Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Monday, August 24 · 01:03 PM ET

☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ sits at 1st with 105.5 roto points, up half a point and 18.5 clear of #2 — a comfortable lead, but Wins remain razor-thin with GoOs dead level, and you're only 5 SB behind THAR for a point there.

⚾ Five of your guys went off yesterday: Blake Snell was brilliant (6 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K, W), while Kyle Schwarber delivered a walk-off homer per MLBTR — that's your 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI line — and Zach Neto (2-5, HR, RBI) and Randy Arozarena (1-4, HR, RBI, BB) each went deep; Henry Bolte added a quiet 3-for-5. Make sure Sandy Alcantara is active today.

🌱 Walker Jenkins (RI 100, Pipeline #15, yours) absolutely mashed at AAA Columbus: 3-for-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB, 2 BB — he's making the call-up conversation louder by the day. Your stash-board target Yohandy Morales (RI 88, FA) also went 3-for-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI at AAA Omaha, worth keeping an eye on the wire.

📊 On the FA side, the sim loves Dylan Smith (RP, SF) most — confirmed closer, +1.2 sim pts, 4 projected saves that directly attack your Wins gap. Luis Robert Jr. (CF, NYM) is the top bat target at 87/99 heat on a trusted 23-BBE sample (+0.4 sim pts). Note that Tyler Rogers, carrying a +1.2σ underlying-skill signal, was just dropped by Team Knighton and is now a free agent if you need bullpen depth.

📰 A couple of injury flags worth noting: Michael Soroka (owned by GoOs, your Wins rival) hit the 15-day IL with right arm inflammation — that's a meaningful dent to GoOs's pitching and could loosen their grip on that category. On the position-player side, both Willy Adames and Victor Bericoto left Sunday games with injuries and are awaiting MRI results, so monitor their roster statuses if you have lineup decisions tied to those slots.
ELIGIBILITYC. Carrigg SS 9/10K. Schwarber 1B 6/10
Your standing
1stof 12
105.5 roto pts +18.5 clear of 2nd
+0.5 pts vs last update
Top Gaps
SB (7.0) W (7.5)
categories below mid-pack
Score change since last update
W +0.5

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →
Δ to #1
R
881
954
🥇
HR
255
280
🥇
RBI
827
842
🥇
SB
123
128
133
180
+52
AVG
.253
.255
.257
.257
+0.002
K
1107
1130
1210
+80
W
63
66
66
70
77
+11
SV
73
75
82
87
+12
ERA
3.46
3.20
🥇
WHIP
1.17
1.11
🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-08-23)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

  • Felix Bautista (RP) IL60 on rehab
    AA2026-08-23 · 0.1 IP, 3 ER, 0 K, 3 BB

✅ Activated off the IL: Jordan Lawlar (SS · 2026-08-17) — rehab done.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: James Wood (IL10), Joe Ryan (IL15), Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

TeamMove
Phil Swift's Flex Seal + Matthew Liberatore | − Cam Smith
Phil Swift's Flex Seal + Aaron Nola | − Ryan Weathers
Phil Swift's Flex Seal + Andrew Alvarez | − Jake Bennett
Photogenic Nick Kurtz+ George Klassen | − Cal Quantrill
Team Knighton+ Ozzie Albies | − Tyler Rogers

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10k-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

98.5% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 101.1 roto pts

#TeamPtsFAABWin%Proj PtsProj Rk
1MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best105.5$098.5%101.11.0
2FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums87.0$741.5%89.02.1
3KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz77.0$300.0%78.73.6
4PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal 75.5$350.0%79.53.5
5GoOs I need Buck Showalter74.5$1700.0%72.54.8
6BLOB Camp MVP64.0$1680.0%67.55.8
7THAR Phil Mickeltits62.0$1760.0%57.67.4
8KNIG Team Knighton54.5$1370.0%55.08.0
9GARR The Boys of Summer50.0$1550.0%52.28.6
10DORN Dorn and Associates LLC 44.5$890.0%42.510.8
11RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine44.5$1630.0%38.611.7
12FRST Worst2First41.0$1540.0%46.010.0

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 11.0SB 7.3AVG 8.3W 6.5SV 9.2K 10.9ERA 12.0WHIP 11.9

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

145 of 200 GS · should be 163 · 18 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively
055 left · ~11.3/wk to cap · proj 178200

RelieverRecon's BP score + Pitcher List's tier ranking + our matchup score, folded into one Verdict — rows ranked by the Verdict number, your arms pinned on top. Refreshed 13:00 · BP post.

⚠ Patreon blocked today's post body, so the Save/Hold Vulture and Multi-Inning lists below could not be read. The SP board is current — check the BP post directly for today's relievers.

Top SPs · ranked by Verdict · green = yours

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Sandy Alcantaravs BOSDART4.26.8—average BOS lineup, hot recent form, strong skills
Zebby Matthews@ ATHDART6.73.7#15HR-prone zone-chaser missing edges; ugly matchup.
Kumar Rocker@ CWSSIT6.03.2#14Improving stuff, no results; streaming only for desperate K-seekers.
Jeffrey Springsvs MINSIT4.63.7#17No positive indicators; avoid.
Ryan Feltner@ WSHSIT5.71.8#20Avoid even in favorable road context.
Carson Whisenhuntvs CINSIT4.72.3#19Changeup elite, rest of arsenal insufficient.
Merrill Kellyvs CHCSIT⚠4.30.9#16Needs significant positive regression to be viable.
Tyler Phillipsvs. BOSSITleash——#18Potential pitch-count limitation expected here.

