton of lefties lately has helped).
TSJordan LawlarAri3B/OF—.283.3212488Jordan Lawlar (3B/OF, ARI) — Has a home run in back-to-back games on his rehab, but striking out a TON. Sounds like he’ll be back this we…
TSKaelen CulpepperMinSS—.289.3031090Kaelen Culpepper (SS, MIN) — Culpepper is off to a slow start and is sitting every third day or so, but can remain an upside stash if you…
TSWalker JenkinsMinOF—————91Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Hitting extremely well in August (1.063 OPS), and the collapse of Larnach may give him a chance to break throu…
URJames Tibbs IIILADOF——————Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
URJames WoodWshOF—.265.4193017131Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
URJosue De PaulaLADOF——————Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/8–8/21 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

85
Rafael Flores Jr.
1B · Pit · 7.3% own · xwOBAcon .595 · EV 93.3 · Brl 27.8% · 18 BBE
▲ .045 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.288612100
L14.33351080
83
Ryan Vilade
RF · TB · 0.3% own · xwOBAcon .551 · EV 93.9 · Brl 11.8% · 17 BBE
▲ .084 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2641137243
L14.3482250
81
Colt Keith
2B · Det · 5.3% own · xwOBAcon .398 · EV 93.5 · Brl 9.1% · 22 BBE
▲ .008 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.272932465
L14.2801140
81
Dylan Beavers
LF · Bal · 0.9% own · xwOBAcon .466 · EV 94.0 · Brl 21.1% · 19 BBE
▼ .029 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.241627275
L14.2124950
81
Jose Siri
CF · LAA · 0.1% own · xwOBAcon .584 · EV 93.6 · Brl 25.0% · 16 BBE
▼ .041 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.255723275
L14.2141453
81
Brett Baty
3B · NYM · 2.6% own · xwOBAcon .413 · EV 96.0 · Brl 20.0% · 15 BBE
▼ .055 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.215840445
L14.1601630
80
Randal Grichuk
RF · ChW · 0.5% own · xwOBAcon .429 · EV 93.5 · Brl 23.8% · 21 BBE
▲ .125 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2821132320
L14.4072870
79
Abimelec Ortiz
1B · Wsh · 6.9% own · xwOBAcon .462 · EV 93.3 · Brl 13.8% · 29 BBE
▲ .015 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2415970
L14.2564860
78
Tim Tawa
CF · Ari · 3.2% own · xwOBAcon .480 · EV 91.6 · Brl 12.1% · 33 BBE
▲ .021 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.240730247
L14.2611434
77
Drew Gilbert
RF · SF · 0.5% own · xwOBAcon .537 · EV 90.0 · Brl 20.8% · 24 BBE
▲ .016 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.241731361
L14.25731060
Honorable mention · hottest L7 (8/15–8/21), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust
93
Lars Nootbaar
LF · Ari
.596 xwOBAcon
8 BBE · .200 L7
83
Andres Chaparro
1B · Wsh
.530 xwOBAcon
13 BBE · .353 L7
83
Justin Foscue
2B · Tex
.538 xwOBAcon
9 BBE · .400 L7
81
Adam Frazier
2B · LAA
.504 xwOBAcon
8 BBE · .500 L7
80
Buddy Kennedy
3B · SF
.526 xwOBAcon
8 BBE · .333 L7
79
Patrick Bailey
C · Cle
.498 xwOBAcon
12 BBE · .294 L7
🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Kyle Harrison
57
1Dylan SmithRP · SF · 0.6%BEST VALUE
Roto sim leader at +1.0; confirmed closer role; SV gap (5 back) is live and threatening.
Supp 57 · 7 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.97 · 1.33 · 4 SV · Closer · sim +1.0 pts
2Andrew Kittredge
RP · Bal · 1.7% · CATEGORY FIT
Confirmed closer, +0.9 sim, 90th-percentile suppression on 16 BBE — saves + elite ratios safe.
Supp 90 · 16 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.87 · 1.21 · 3 SV · Closer · sim +0.9 pts
3Jonathan Loaisiga
RP · Ari · 0.2% · HEATER
95th-percentile suppression, confirmed closer role, +0.9 sim; small BBE sample but role confirms.
Supp 95 · 16 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 10 K · 3.81 · 1.29 · Closer · sim +0.9 pts
4Jared Jones
SP · Pit · 13.7% · UPSIDE
Best SP sim at +0.3; 3.99 ERA projection protects ratios; 5 GS adds needed volume under cap.
Supp 24 · 23 BBE · ATC 29.0 IP · 2 W · 31 K · 3.99 · 1.23 · PL #17 · sim +0.3 pts
5Jacob Lopez
SP · Oak · 10.0% · CATEGORY FIT
+0.2 sim, #5 streamer rank, 5 GS volume under cap; wins/Ks help without killing ERA/WHIP badly.
Supp 81 · 37 BBE · ATC 30.0 IP · 2 W · 29 K · 4.63 · 1.35 · PL #5 · sim +0.2 pts
Passed on: Christian Scott has elite K-rate and solid ERA projection but the -0.7 roto sim is a hard veto — dropping Harrison for a net-negative outcome while MIZ protects a 1st-place ERA/WHIP lead is indefensible.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

