Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Monday, August 24 · 04:22 AM ET

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Any player in the league universe · tap a result for the card.

☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ holds 1st at 105.5 roto points, a comfortable 18.5 ahead of Hit the Damn Ball You Bums — but keep an eye on Wins, where GoOs is dead level with you for that roto point, and chip away at SB (just 5 behind THAR for a free +1).

⚾ Huge night from your bats and your ace: Blake Snell was filthy — 6 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K, W — while Kyle Schwarber (1-5, HR, 2 RBI), Zach Neto (2-5, HR, RBI), and Randy Arozarena (1-4, HR, RBI, BB) each went deep, and Henry Bolte added a 3-for-5 night. Sandy Alcantara starts tonight — confirm he's active.

🌱 Walker Jenkins (RI 100, Pipeline #15, yours) absolutely raked at AAA Columbus: 3-for-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB, 2 BB — the kind of line that accelerates call-up conversations. Also worth watching on your stash board: Yohandy Morales (RI 88, FA) went 3-for-5, HR, 4 RBI at AAA Omaha, and Sterlin Thompson (RI 86, FA) hit 3-for-4, HR, 2 RBI, BB at AAA vs Las Vegas.

🚨 [ACTION NEEDED] Arizona's closer role flipped — Jonathan Loáisiga is out, Kevin Ginkel is in, and Ginkel is a free agent. That's an actionable saves pickup right now. The sim also pegs Dylan Smith (SF) as the top FA delta at +1.2 pts as a confirmed closer with elite ratios, and Andrew Kittredge (BAL, +0.9 sim) as saves insurance — both available if you need bullpen depth.

📰 On the injury front, Michael Soroka (owned by GoOs) landed on the 15-day IL with right arm inflammation — a potential dent in your closest standings rival's pitching. Over in the AL East, Cody Bellinger (owned by THAR) was activated off the IL by the Yankees, which matters given THAR is your closest SB-category threat. Logan O'Hoppe and Bo Naylor are both available free-agent catcher recalls worth a look if your C spot ever needs depth.

ELIGIBILITYC. Carrigg SS 9/10K. Schwarber 1B 6/10

Your standing

1stof 12

105.5 roto pts +18.5 clear of 2nd

no change vs last update

Top Gaps

SB (7.0) W (7.5)

categories below mid-pack

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →

Δ to #1

881

954

🥇

255

280

🥇

RBI

827

842

🥇

123

128

133

180

+52

AVG

.253

.255

.257

+0.002

1107

1130

1210

+80

+11

+12

ERA

3.46

3.20

🥇

WHIP

1.17

1.11

🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-08-23)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

Felix Bautista (RP) IL60 on rehab
AA2026-08-23 · 0.1 IP, 3 ER, 0 K, 3 BB

✅ Activated off the IL: Jordan Lawlar (SS · 2026-08-17) — rehab done.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: James Wood (IL10), Joe Ryan (IL15), Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

Team	Move
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ Justin Martinez
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ Ralphy Velazquez
Miz-waukee’s Best	+ Franklin Arias
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ Cal Quantrill \| − Luis Castillo

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10k-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

98.6% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 101.0 roto pts

#	Team	Pts	FAAB	Win%	Proj Pts	Proj Rk
1	MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best	105.5	$0	98.6%	101.0	1.0
2	FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	87.0	$74	1.4%	88.8	2.1
3	KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz	77.0	$31	0.0%	78.9	3.6
4	PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal	75.5	$35	0.0%	79.7	3.4
5	GoOs I need Buck Showalter	74.5	$170	0.0%	72.1	4.9
6	BLOB Camp MVP	64.0	$168	0.0%	67.4	5.8
7	THAR Phil Mickeltits	62.0	$176	0.0%	57.4	7.5
8	KNIG Team Knighton	54.5	$147	0.0%	56.0	7.8
9	GARR The Boys of Summer	50.0	$155	0.0%	52.0	8.7
10	DORN Dorn and Associates LLC	44.5	$89	0.0%	42.1	10.9
11	RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine	44.5	$163	0.0%	38.6	11.7
12	FRST Worst2First	41.0	$154	0.0%	45.9	10.0

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 11.0SB 7.4AVG 8.3W 6.4SV 9.2K 10.9ERA 12.0WHIP 11.9

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

145 of 200 GS · should be 163 · 18 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively

055 left · ~11.3/wk to cap · proj 178200

⏳ BP's post is late — Verdict pill is running on our score + Pitcher List for now (BP joins the top-2 once it posts).