Openers filtered: Jose Urquidy

Your staff: 3.20 ERA / 1.11 WHIP · GS 145/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

Tomorrow · 1 of yours + top 5 FA · Tue 8/25 · BP not out yet, so pill = our score + Pitcher List

PitcherMatchupVerdictBPMIZPLTake
Kyle Harrison@ NYMSTART—6.9—average NYM lineup, strong skills, hot recent form
Walbert Ureñavs CLEDART—5.6—soft CLE lineup, short leash, strong skills
Clay Holmes@ AZDART—5.4—average AZ lineup, hot recent form, hitter park
Ethan Pecko@ NYYDART—5.4—average NYY lineup, strong skills
Adrian Houservs CINDART—5.3—average CIN lineup, hot recent form, weak skills
Brandon Pfaadtvs CHCDART—5.3—tough CHC lineup, hot recent form, hitter park

Probable Multi-Inning (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Bulk Watch (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Save Vulture (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Hold Vulture (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

Rested Multi-Inning (rating ≥ 8.0)

⚠ Couldn't read today's post body (Patreon block) — list unavailable.

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 405 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 52% · BLOWUP 16% · agg ERA 4.12 · WHIP 1.29 · 4.5 K/start · 460 picks logged, 45 never started, 10 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 405 graded starts

GEM 86 GOOD 126 OK 127 BLOWUP 66
GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.
CohortnGOOD+BLOWUPERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START2070%10%3.12
Verdict · START3661%8%3.38
Verdict · DART8250%15%4.41
Verdict · SIT14948%21%4.47
MIZ ≥ 5.010360%13%3.60
MIZ 3.5–4.910052%17%4.47
MIZ < 3.57240%24%4.99
All live board picks28752%17%4.21
Q1 read — GOOD+ falls 70% · 61% · 50% · 48% down the rungs, but BLOWUP does not rise with it, and MIZ sorts: GOOD+ falls 60% · 52% · 40% from the top band down.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start4370%12%3.41
PL · Probably Start4168%17%3.56
PL · Questionable Start9651%16%4.45
PL · Do Not Start19449%19%4.24
BP · Auto2241%14%4.56
BP · Likely6447%16%4.13
All graded picks40552%16%4.12
Q2 read — against the 52% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (70% · 68%) and BP's top tiers sit under it (41% · 47%) — PL is earning the weight, BP is not.

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is earning its keep — 67% GOOD+ on n=9. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 52% for all live picks).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#HitterMatchupWhyLegsScore
1STARTRafael Flores Jr.1B · 6% own
@ SD · Ray LHP
.350 xwOBAL15: 0.984 OPS (40 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.535 xwOBAcon, 20 BBE)usually bats 5thbeats 2 of 4 eligible startersRay .329 allowed · soft SP0.874 OPS vs LHP (33 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
77
2AUTO STARTEsmerlyn ValdezRF · 19% own
@ SD · Ray LHP
.336 xwOBAL15: 0.633 OPS (50 PA)L14 contact +2.0 (.415 xwOBAcon, 24 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 5 of 5 eligible startersRay .329 allowed · soft SP1.078 OPS vs LHP (73 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
77
3AUTO STARTRyan ViladeRF · 0% own
@ DET · Valdez LHP
.322 xwOBAL15: 1.075 OPS (26 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.589 xwOBAcon, 15 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 8 of 9 eligible startersValdez .324 allowed · avg SP0.856 OPS vs LHP (118 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
76
4AUTO STARTAbimelec Ortiz1B · 5% own
vs COL · Feltner RHP
.335 xwOBAL15: 0.756 OPS (45 PA)L14 contact +0.9 (.390 xwOBAcon, 29 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 6 of 7 eligible startersFeltner .358 allowed · soft SP0.793 OPS vs RHP (57 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
75
5AUTO STARTDane MyersCF · 0% own
@ SF · Whisenhunt LHP
.316 xwOBAL15: 0.700 OPS (51 PA)L14 contact -2.7 (.309 xwOBAcon, 35 BBE)usually bats 3rd (×1.07)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersWhisenhunt .378 allowed · soft SP0.839 OPS vs LHP (88 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
70
6AUTO STARTMatt McLain2B · 8% own
@ SF · Whisenhunt LHP
.320 xwOBAL15: 0.729 OPS (57 PA)L14 contact +1.6 (.406 xwOBAcon, 33 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)beats 3 of 4 eligible startersWhisenhunt .378 allowed · soft SP0.752 OPS vs LHP (78 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
61
7AUTO STARTAlan RodenLF · 0% own
@ ATH · Springs LHP
.334 xwOBAL14 contact +1.1 (.395 xwOBAcon, 14 BBE)usually bats 7th (×0.95)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersshort side vs LHP — 17% of ABSprings .344 allowed · soft SP
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
59
8AUTO STARTDonovan Walton2B · 1% own
vs MIN · Matthews RHP
.323 xwOBAL15: 0.863 OPS (40 PA)L14 contact -1.5 (.337 xwOBAcon, 27 BBE)usually bats 8th (×0.93)beats 4 of 6 eligible startersMatthews .332 allowed · soft SP0.863 OPS vs RHP (140 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
59
9STARTEdwin ArroyoSS · 0% own
@ SF · Whisenhunt LHP
.307 xwOBAbeats 1 of 4 eligible startersWhisenhunt .378 allowed · soft SP0.688 OPS vs LHP (33 AB)
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
54
10AUTO STARTTyrone TaylorCF · 0% own
@ AZ · Kelly RHP
.311 xwOBAL14 contact -5.0 (.210 xwOBAcon, 13 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 52% of ABKelly .399 allowed · soft SP0.716 OPS vs RHP (90 AB)AZ plays hot
L15
bat
SP
L/R
park
53