RankPitcherMLBChgERAxERAK/9RoSPollack’s Take
1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL-1.681.9913.43.32I’m kinda incredulous that it’s mid-August and he’s still doing it.
9Dylan CeaseTOR+12.422.6613.13.45Cease’s walk rate will continue to keep the WHIP higher than we like, but that strikeout rate is bonkers.
16Blake SnellLAD+83.602.1612.03.42It’s #HotSnellSummer.
18Eury PérezMIA+73.233.659.83.87Pérez is getting more done with his slider to RHB, and I’m happy the fastballs find success, even if they need a touch more polish.
26Sandy AlcantaraMIA-33.463.676.74.19He’s a QS machine. It’s as simple as that.
28Kyle HarrisonMIL-62.843.1511.24.12Say what you want about the scoring change of his last start, he still pitched badly. All I want is for him to redeem himself tonight.
38Jared JonesPIT+24.783.6710.13.99Jones had some rough patches against the Red Sox, but was able to wriggle out of jams. I still question if this is too high a rank above …
39Dustin MayMIL+64.574.208.64.09May isn’t getting the whiffs we want to see from his sweeper (yet), and is still a reliable arm for a winning team.
40Walbert UreñaLAA+22.803.328.74.54Ureña rarely lets us down. He’s really doing José a service.
41Peter LambertHOU-3.683.448.84.58It’s the tier of fantastic pickups and Lambert has produced so regularly for managers all year.
44Jacob LopezATH+165.223.448.34.63He’s doing what he did last summer. It’s AWESOME.
46Joey CantilloCLE-33.733.899.94.05The velocity and curveball are there. It’s what you want.
51Jackson JobeDET-44.506.337.14.71Jobe looked great, then looked blegh. The velocity was still there in his second start, though, with a flatter HAVAA than I receall befor…
53Nick LodoloCIN+55.046.507.14.24We’ve seen two starts of Lodolo since returning from the IL and I was impressed by his changeup feel recently. Not the rest of his approa…
56Sean ManaeaNYM+34.314.819.04.26Manaea’s last outing wasn’t as pretty as the others, but his four-seamer is still the pitch we want it to be.
57Tyler MahleATL+114.534.178.64.10Mahle is cooking right now. His command across his last few starts has been as good as anyone you’ll find in the majors.

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning
PitcherTmRoleSVSVHDIPERAWHIPxERAK/9Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—Andrés MuñozSeattle MarinersCL232347.34.371.203.29 ↓14.35.0 · —
—Louis VarlandToronto Blue JaysCL283365.31.240.982.26 ↑11.05.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—Dylan SmithSan Francisco GiantsCL3926.32.731.183.4111.34.0 · 1%
Andrew KittredgeBaltimore OriolesCL61538.33.521.363.757.73.0 · 2%
Jonathan LoáisigaArizona DiamondbacksCL1951.32.631.073.126.31.0 · 0%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

40
Royce Lewis 3B · Min
low TV (18)
sim +0.31% win if cut
TV 18
Rd 13
16
Ryan Jeffers C · Min
cold last 7d; UFDA — easy to drop
sim +0.20% win if cut
TV 100
UFDA
13
Kyle Harrison SP · Mil
mid TV (60); UFDA — easy to drop; BUT top-tier keeper
sim cost ~0
TV 60
UFDA
11
Sandy Alcantara SP · Mia
BUT solid keeper
sim +0.08% win if cut
TV 72
Rd 14