Your starters + top FA streamers

Pitcher	Matchup	Verdict	BP	MIZ	PL	Take
Sandy Alcantara	vs BOS	START	—	6.8	—	average BOS lineup, hot recent form, strong skills
George Klassen	vs CLE	DART	—	4.4	#11	Gyro slider promising, but platoon split exposure worries.
Jose Urquidy	vs. TEX	DARTopener	—	—	#12	Six strong frames as follower, not peak form but passable.
Zebby Matthews	@ ATH	SIT	—	3.7	#15	HR-prone zone approach, Coors-adjacent disaster risk.
Kumar Rocker	@ CWS	SIT	—	3.2	#14	Promising stuff, results absent; strikeout-only desperation play.
Jeffrey Springs	vs MIN	SIT	—	3.7	#17	Poor outcomes expected, no upside case made.
Tyler Phillips	vs. BOS	SITleash	—	—	#18	Likely pitch-count capped, limited upside.
Merrill Kelly	vs CHC	SIT	—	0.9	#16	Needs significant luck to produce.
Ryan Feltner	@ WSH	SIT	—	1.8	#20	Unplayable even in favorable road context.
Carson Whisenhunt	vs. CIN	SIT	—	—	#19	Changeup elite, secondary arsenal insufficient.

Your staff: 3.20 ERA / 1.11 WHIP · GS 145/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

Tomorrow · 1 of yours + top 5 FA · Tue 8/25 · BP not out yet, so pill = our score + Pitcher List

Pitcher	Matchup	Verdict	BP	MIZ	PL	Take
Kyle Harrison	@ NYM	START	—	6.9	—	average NYM lineup, strong skills, hot recent form
Aaron Nola	@ SEA	START	—	5.8	—	average SEA lineup, friendly park, hot recent form
Andrew Alvarez	vs COL	START	—	5.7	—	average COL lineup, hot recent form
Walbert Ureña	vs CLE	DART	—	5.6	—	soft CLE lineup, short leash, strong skills
Clay Holmes	@ AZ	DART	—	5.4	—	average AZ lineup, hot recent form, hitter park
Ethan Pecko	@ NYY	DART	—	5.4	—	average NYY lineup, strong skills

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 405 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 52% · BLOWUP 16% · agg ERA 4.12 · WHIP 1.29 · 4.5 K/start · 460 picks logged, 45 never started, 10 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 405 graded starts

GEM 86 GOOD 126 OK 127 BLOWUP 66

GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.

Cohort	n	GOOD+	BLOWUP	ERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START	20	70%	10%	3.12
Verdict · START	36	61%	8%	3.38
Verdict · DART	82	50%	15%	4.41
Verdict · SIT	149	48%	21%	4.47
MIZ ≥ 5.0	103	60%	13%	3.60
MIZ 3.5–4.9	100	52%	17%	4.47
MIZ < 3.5	72	40%	24%	4.99
All live board picks	287	52%	17%	4.21
Q1 read — GOOD+ falls 70% · 61% · 50% · 48% down the rungs, but BLOWUP does not rise with it, and MIZ sorts: GOOD+ falls 60% · 52% · 40% from the top band down.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start	43	70%	12%	3.41
PL · Probably Start	41	68%	17%	3.56
PL · Questionable Start	96	51%	16%	4.45
PL · Do Not Start	194	49%	19%	4.24
BP · Auto	22	41%	14%	4.56
BP · Likely	64	47%	16%	4.13
All graded picks	405	52%	16%	4.12
Q2 read — against the 52% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (70% · 68%) and BP's top tiers sit under it (41% · 47%) — PL is earning the weight, BP is not.