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 54, worst Zach Neto (18). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Miguel Vargas
87
1Luis Robert Jr.CF · NYM · 14.4%HEATER
87/99 heat on 23 BBE trusted sample; elite EV+xwOBAcon, scorching 7-day production validates signal
Heat 87 · 23 BBE · ATC 116 PA · 4 HR · 6 SB · 0.233 · L7 0.313 · 3 HR · sim +0.4 pts
2Mickey Gasper
C · Bos · 1.4% · BEST VALUE
80/99 heat on 16 BBE barely clears threshold; 3 HR/9 RBI last 7 days is real—roto sim +0.2 confirms
Heat 80 · 16 BBE · ATC 11 PA · 0 HR · 0 SB · 0.225 · L7 0.353 · 3 HR · sim +0.2 pts
3Dylan Beavers
LF · Bal · 1.1% · UPSIDE
78/99 heat, 15 BBE minimum met; 3 HR last 7 days corroborates; 98 PA projection provides everyday volume
Heat 78 · 15 BBE · ATC 98 PA · 3 HR · 2 SB · 0.237 · L7 0.286 · 3 HR · sim +0.1 pts
4Tim Tawa
CF · Ari · 5.1% · CATEGORY FIT
36 BBE trusted heat at 79/99; .375 BA last 7 helps AVG (MIZ at risk) plus SB upside
Heat 79 · 36 BBE · ATC 102 PA · 3 HR · 3 SB · 0.226 · L7 0.375 · 1 HR · sim +0.1 pts
5Nick Sogard
1B · Bos · 10.2% · HEATER
L7 flare 84/99 on 20 BBE is trusted; .500 BA/8 R last 7 days; roto sim +0.2 endorses
L7 flare 84 · ATC 63 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.234 · L7 0.5 · 2 HR · sim +0.2 pts
Passed on: Ryan Vilade has the highest xwOBAcon (0.589) and EV of any heat-board name but only 41 PA projected RoS limits volume impact too severely to outrank full-time contributors.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 17 yours · 10 FAs

RankHitterMLBPosChgAVGxwOBAHRSBRoSChu’s Take
18Randy ArozarenaSEAOF-.275.3492020123Randy Arozarena is only hitting .238 in August, but his expected stats for this month suggest it should be closer to .280. I’m a little d…
19Kyle SchwarberPHIDH+2.245.369393129When Kyle Schwarber is hot, he’s HOT. The Field of Dreams game was his second two-homer outing in his last five starts and facing the Twi…
39Yandy DíazTB1B+10.306.356193123
40Miguel VargasCHW1B/3B-10.245.3892912113Miguel Vargas continues to slump, and while there isn’t anything you should do about it from an add/drop perspective, it’s certainly frus…
57Zach NetoLAASS+4.237.3042218108
62Royce LewisMIN1B/2B/3B+8.234.3191312103
63Cole CarriggCOLOF+2.273.3235768
72Jac CaglianoneKC1B/OF+23.276.361226107Jac Caglianone has improved the strikeout rate in a huge way, and the ground ball rate is below 50%. All systems are GO.
77Dansby SwansonCHCSS+2.216.3071817100
84Ty FranceSD1B+1.289.329181106
101Tyler SoderstromATH1B/OF+5.245.328192—
102Jacob WilsonATHSS+8.266.28274—
112Tyler StephensonCINC+UR.242.33812095
114Dylan CrewsWSHOF+15.214.31910889
117Ryan JeffersMINC+15.282.355101117
120Tim TawaARI1B/2B/3B/OF+16.250.3148779
122Andruw MonasterioBOS2B/SS+15.254.3016490
126Luis RengifoSD2B/3B/OF+17.247.3064686
133Cam SmithHOUOF+UR.215.3231710100OK, Cam Smith , go ahead, tease me one more time.
139Bryce EldridgeSF1B-26.252.35214199Bryce Eldridge is getting the ball in the air, but he’s not pulling it much and strikeouts have been an issue. He’s a solid hold in Dynas…
TSHenry BolteOakOF—.270.30461497Henry Bolte (OF, ATH) — Playing every day but the results aren’t overly exciting (though playing a ton of lefties lately has helped).
TSJordan LawlarAri3B/OF—.286.3272488Jordan Lawlar (3B/OF, ARI) — Has a home run in back-to-back games on his rehab, but striking out a TON. Sounds like he’ll be back this we…
TSKaelen CulpepperMinSS—.289.3312090Kaelen Culpepper (SS, MIN) — Culpepper is off to a slow start and is sitting every third day or so, but can remain an upside stash if you…
TSWalker JenkinsMinOF—————91Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Hitting extremely well in August (1.063 OPS), and the collapse of Larnach may give him a chance to break throu…
URFranklin AriasBosSS——————Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
URJames WoodWshOF—.265.4193017130Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
URRalphy VelazquezCle1B—————85Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/10–8/23 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