Higher score = drop sooner. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

24 available — 2 yours

W. Jenkins YOURS
OF · MIN · AAA · 21 · knocking on the door
100
PSS
80
PFV
61
ETA
days
Szn
11·14·.311
J. Tibbs III YOURS
OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door
93
PSS
87
PFV
54
ETA
days
Szn
27·7·.304
S. Thompson
OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down
95
PSS
78
PFV
55
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
10·14·.294
F. Arias
SS · BOS · AAA · 20 · nearly ready
89
PSS
66
PFV
60
ETA
days
Szn
23·5·.312
E. Salas
C · SDP · AAA · 20 · nearly ready
89
PSS
82
PFV
52
ETA
September
Szn
10·15·.300
S. King
SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready
88
PSS
78
PFV
50
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
18·14·.326
M. Arroyo
SS · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready
86
PSS
48
PFV
55
ETA
days
Szn
17·15·.283
R. Velazquez
1B/C · CLE · AA · 20 · nearly ready
85
PSS
77
PFV
57
ETA
Sept
Szn
24·2·.288
M. Anderson
2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
84
PSS
72
PFV
52
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
15·5·.305
E. Arroyo
SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
84
PSS
71
PFV
49
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
15·14·.296
Y. Morales
3B · WSN · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
83
PSS
77
PFV
47
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
23·5·.285
B. Davidson
OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
82
PSS
82
PFV
42
ETA
September
Szn
25·18·.288
C. Ingle
C · CLE · ↩ sent down
82
PSS
81
PFV
48
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
18·1·.292
L. Montes
OF · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready
81
PSS
68
PFV
56
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
36·6·.249
K. Alderman
OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · nearly ready
80
PSS
74
PFV
49
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
18·10·.266
H. Mendez
OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
80
PSS
70
PFV
58
ETA
Sept
Szn
11·4·.278
Z. Hope
OF · DET · AA · 21 · nearly ready
80
PSS
94
PFV
60
ETA
Sept
Szn
25·19·.277
J. Long
1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
79
PSS
67
PFV
52
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
12·3·.281
C. Cannarella
OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
79
PSS
69
PFV
50
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
13·18·.331
R. Ward
LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down
78
PSS
87
PFV
51
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
20·7·.261
P. Harber
3B · SFG · AAA · 24 · on the climb
73
PSS
52
PFV
54
ETA
'27
Szn
17·4·.288
J. Made
SS · MIL · AA · 19 · on the climb
73
PSS
97
PFV
64
ETA
Sept
Szn
13·32·.273
D. Crisantes
2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb
67
PSS
17
PFV
58
ETA
days
Szn
8·0·.288
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