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is earning its keep — 67% GOOD+ on n=9. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 52% for all live picks).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#	Hitter	Matchup	Why	Legs	Score
1	AUTO STARTRafael Flores Jr.1B · 6% own	@ SD · Ray LHP	.371 xwOBAL15: 0.984 OPS (40 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.562 xwOBAcon, 19 BBE)usually bats 5thbeats 3 of 4 eligible startersRay .329 allowed · soft SP0.874 OPS vs LHP (33 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	79
2	AUTO STARTAbimelec Ortiz1B · 6% own	vs COL · Feltner RHP	.351 xwOBAL15: 0.756 OPS (45 PA)L14 contact +2.4 (.424 xwOBAcon, 25 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 7 of 7 eligible startersFeltner .358 allowed · soft SP0.793 OPS vs RHP (57 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	78
3	AUTO STARTEsmerlyn ValdezRF · 19% own	@ SD · Ray LHP	.339 xwOBAL15: 0.633 OPS (50 PA)L14 contact +2.0 (.415 xwOBAcon, 24 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 5 of 5 eligible startersRay .329 allowed · soft SP1.078 OPS vs LHP (73 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	77
4	AUTO STARTRyan ViladeRF · 0% own	@ DET · Valdez LHP	.322 xwOBAL15: 1.075 OPS (26 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.589 xwOBAcon, 15 BBE)usually bats 2nd (×1.10)fills OF needbeats 8 of 9 eligible startersValdez .324 allowed · avg SP0.856 OPS vs LHP (118 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	76
5	AUTO STARTAlan RodenLF · 0% own	@ ATH · Springs LHP	.337 xwOBAL14 contact +0.9 (.390 xwOBAcon, 12 BBE)usually bats 7th (×0.95)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersshort side vs LHP — 17% of ABSprings .344 allowed · soft SP	L15 bat SP L/R park	59
6	AUTO STARTDonovan Walton2B · 1% own	vs MIN · Matthews RHP	.320 xwOBAL15: 0.863 OPS (40 PA)L14 contact -1.7 (.333 xwOBAcon, 24 BBE)usually bats 8th (×0.93)beats 4 of 6 eligible startersMatthews .332 allowed · soft SP0.863 OPS vs RHP (140 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	59
7	AUTO STARTTyrone TaylorCF · 0% own	@ AZ · Kelly RHP	.313 xwOBAusually bats 6th (×0.98)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 52% of ABKelly .399 allowed · soft SP0.716 OPS vs RHP (90 AB)AZ plays hot	L15 bat SP L/R park	58
8	AUTO STARTLawrence ButlerRF · 16% own	vs MIN · Matthews RHP	.313 xwOBAL15: 0.937 OPS (58 PA)L14 contact +3.0 (.436 xwOBAcon, 33 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)fills OF needbeats 4 of 5 eligible startersMatthews .332 allowed · soft SP0.675 OPS vs RHP (258 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	53
9	AUTO STARTJose Tena3B · 0% own	vs COL · Feltner RHP	.307 xwOBAL15: 0.780 OPS (29 PA)usually bats 6th (×0.98)fills OF needbeats 5 of 9 eligible startersFeltner .358 allowed · soft SP0.681 OPS vs RHP (216 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	52
10	STARTKyle Manzardo1B · 2% own	@ LAA · Klassen RHP	.306 xwOBAbeats 1 of 3 eligible startersKlassen .350 allowed · soft SP0.698 OPS vs RHP (252 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	52

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 54, worst Zach Neto (16). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Miguel Vargas

1Luis Robert Jr.CF · NYM · 14.2%HEATER

84/99 heat on 22 BBE (trusted), 3 HR last 7, +0.5 sim leads board

Heat 84 · 22 BBE · ATC 116 PA · 4 HR · 6 SB · 0.233 · L7 0.313 · 3 HR · sim +0.5 pts

2Tim Tawa

CF · Ari · 4.2% · HEATER

80/99 heat on 32 BBE (largest trusted sample), .375 L7, SB upside helps rank 6 need

Heat 80 · 32 BBE · ATC 102 PA · 3 HR · 3 SB · 0.226 · L7 0.375 · 1 HR · sim +0.1 pts

3Xander Bogaerts

SS · SD · 18.7% · BEST VALUE

+0.4 sim second-best, 26-BBE heat, everyday SS with SB and AVG contributions

Heat 77 · 26 BBE · ATC 123 PA · 3 HR · 4 SB · 0.259 · L7 0.15 · 0 HR · sim +0.4 pts