87
Luis Robert Jr.
CF · NYM · 14.4% own · xwOBAcon .576 · EV 94.3 · Brl 26.1% · 23 BBE
▲ .056 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.225922222
L14.2814650
85
Colt Keith
1B · Det · 5.3% own · xwOBAcon .462 · EV 94.2 · Brl 8.7% · 23 BBE
▼ .009 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.268932465
L14.2591140
83
Ryan Vilade
RF · TB · 0.3% own · xwOBAcon .589 · EV 94.4 · Brl 13.3% · 15 BBE
▲ .101 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2631137243
L14.3642250
80
Elias Diaz
C · Tex · 0.2% own · xwOBAcon .445 · EV 93.1 · Brl 19.0% · 21 BBE
▼ .011 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.233622150
L14.2221310
80
Mickey Gasper
C · Bos · 1.4% own · xwOBAcon .505 · EV 90.8 · Brl 18.8% · 16 BBE
▲ .095 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.258316150
L14.3533940
79
Tim Tawa
CF · Ari · 5.1% own · xwOBAcon .481 · EV 91.3 · Brl 13.9% · 36 BBE
▲ .054 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.250832267
L14.3042654
79
Lars Nootbaar
LF · Ari · 2.5% own · xwOBAcon .433 · EV 91.3 · Brl 14.3% · 21 BBE
▼ .032 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.224421252
L14.1921421
78
Rafael Flores Jr.
1B · Pit · 6.2% own · xwOBAcon .535 · EV 90.4 · Brl 25.0% · 20 BBE
▲ .036 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.250613100
L14.28651180
78
Dylan Beavers
LF · Bal · 1.1% own · xwOBAcon .462 · EV 92.7 · Brl 26.7% · 15 BBE
▲ .000 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.241628275
L14.2414940
77
Coby Mayo
1B · Bal · 1.7% own · xwOBAcon .486 · EV 90.5 · Brl 19.2% · 26 BBE
▼ .001 BA vs SZN
BAHRRBIRSB
SZN.2121747462
L14.2112570
Honorable mention · hottest L7 (8/17–8/23), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust
84
Nick Sogard
1B · Bos
.515 xwOBAcon
20 BBE · .500 L7
84
Jake Rogers
C · ChW
.559 xwOBAcon
8 BBE · .154 L7
82
Hao-Yu Lee
3B · Det
.452 xwOBAcon
16 BBE · .471 L7
82
Patrick Bailey
C · Cle
.522 xwOBAcon
11 BBE · .313 L7
81
Andres Chaparro
1B · Wsh
.465 xwOBAcon
12 BBE · .357 L7
79
Luis Torrens
C · NYM
.479 xwOBAcon
9 BBE · .300 L7
🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Sandy Alcantara
40
1Dylan SmithRP · SF · 0.6%BEST VALUE
Roto sim #1 (+1.2), confirmed closer role, 4 projected SV directly attacks rank-3 saves gap
Supp 40 · 9 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.97 · 1.33 · 4 SV · Closer · sim +1.2 pts
2Andrew Kittredge
RP · Bal · 1.7% · CATEGORY FIT
Roto sim +0.9, confirmed Bal closer role, 2 SV projection shores up saves buffer over rank-4
Supp 78 · 17 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.87 · 1.21 · 2 SV · Closer · sim +0.9 pts
3Kevin Ginkel
RP · Ari · 1.2% · CATEGORY FIT
Confirmed Ari closer role, roto sim +0.5; saves depth insurance, small-sample suppression acceptable with role certainty
Supp 56 · 14 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 4.03 · 1.27 · Closer · sim +0.5 pts
4Joey Cantillo
RP · Cle · 24.1% · HEATER
L14 suppression 81/99 on 23 BBE trusted enough; 4.05 ERA/1.33 WHIP won't bleed ratios critically, adds Ks
Supp 81 · 23 BBE · ATC 31.0 IP · 2 W · 32 K · 4.05 · 1.33 · sim +0.0 pts
5Jared Jones
SP · Pit · 12.7% · UPSIDE
Best ATC ERA (3.99) of SP pool, roto sim +0.1 leads SPs; 21-BBE suppression sample modest but EV supports
Supp 42 · 21 BBE · ATC 29.0 IP · 2 W · 30 K · 3.99 · 1.23 · sim +0.1 pts
Passed on: Clay Holmes has elite L14 suppression (88/99, 38 BBE — fully trusted) but his 1.33 WHIP on 32 projected IP risks MIZ's #1 WHIP lead for essentially zero roto sim gain.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