29 available

E. Pecko
SP · HOU · AAA · 23 · ↗ called up
75
PSS
68
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
90K·4.59
E. Rodríguez
SP · NYY · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
84
PSS
69
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
109K·2.91
T. McDougal
SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down
79
PSS
42
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
46K·4.08
C. Crow
SP · MIL · ↩ sent down
78
PSS
47
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
89K·3.55
D. Davalillo
SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
78
PSS
47
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
90K·4.61
T. Johnson
SP · TBR · on the climb
77
PSS
89
PFV
60
ETA
—
Szn
78K·2.81
J. Ritchie
SP · ATL · ↩ sent down
76
PSS
36
PFV
59
ETA
—
Szn
114K·3.83
O. Murphy
SP · ATL · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
76
PSS
59
PFV
64
ETA
—
Szn
118K·4.05
G. Wood
P · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb
74
PSS
99
PFV
48
ETA
'26
Szn
117K·4.11
Q. Mathews
SP · STL · AAA · 25 · ↩ sent down
70
PSS
68
PFV
61
ETA
—
Szn
130K·3.25
M. Forret
SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb
70
PSS
73
PFV
72
ETA
—
Szn
110K·3.86
B. Garrett
SP · ↩ sent down
70
PSS
80
PFV
62
ETA
June 1st
Szn
94K·3.89
B. Mautz
SP · STL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down
68
PSS
46
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
87K·3.72
J. Tong
SP · NYM · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
67
PSS
33
PFV
60
ETA
—
Szn
122K·5.00
C. Dana
SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb
67
PSS
37
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
69K·6.18
M. Ullola
SP · HOU · ↩ sent down
65
PSS
73
PFV
52
ETA
—
Szn
93K·4.50
L. Perales
SP · WSN · AAA · 23 · on the climb
65
PSS
66
PFV
55
ETA
—
Szn
94K·3.72
J. Wenninger
SP · on the climb
64
PSS
25
PFV
66
ETA
September 1st
Szn
104K·4.17
R. Sloan
SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb
63
PSS
99
PFV
64
ETA
—
Szn
100K·3.75
T. Gibson
SP · BAL · ↩ sent down
62
PSS
40
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
94K·5.15
B. Hopkins
SP · TBR · on the climb
62
PSS
42
PFV
63
ETA
—
Szn
109K·5.48
D. Sandlin
SP · CHW · MLB · 25 · ↩ sent down
60
PSS
70
PFV
53
ETA
—
Szn
75K·3.58
T. Bremner
SP · LAA · developing
56
PSS
98
PFV
66
ETA
—
Szn
76K·4.71
K. Curtis
SP · PIT · ↩ sent down
50
PSS
40
PFV
55
ETA
—
Szn
108K·4.81
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 10 not a 2026 factor — Joseph Dzierwa · Liam Doyle · Anthony Eyanson · Jamie Arnold · Jurrangelo Cijntje · Nestor German · Jaxon Wiggins · Jonathan Santucci · Tyson Hardin · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWCal Raleigh C · Sea · KNIG · TKHOO
+1.9σ buy-low · C — modest fit · BA 0.157 / xBA 0.176 · xwOBA 0.295
77%120 wRC+↓ 0.5%Yandy Diaz 1B + +$3 FAAB · comparable value (TV 73 vs target 80)
📈 BUY-LOWMike Trout OF · LAA · KNIG · TKHOO
+1.5σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.236 / xBA 0.252 · xwOBA 0.381
95%126 wRC+↑ 0.4%Randy Arozarena LF · comparable value (TV 71 vs target 76)
📈 BUY-LOWCorey Seager SS · Tex · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+1.3σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.221 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.343
58%129 wRC+↑ 0.4%Jac Caglianone RF · comparable value (TV 52 vs target 51)
📈 BUY-LOWTrent Grisham CF · NYY · RAGE · glhoward40
+1.1σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.223 / xBA 0.249 · xwOBA 0.341
32%115 wRC+↑ 0.3%Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 37)
↑ mild buyYordan Alvarez OF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.9σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.322 / xBA 0.329 · xwOBA 0.459
100%168 wRC+↑ 1.5%Kyle Schwarber DH · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
📈 BUY-LOWJJ Bleday CF · Cin · RAGE · glhoward40
+1.2σ buy-low · CF — fits a need · BA 0.217 / xBA 0.238 · xwOBA 0.345
25%102 wRC+≈ 0.2%Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 24 vs target 26)
↑ mild buyShohei Ohtani DH · LAD · FRAN · francisw789
+0.8σ buy-low · DH — fits a need · BA 0.291 / xBA 0.296 · xwOBA 0.409
100%159 wRC+↑ 2.9%Kyle Schwarber DH · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
📈 BUY-LOWHeriberto Hernandez LF · Mia · FRAN · francisw789
+1.1σ buy-low · LF — fits a need · BA 0.226 / xBA 0.244 · xwOBA 0.341
3%98 wRC+↓ 1.1%Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 17)
↑ mild buyCam Smith RF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.9σ buy-low · RF — fits a need · BA 0.218 / xBA 0.244 · xwOBA 0.326
8%100 wRC+↓ 1.0%Walker Jenkins CF · comparable value (TV 2 vs target 6)
↑ mild buyIan Happ LF · ChC · FRAN · francisw789
+0.7σ buy-low · LF — fits a need · BA 0.216 / xBA 0.200 · xwOBA 0.309
73%107 wRC+↓ 1.4%Jac Caglianone RF · comparable value (TV 52 vs target 55)

Pitchers

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWKodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins
+1.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.82 vs xERA 4.94
11%3.96 ERA↑ 1.8%Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 14)
↑ mild buyFreddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO
+0.8σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.33 vs xERA 4.11
69%4.01 ERA↓ 2.6%Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 42)
↑ mild buyLanden Roupp SP · SF · FRST · prestonc51684
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.34 vs xERA 3.75
21%3.98 ERA≈ 0.2%Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 19)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