4Randal Grichuk

RF · ChW · 0.5% · HEATER

.417 L14, 2 HR last 7, +0.2 sim; limited PA but scorching contact on 20 BBE

Heat 77 · 20 BBE · ATC 50 PA · 2 HR · 0 SB · 0.245 · L7 0.364 · 2 HR · sim +0.2 pts

5Ryan Vilade

RF · TB · 0.3% · UPSIDE

83/99 heat, 94.4 EV, .589 xwOBAcon on exactly 15 BBE threshold; production corroborates

Heat 83 · 15 BBE · ATC 41 PA · 1 HR · 1 SB · 0.229 · L7 0.357 · 1 HR · sim +0.2 pts

Passed on: Nick Sogard's .500 L7 is electric but it's a 17-BBE HM-rail flare with a 63 PA ATC ceiling and wRC+ 82 projection — not enough volume to trust over Robert's dominant multicat sim lead.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 17 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Hitter	MLB	Pos	Chg	AVG	xwOBA	HR	SB	RoS	Chu’s Take
18	Randy Arozarena	SEA	OF	-	.275	.350	20	20	123	Randy Arozarena is only hitting .238 in August, but his expected stats for this month suggest it should be closer to .280. I’m a little d…
19	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	DH	+2	.245	.367	39	3	129	When Kyle Schwarber is hot, he’s HOT. The Field of Dreams game was his second two-homer outing in his last five starts and facing the Twi…
39	Yandy Díaz	TB	1B	+10	.306	.356	19	3	123
40	Miguel Vargas	CHW	1B/3B	-10	.245	.390	29	12	113	Miguel Vargas continues to slump, and while there isn’t anything you should do about it from an add/drop perspective, it’s certainly frus…
53	Ozzie Albies	ATL	2B	-1	.253	.284	20	2	97
57	Zach Neto	LAA	SS	+4	.237	.301	22	18	108
62	Royce Lewis	MIN	1B/2B/3B	+8	.234	.319	13	12	103
63	Cole Carrigg	COL	OF	+2	.273	.325	5	7	68
72	Jac Caglianone	KC	1B/OF	+23	.276	.361	22	6	107	Jac Caglianone has improved the strikeout rate in a huge way, and the ground ball rate is below 50%. All systems are GO.
77	Dansby Swanson	CHC	SS	+2	.216	.307	18	17	100
84	Ty France	SD	1B	+1	.289	.331	18	1	106
101	Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	1B/OF	+5	.245	.328	19	2	—
102	Jacob Wilson	ATH	SS	+8	.266	.282	7	4	—
112	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	C	+UR	.242	.340	12	0	95
114	Dylan Crews	WSH	OF	+15	.214	.318	10	8	89
117	Ryan Jeffers	MIN	C	+15	.282	.355	10	1	117
120	Tim Tawa	ARI	1B/2B/3B/OF	+16	.250	.313	8	7	79
122	Andruw Monasterio	BOS	2B/SS	+15	.254	.301	6	4	90
126	Luis Rengifo	SD	2B/3B/OF	+17	.247	.307	4	6	86
139	Bryce Eldridge	SF	1B	-26	.252	.351	14	1	99	Bryce Eldridge is getting the ball in the air, but he’s not pulling it much and strikeouts have been an issue. He’s a solid hold in Dynas…
TS	Henry Bolte	Oak	OF	—	.270	.304	6	14	97	Henry Bolte (OF, ATH) — Playing every day but the results aren’t overly exciting (though playing a ton of lefties lately has helped).
TS	Jordan Lawlar	Ari	3B/OF	—	.286	.321	2	4	88	Jordan Lawlar (3B/OF, ARI) — Has a home run in back-to-back games on his rehab, but striking out a TON. Sounds like he’ll be back this we…
TS	Kaelen Culpepper	Min	SS	—	.289	.327	2	0	90	Kaelen Culpepper (SS, MIN) — Culpepper is off to a slow start and is sitting every third day or so, but can remain an upside stash if you…
TS	Walker Jenkins	Min	OF	—	—	—	—	—	91	Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Hitting extremely well in August (1.063 OPS), and the collapse of Larnach may give him a chance to break throu…
UR	Franklin Arias	Bos	SS	—	—	—	—	—	—	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
UR	James Wood	Wsh	OF	—	.265	.419	30	17	130	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
UR	Ralphy Velazquez	Cle	1B	—	—	—	—	—	85	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/10–8/23 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

Luis Robert Jr.