RankPitcherMLBChgERAxERAK/9RoSPollack’s Take
1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL-1.681.9913.43.32I’m kinda incredulous that it’s mid-August and he’s still doing it.
9Dylan CeaseTOR+12.372.6813.03.45Cease’s walk rate will continue to keep the WHIP higher than we like, but that strikeout rate is bonkers.
16Blake SnellLAD+82.572.3011.13.42It’s #HotSnellSummer.
18Eury PérezMIA+73.173.679.73.87Pérez is getting more done with his slider to RHB, and I’m happy the fastballs find success, even if they need a touch more polish.
26Sandy AlcantaraMIA-33.463.676.74.19He’s a QS machine. It’s as simple as that.
28Kyle HarrisonMIL-62.843.1511.24.12Say what you want about the scoring change of his last start, he still pitched badly. All I want is for him to redeem himself tonight.
38Jared JonesPIT+24.763.6710.23.99Jones had some rough patches against the Red Sox, but was able to wriggle out of jams. I still question if this is too high a rank above …
39Dustin MayMIL+64.574.208.64.09May isn’t getting the whiffs we want to see from his sweeper (yet), and is still a reliable arm for a winning team.
40Walbert UreñaLAA+22.803.328.74.54Ureña rarely lets us down. He’s really doing José a service.
41Peter LambertHOU-3.683.448.84.58It’s the tier of fantastic pickups and Lambert has produced so regularly for managers all year.
44Jacob LopezATH+164.983.368.64.63He’s doing what he did last summer. It’s AWESOME.
46Joey CantilloCLE-33.733.899.94.05The velocity and curveball are there. It’s what you want.
49Ryan WeathersNYY-53.604.299.43.85It’s interesting seeing Weathers allow far fewer HRs and hold a great ERA at the cost of a high WHIP and fewer strikeouts. Which is bette…
51Jackson JobeDET-44.506.337.14.71Jobe looked great, then looked blegh. The velocity was still there in his second start, though, with a flatter HAVAA than I receall befor…
53Nick LodoloCIN+55.046.507.14.24We’ve seen two starts of Lodolo since returning from the IL and I was impressed by his changeup feel recently. Not the rest of his approa…
56Sean ManaeaNYM+34.314.819.04.26Manaea’s last outing wasn’t as pretty as the others, but his four-seamer is still the pitch we want it to be.

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning
PitcherTmRoleSVSVHDIPERAWHIPxERAK/9Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—Andrés MuñozSeattle MarinersCL232347.34.371.203.29 ↓14.35.0 · —
—Louis VarlandToronto Blue JaysCL293466.31.220.982.24 ↑11.15.0 · —
—Justin MartinezArizona DiamondbacksFU002.00.001.005.53 ↑4.51.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—Dylan SmithSan Francisco GiantsCL31027.32.961.213.5411.54.0 · 1%
Andrew KittredgeBaltimore OriolesCL61539.33.431.353.867.63.0 · 2%
Kevin Ginkel
b2b
Arizona DiamondbacksCL21355.03.761.113.728.71.0 · 1%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

51
Justin Martinez RP · Ari
low TV (0); UFDA — easy to drop; BUT strong RoS (3.46 ERA)
sim −0.80% win if cut
TV 0
UFDA
39
Royce Lewis 3B · Min
low TV (18)
sim −0.11% win if cut
TV 18
Rd 13
16
Ryan Jeffers C · Min
cold last 7d; UFDA — easy to drop
sim cost ~0
TV 100
UFDA
10
Sandy Alcantara SP · Mia
BUT solid keeper
sim cost ~0
TV 72
Rd 14

Higher score = drop sooner. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

23 available — 3 yours

W. Jenkins YOURS
OF · MIN · AAA · 21 · knocking on the door
100
PSS
81
PFV
61
ETA
days
Szn
13·16·.321
F. Arias YOURS
SS · BOS · AAA · 20 · knocking on the door
90
PSS
68
PFV
60
ETA
days
Szn
23·5·.312
R. Velazquez YOURS
1B/C · CLE · AA · 20 · nearly ready
85
PSS
78
PFV
57
ETA
Sept
Szn
27·2·.293
J. Tibbs III
OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door
96
PSS
88
PFV
54
ETA
days
Szn
27·7·.302
S. Thompson
OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down
95
PSS
78
PFV
55
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
12·14·.300
L. Montes
OF · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready
88
PSS
69
PFV
56
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
37·6·.252
Y. Morales
3B · WSN · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
88
PSS
77
PFV
47
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
24·5·.291
S. King
SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready
88
PSS
78
PFV
50
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
18·14·.325
M. Arroyo
SS · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready
85
PSS
44
PFV
55
ETA
days
Szn
17·15·.281
E. Salas
C · SDP · AAA · 20 · nearly ready
85
PSS
84
PFV
52
ETA
September
Szn
10·15·.293
M. Anderson
2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
84
PSS
71
PFV
52
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
15·5·.305
R. Ward
LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down
83
PSS
86
PFV
51
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
20·7·.259
B. Davidson
OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
83
PSS
83
PFV
42
ETA
September
Szn
25·19·.286
C. Ingle
C · CLE · ↩ sent down
82
PSS
80
PFV
48
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
18·2·.292
P. Harber
3B · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
81
PSS
51
PFV
54
ETA
'27
Szn
17·4·.289
Z. Hope
OF · DET · AA · 21 · nearly ready
81
PSS
94
PFV
60
ETA
Sept
Szn
25·22·.273
H. Mendez
OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
80
PSS
69
PFV
58
ETA
Sept
Szn
11·4·.279
K. Alderman
OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · nearly ready
79
PSS
73
PFV
49
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
18·10·.266
C. Cannarella
OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready
79
PSS
72
PFV
50
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
13·18·.333
E. Arroyo
SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
79
PSS
71
PFV
49
ETA
1-3wk
Szn
15·14·.292
J. Long
1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
78
PSS
66
PFV
52
ETA
4-8wk
Szn
13·3·.279
J. Made
SS · MIL · AA · 19 · on the climb
74
PSS
97
PFV
64
ETA
Sept
Szn
13·33·.272
D. Crisantes
2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb
67
PSS
16
PFV
58
ETA
days
Szn
8·0·.291
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 22: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