SideSentAt dealNowTrend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsAndy PagesA- +7A+ +44▲ up
Camp MVPPete Crow-ArmstrongC -7F -44▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team KnightonMatthew BoydF -22F -22
Camp MVPKenley JansenA+ +22A+ +22
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s BestCharlie Condon, Payton TolleA+ +50A+ +35▼ down
Worst2FirstDylan CeaseF -50F -35▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick KurtzTravis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLeanA+ +144A+ +106▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David BednarF -144F -106▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s BestSamuel Basallo, Kade AndersonA- +8A+ +22▲ up
Ramirez Against the MachineBlake SnellC -8F -22▼ down
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick KurtzJo Adell, Jacob deGromF -49F -50
Team KnightonTrea TurnerA+ +49A+ +50
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the MachineSandy AlcantaraF -42F -68▼ down
Miz-waukee’s BestJosh JungA+ +42A+ +68▲ up
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck ShowalterNasim NunezA+ +28B +0▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsJustin WrobleskiF -28B -0▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s BestChandler SimpsonA +10A- +7▼ down
The Boys of Summer$30 FAABD -10C -7▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s BestKenley Jansen—A- +7
Camp MVP$30 FAABA- +3C -7▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s BestNathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB—F -15
Ramirez Against the MachineJac CaglianoneA+ +60A+ +15▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

VerdictPlayerOwnSurface vs expectedContact2027 keeper
↓ SHOPYandy Diaz 1B · TB
0.64σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.305 / xBA 0.289 · xwOBA 0.358 — test the market, don't force it
92%BA 0.305 / xBA 0.289 +.016
wOBA 0.367 / xwOBA 0.358 +.009		HH 47.7% · Brl/PA 5.3%7th · +1 rd vs mkt
↓ SHOPHenry Bolte RF · Oak
0.57σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.267 / xBA 0.240 · xwOBA 0.304 — test the market, don't force it
4%BA 0.267 / xBA 0.240 +.027
wOBA 0.318 / xwOBA 0.304 +.014		HH 47.5% · Brl/PA 4.3%25th · +2 rds vs mkt
HOLD — KEEPER PRICELouis Varland RP · Tor
0.47σ sell-high · RP · ERA 1.24 vs xERA 2.26 — only move for keeper-grade return
86%ERA 1.24 / xERA 2.26 -1.02Brl 4.5% allowed22nd · +16 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

PlayerPosMLBBAxBAwOBAxwOBABrl%Own%Signal
James Wood IL10LFWsh0.2650.2750.3950.419100.099.1📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas3BChW0.2430.2660.3640.38894.094.8📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle SchwarberDHPhi0.2420.2360.3770.36499.099.5📈 BUY-LOW
Bryce Eldridge1BSF0.2480.2480.3410.34978.08.5↑ mild buy
Jac CaglianoneRFKC0.2770.2820.3530.36392.063.0↑ mild buy
Zach NetoSSLAA0.2310.2030.3220.29976.057.4fair
Randy ArozarenaLFSea0.2710.2610.3580.34446.093.1fair
Yandy Diaz1BTB0.3050.2890.3670.35843.092.5↓ mild fade
Cole CarriggCFCol0.2820.2600.3600.326nan16.7fair
Walker JenkinsCFMin—————1.8—
Ryan JeffersCMin0.2790.2530.3790.357nan42.6fair
Henry BolteRFOak0.2670.2400.3180.30443.04.1↓ mild fade
Kaelen CulpepperSSMin0.2890.2510.3300.303nan2.9fair
Royce Lewis3BMin0.2380.2450.3170.32177.021.6↑ mild buy
Jordan Lawlar3BAri0.2830.2610.3510.321nan3.0fair
Josue De PaulaLFLAD—————1.1—
James Tibbs IIIRFLAD—————0.5—

Pitchers

PitcherPosMLBIPERAWHIPxERAK-BB%xwOBA-aBrl%-aOwn%Signal
Blake SnellSPLAD15.03.601.132.1622.20.2290.085.6📈 BUY-LOW
Andres MunozRPSea47.34.371.203.2928.60.2829.580.2↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan IL15SPMin125.74.081.153.4921.20.29010.590.5fair
Dylan CeaseSPTor137.72.421.062.6625.70.2544.899.3fair
Jacob MisiorowskiSPMil145.01.680.761.9933.30.2193.899.5fair
Sandy AlcantaraSPMia176.73.461.183.6711.50.2975.390.8fair
Kyle HarrisonSPMil98.32.841.113.1523.90.2766.874.7fair
Eury PerezSPMia122.73.231.113.6517.00.2969.283.7fair
Louis VarlandRPTor65.31.240.982.2624.40.2344.585.8↓ mild fade
Felix Bautista IL60RPBal0.0——————0.5—

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

Top fantasy stories · last 24h.

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · Age2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdictNotes
1.0Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yo21st#1 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51UFDA-G FV 55
2.0Miguel Vargas3B · 26yo25th#2 (+22.5)#2 (+18.5)S · $18UFDA
3.0Louis VarlandRP · 28yo22nd#3 (+18.2)#3 (+17.0)A · $17
4.5Kyle HarrisonSP · 24yo25th#4 (+17.2)#5 (+14.4)A · $14UFDA
5.5Bryce Eldridge1B · 20yo25th#5 (+15.9)#6 (+13.7)A · $14UFDA FV 55
6.0Zach NetoSS · 25yo10th#8 (+13.3)#4 (+16.1)A · $16
6.5Eury PerezSP · 23yo20th#6 (+15.6)#7 (+12.6)A · $13UFDA-G
7.5Jac CaglianoneRF · 22yo21st#7 (+15.5)#8 (+11.8)A · $12UFDA-G FV 55

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

PlayerPos · AgeCostPeter (if elig.)Claude (if elig.)
Walker JenkinsCF · 20yo25th#16 (-2.0)#14 (+1.4)
Josue De PaulaLF · 19yo25th#16 (-2.0)#13 (+2.0)
James Tibbs IIIRF · 22yo25th#16 (-2.0)#14 (+0.7)

Updated Sat Aug 22 · 1:47 PM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · AgeTeam2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdict
2.0Jesus LuzardoSP · 28yoKNIG21st#1 (+28.7)#3 (+42.1)S · $42
2.0Jordan WalkerRF · 24yoGARR25th#2 (+28.5)#2 (+47.4)S · $47
2.5Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yoMIZ21st#4 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51
4.0Bryan BakerRP · 31yoDORN25th#3 (+25.5)#5 (+38.7)S · $39
5.5Ivan HerreraC · 26yoRAGE20th#5 (+23.2)#6 (+33.9)S · $34
7.5Dillon DinglerC · 27yoGARR22nd#7 (+22.8)#8 (+27.1)S · $27
7.5Cam SchlittlerSP · 24yoKRTZ19th— (+19.5)#4 (+40.8)S · $41
8.5Gabriel MorenoC · 26yoFRAN25th#6 (+23.1)— (+18.5)S · $18
9.0Riley O'BrienRP · 31yoTHAR17th— (+13.7)#7 (+30.6)S · $31
9.5Miguel Vargas3B · 26yoMIZ25th#8 (+22.5)— (+18.5)S · $18
10.0Ben Rice1B · 27yoDORN20th#9 (+22.1)— (+15.2)A · $15
10.0Cristopher SanchezSP · 29yoPEYT9th— (+17.5)#9 (+26.9)S · $27
10.5Brandon MarshCF · 28yoTHAR25th#10 (+21.8)— (+19.8)S · $20
10.5Nolan McLeanSP · 23yoDORN20th— (+20.3)#10 (+24.0)S · $24

Updated Sat Aug 22 · 1:47 PM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

TeamK1K2K3K4K5K6Cupboard
1MIZMisiorowskiR21VargasR25VarlandR22HarrisonR25EldridgeR25NetoR10100
2GARRWalkerR25DinglerR22MessickR18HancockR25GrayR7CanzoneR2594
3DORNBakerR25RiceR20McLeanR20PerdomoR21BazzanaR25WarrenR2589
4FRANMorenoR25LatzR25McCarthyR25ContrerasR11CavalliR21BradishR2186
5KNIGLuzardoR21AbreuR15deGromR13MartinezR25JensenR20RodriguezR2581
6KRTZBengeR25SchlittlerR19BurkeR25StewartR10McGonigleR17IIR579
7THARMarshR25O'BrienR17BauersR25RasmussenR8WilliamsR11GonzalesR2575
8GoOsGriffinR25BradleyR25BaldwinR14BurlesonR9RafaelaR8WachaR2569
9RAGEHerreraR20EwingR25CamineroR5LeeR21BasalloR19ImanagaR968
10BLOBSorianoR25LopezR20ScottR25LileR15ClemensR25SaleR163
11PEYT ▼ thinSanchezR9WeathersR18WooR8HendersonR25ArenadoR25SmithR1959
12FRST ▼ thinTolleR25WheelerR8RouppR25RumfieldR25BuxtonR7SkubalR155

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 6h · BP 2h · PL 3d · HL 7d · PSS 2h · BR 0h · FG 1h · proj 1h · closer 0h · oyster 2h · AAA-sc 15h · cookie ok
Scheduled updates