26 available

E. Pecko
SP · HOU · AAA · 23 · ↗ called up
75
PSS
68
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
90K·4.59
A. Kelly
SP · PIT · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
88
PSS
18
PFV
61
ETA
—
Szn
70K·4.21
E. Rodríguez
SP · NYY · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
84
PSS
69
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
109K·2.91
J. Tong
SP · NYM · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down
82
PSS
36
PFV
60
ETA
—
Szn
125K·4.75
T. Johnson
SP · TBR · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
80
PSS
89
PFV
60
ETA
—
Szn
78K·2.81
C. Crow
SP · MIL · ↩ sent down
80
PSS
47
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
89K·3.55
T. Bremner
SP · LAA · AA · 22 · nearly ready
79
PSS
99
PFV
66
ETA
'26
Szn
84K·4.26
D. Davalillo
SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · nearly ready
78
PSS
47
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
90K·4.61
T. McDougal
SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down
78
PSS
40
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
47K·4.43
J. Ritchie
SP · ATL · ↩ sent down
76
PSS
36
PFV
59
ETA
—
Szn
114K·3.83
G. Wood
P · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb
74
PSS
99
PFV
48
ETA
'26
Szn
117K·4.11
M. Forret
SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb
73
PSS
74
PFV
72
ETA
—
Szn
115K·3.85
B. Garrett
SP · ↩ sent down
70
PSS
80
PFV
62
ETA
June 1st
Szn
101K·3.68
R. Sloan
SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb
69
PSS
100
PFV
64
ETA
—
Szn
111K·3.63
B. Mautz
SP · STL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down
68
PSS
45
PFV
57
ETA
—
Szn
90K·3.89
C. Dana
SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb
67
PSS
36
PFV
58
ETA
—
Szn
69K·6.18
M. Ullola
SP · HOU · ↩ sent down
65
PSS
72
PFV
52
ETA
—
Szn
93K·4.50
J. Wenninger
SP · NYM · on the climb
64
PSS
28
PFV
66
ETA
—
Szn
104K·4.17
L. Perales
SP · WSN · on the climb
63
PSS
66
PFV
55
ETA
—
Szn
97K·3.64
B. Hopkins
SP · TBR · on the climb
62
PSS
42
PFV
63
ETA
—
Szn
111K·5.52
T. Gibson
SP · BAL · ↩ sent down
61
PSS
40
PFV
62
ETA
—
Szn
94K·5.15
L. Braun
SP · ATL · developing
49
PSS
35
PFV
54
ETA
—
Szn
95K·3.81
Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 11 not a 2026 factor — Jurrangelo Cijntje · Joseph Dzierwa · Liam Doyle · Jamie Arnold · Anthony Eyanson · Christian Zazueta · Nestor German · Tyson Hardin · Jaxon Wiggins · Jonathan Santucci · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWCorey Seager SS · Tex · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+1.3σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.224 / xBA 0.242 · xwOBA 0.346
58%129 wRC+↓ 0.3%Walker Jenkins CF + Kyle Harrison SP · two-piece package (TV 61 vs target 51)
↑ mild buyYordan Alvarez OF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.9σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.320 / xBA 0.329 · xwOBA 0.458
100%168 wRC+≈ 0.2%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buyOneil Cruz CF · Pit · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.8σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.265 / xBA 0.255 · xwOBA 0.362
83%106 wRC+≈ 0.1%Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 61)
↑ mild buyJJ Wetherholt SS · StL · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.7σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.244 / xBA 0.257 · xwOBA 0.352
85%109 wRC+↓ 0.4%Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 64)
↑ mild buyElly De La Cruz SS · Cin · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.7σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.262 / xBA 0.272 · xwOBA 0.361
98%112 wRC+↑ 0.3%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buyKazuma Okamoto 3B · Tor · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.6σ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.230 / xBA 0.218 · xwOBA 0.315
46%107 wRC+↓ 0.3%Franklin Arias SS + Royce Lewis 3B · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 28)
fairEsteury Ruiz LF · Mia · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+nanσ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.244 / xBA 0.195 · xwOBA 0.297
2%90 wRC+≈ 0.2%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fairMax Clark CF · Det · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+nanσ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.253 / xBA 0.277 · xwOBA 0.308
19%98 wRC+↓ 0.7%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fairConnor Norby 3B · Col · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+nanσ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.216 / xBA 0.196 · xwOBA 0.290
1%86 wRC+≈ 0.2%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fairAngel Genao SS · Cle · KRTZ · FratSkins
+nanσ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.288 / xBA 0.254 · xwOBA 0.297
4%95 wRC+≈ 0.2%Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)

Pitchers

VerdictTargetOwnRoSTitle ΔSuggested offer
📈 BUY-LOWKodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins
+1.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.79 vs xERA 4.98
10%3.96 ERA↑ 0.5%Franklin Arias SS · comparable value (TV 9 vs target 14)
↑ mild buyFreddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO
+0.8σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.33 vs xERA 4.11
68%4.01 ERA≈ 0.1%Franklin Arias SS + Royce Lewis 3B + +$16 FAAB · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 42)
↑ mild buyLanden Roupp SP · SF · FRST · prestonc51684
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.34 vs xERA 3.75
21%3.98 ERA≈ 0.2%Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 19)
↑ mild buyBryce Miller SP · Sea · BLOB · crenshawh19
+0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.12 vs xERA 3.17
41%4.10 ERA≈ 0.0%Walker Jenkins CF + Kyle Harrison SP · two-piece package (TV 61 vs target 48)
↑ mild buyAaron Nola SP · Phi · PEYT · simplejack2k9
+0.5σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.12 vs xERA 4.17
42%4.34 ERA≈ 0.1%Franklin Arias SS + Royce Lewis 3B · two-piece package (TV 27 vs target 26)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

SideSentAt dealNowTrend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsAndy PagesA- +7A+ +44▲ up
Camp MVPPete Crow-ArmstrongC -7F -44▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team KnightonMatthew BoydF -22F -22
Camp MVPKenley JansenA+ +22A+ +22
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s BestCharlie Condon, Payton TolleA+ +50A+ +35▼ down
Worst2FirstDylan CeaseF -50F -35▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick KurtzTravis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLeanA+ +144A+ +106▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David BednarF -144F -106▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s BestSamuel Basallo, Kade AndersonA- +8A- +7
Ramirez Against the MachineBlake SnellC -8C -7
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick KurtzJo Adell, Jacob deGromF -49F -50
Team KnightonTrea TurnerA+ +49A+ +50
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the MachineSandy AlcantaraF -42F -68▼ down
Miz-waukee’s BestJosh JungA+ +42A+ +68▲ up
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck ShowalterNasim NunezA+ +28B +0▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You BumsJustin WrobleskiF -28B -0▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s BestChandler SimpsonA +10A- +7▼ down
The Boys of Summer$30 FAABD -10C -7▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s BestKenley Jansen—A- +7
Camp MVP$30 FAABA- +3C -7▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s BestNathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB—F -40
Ramirez Against the MachineJac CaglianoneA+ +60A+ +40▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

VerdictPlayerOwnSurface vs expectedContact2027 keeper
↓ SHOPYandy Diaz 1B · TB
0.70σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.306 / xBA 0.288 · xwOBA 0.356 — test the market, don't force it
93%BA 0.306 / xBA 0.288 +.018
wOBA 0.366 / xwOBA 0.356 +.010		HH 47.4% · Brl/PA 5.2%7th · +1 rd vs mkt
↓ SHOPHenry Bolte RF · Oak
0.66σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.270 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.304 — test the market, don't force it
4%BA 0.270 / xBA 0.239 +.031
wOBA 0.321 / xwOBA 0.304 +.017		HH 47.5% · Brl/PA 4.2%25th · +2 rds vs mkt
HOLD — KEEPER PRICELouis Varland RP · Tor
0.50σ sell-high · RP · ERA 1.22 vs xERA 2.24 — only move for keeper-grade return
86%ERA 1.22 / xERA 2.24 -1.02Brl 4.4% allowed22nd · +16 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

PlayerPosMLBBAxBAwOBAxwOBABrl%Own%Signal
James Wood IL10LFWsh0.2650.2750.3950.419100.099.1📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas3BChW0.2450.2660.3670.38993.095.0📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle SchwarberDHPhi0.2450.2400.3800.36998.099.5📈 BUY-LOW
Bryce Eldridge OUT1BSF0.2520.2510.3430.35276.08.4↑ mild buy
Jac Caglianone DTDRFKC0.2760.2800.3530.36192.058.3fair
Zach NetoSSLAA0.2370.2070.3290.30477.059.4fair
Randy ArozarenaLFSea0.2750.2630.3670.34953.093.3fair
Yandy Diaz1BTB0.3060.2880.3660.35642.092.6↓ mild fade
Cole CarriggCFCol0.2730.2550.3510.323nan15.7fair
Walker JenkinsCFMin—————1.9—
Ryan JeffersCMin0.2820.2520.3800.355nan43.0fair
Henry BolteRFOak0.2700.2390.3210.30441.04.1↓ mild fade
Kaelen CulpepperSSMin0.2890.2710.3420.331nan3.0fair
Royce Lewis3BMin0.2340.2430.3110.31977.019.6↑ mild buy
Jordan Lawlar3BAri0.2860.2730.3480.327nan3.3fair
Franklin AriasSSBos—————1.4—
Ralphy Velazquez1BCle—————0.6—

Pitchers

PitcherPosMLBIPERAWHIPxERAK-BB%xwOBA-aBrl%-aOwn%Signal
Blake SnellSPLAD21.02.571.052.3019.50.2360.087.5↑ mild buy
Andres MunozRPSea47.34.371.203.2928.60.2829.580.2↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan IL15SPMin125.74.081.153.4921.20.29010.590.3fair
Jacob MisiorowskiSPMil145.01.680.761.9933.30.2193.899.5fair
Dylan CeaseSPTor144.32.371.062.6825.00.2554.699.3fair
Sandy AlcantaraSPMia176.73.461.183.6711.50.2975.391.1fair
Kyle HarrisonSPMil98.32.841.113.1523.90.2766.876.1fair
Eury PerezSPMia127.73.171.113.6716.50.2979.182.1fair
Louis VarlandRPTor66.31.220.982.2424.80.2334.485.8↓ mild fade
Felix Bautista IL60RPBal0.0——————0.6—
Justin MartinezRPAri2.00.001.005.53-11.10.3570.01.6—

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

Top fantasy stories · last 24h.

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · Age2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdictNotes
1.5Miguel Vargas3B · 26yo25th#1 (+25.5)#2 (+21.2)S · $21UFDA
1.5Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yo21st#2 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51UFDA-G FV 55
3.5Louis VarlandRP · 28yo22nd#4 (+18.2)#3 (+17.0)A · $17
4.0Eury PerezSP · 23yo20th#3 (+18.6)#5 (+15.2)A · $15UFDA-G
5.5Kyle HarrisonSP · 24yo25th#5 (+17.2)#6 (+14.4)A · $14UFDA
6.0Zach NetoSS · 25yo10th#8 (+13.4)#4 (+16.1)A · $16
6.5Bryce Eldridge1B · 20yo25th#6 (+16.0)#7 (+13.7)A · $14UFDA FV 55
7.5Jac CaglianoneRF · 22yo21st#7 (+15.5)#8 (+11.8)A · $12UFDA-G FV 55

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

PlayerPos · AgeCostPeter (if elig.)Claude (if elig.)
Walker JenkinsCF · 20yo25th#15 (-2.0)#13 (+1.4)
Franklin AriasSS · 19yo25th#15 (-2.0)#12 (+3.0)
Ralphy Velazquez1B · 19yo25th#15 (-2.0)#13 (+1.4)

Updated Mon Aug 24 · 1:04 PM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons
Rank		PlayerPos · AgeTeam2027
Cost		PeterClaudeVerdict
1.5Jesus LuzardoSP · 28yoKNIG21st#1 (+28.7)#2 (+42.1)S · $42
3.0Jacob MisiorowskiSP · 22yoMIZ21st#5 (+24.4)#1 (+50.8)S · $51
3.5Jordan WalkerRF · 24yoGARR25th#2 (+27.5)#5 (+38.7)S · $39
4.0Bryan BakerRP · 31yoDORN25th#4 (+25.2)#4 (+38.7)S · $39
6.0Dillon DinglerC · 27yoGARR22nd#6 (+22.8)#6 (+27.1)S · $27
7.0Miguel Vargas3B · 26yoMIZ25th#3 (+25.5)— (+21.2)S · $21
7.0Cam SchlittlerSP · 24yoKRTZ19th— (+19.5)#3 (+40.8)S · $41
9.0Gabriel MorenoC · 26yoFRAN25th#7 (+22.1)— (+17.1)A · $17
9.0Cristopher SanchezSP · 29yoPEYT9th— (+18.2)#7 (+26.9)S · $27
9.5Ben Rice1B · 27yoDORN20th#8 (+22.1)— (+15.2)A · $15
9.5Ivan HerreraC · 26yoRAGE20th— (+21.2)#8 (+25.1)S · $25
10.0Payton TolleSP · 22yoFRST25th#9 (+22.0)— (+18.5)S · $18
10.0Nolan McLeanSP · 23yoDORN20th— (+20.4)#9 (+24.0)S · $24
10.5Carson BengeCF · 22yoKRTZ25th#10 (+21.6)— (+19.8)S · $20
10.5Gavin WilliamsSP · 26yoTHAR11th— (+12.1)#10 (+23.6)S · $24

Updated Mon Aug 24 · 1:04 PM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

TeamK1K2K3K4K5K6Cupboard
1MIZVargasR25MisiorowskiR21VarlandR22PerezR20HarrisonR25NetoR10100
2GARRWalkerR25DinglerR22MessickR18HancockR25CanzoneR25GrayR786
3DORNBakerR25RiceR20McLeanR20PerdomoR21BazzanaR25WarrenR2584
4FRANMorenoR25McCarthyR25ContrerasR11LatzR25CavalliR21BurnsR582
5KRTZBengeR25SchlittlerR19BurkeR25McGonigleR17StewartR10IIR581
6KNIGLuzardoR21AbreuR15deGromR13MartinezR25JensenR20RodriguezR2580
7THARMarshR25O'BrienR17WilliamsR11BauersR25RasmussenR8SkenesR169
8GoOsGriffinR25BradleyR25BaldwinR14BurlesonR9ReynoldsR10RafaelaR866
9RAGEHerreraR20EwingR25CamineroR5BohmR18BasalloR19LeeR2165
10BLOBSorianoR25LopezR20ScottR25LileR15SuarezR12SaleR163
11PEYT ▼ thinSanchezR9ArenadoR25WooR8HendersonR25CameronR18CruzR156
12FRST ▼ thinTolleR25RouppR25WheelerR8ElderR25DurbinR17SkubalR155

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 5h · BP 4h · PL 5d · HL 9d · PSS 9h · BR 0h · FG 9h · proj 24h · closer 0h · oyster 2h · AAA-sc 14h · cookie ok
Scheduled updates