CF · NYM · 14.2% own · xwOBAcon .562 · EV 93.3 · Brl 22.7% · 22 BBE

▲ .056 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.225	9	22	22	2
L14	.281	4	6	5	0

Colt Keith

2B · Det · 5.3% own · xwOBAcon .429 · EV 94.0 · Brl 9.5% · 21 BBE

▼ .009 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.268	9	32	46	5
L14	.259	1	1	4	0

Lars Nootbaar

LF · Ari · 2.5% own · xwOBAcon .443 · EV 92.6 · Brl 15.0% · 20 BBE

▼ .032 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.224	4	21	25	2
L14	.192	1	4	2	1

Ryan Vilade

RF · TB · 0.3% own · xwOBAcon .589 · EV 94.4 · Brl 13.3% · 15 BBE

▲ .101 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.263	11	37	24	3
L14	.364	2	2	5	0

Tim Tawa

CF · Ari · 4.2% own · xwOBAcon .492 · EV 91.0 · Brl 15.6% · 32 BBE

▲ .054 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.250	8	32	26	7
L14	.304	2	6	5	4

Rafael Flores Jr.

1B · Pit · 6.5% own · xwOBAcon .562 · EV 90.8 · Brl 26.3% · 19 BBE

▲ .036 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.250	6	13	10	0
L14	.286	5	11	8	0

Xander Bogaerts

SS · SD · 18.7% own · xwOBAcon .363 · EV 93.7 · Brl 15.4% · 26 BBE

▼ .013 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.219	11	47	50	16
L14	.206	2	6	4	0

Coby Mayo

1B · Bal · 1.7% own · xwOBAcon .498 · EV 90.3 · Brl 20.8% · 24 BBE

▼ .001 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.212	17	47	46	2
L14	.211	2	5	7	0

Randal Grichuk

RF · ChW · 0.5% own · xwOBAcon .423 · EV 91.1 · Brl 25.0% · 20 BBE

▲ .136 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.281	11	32	32	0
L14	.417	2	7	6	0

Drew Gilbert

RF · SF · 0.4% own · xwOBAcon .547 · EV 89.8 · Brl 21.1% · 19 BBE

▼ .001 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.236	7	31	36	1
L14	.235	3	9	6	0

Honorable mention · hottest L7 (8/17–8/23), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust

Andres Chaparro

1B · Wsh

.539 xwOBAcon

10 BBE · .357 L7

Patrick Bailey

C · Cle

.522 xwOBAcon

11 BBE · .313 L7

Nick Sogard

1B · Bos

.462 xwOBAcon

17 BBE · .500 L7

Mickey Gasper

C · Bos

.543 xwOBAcon

14 BBE · .353 L7

David Hamilton

2B · Mil

.471 xwOBAcon

8 BBE · .417 L7

Hao-Yu Lee

3B · Det

.391 xwOBAcon

11 BBE · .471 L7

🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Sandy Alcantara

1Dylan SmithRP · SF · 0.6%BEST VALUE

Roto sim's top delta (+1.2); confirmed closer role, 4 projected SV; protects rank-1 ratios.

Supp 40 · 9 BBE · ATC 13.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.97 · 1.33 · 4 SV · Closer · sim +1.2 pts

2Andrew Kittredge

RP · Bal · 1.7% · CATEGORY FIT

Confirmed closer, +0.9 sim delta; SV rank 3 with only 2-pt cushion above needs saves insurance.

Supp 77 · 17 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 3.87 · 1.21 · 2 SV · Closer · sim +0.9 pts

3Kevin Ginkel

RP · Ari · 1.2% · CATEGORY FIT

Confirmed closer role, +0.5 sim; backs up thin saves cupboard without ratio damage.

Supp 51 · 13 BBE · ATC 12.0 IP · 1 W · 12 K · 4.03 · 1.27 · Closer · sim +0.5 pts

4Jared Jones

SP · Pit · 12.9% · UPSIDE

Best SP sim (+0.1); 89.3 EV allowed on 21 BBE trending elite; room in GS cap to stream aggressively.

Supp 41 · 21 BBE · ATC 29.0 IP · 2 W · 30 K · 3.99 · 1.23 · sim +0.1 pts

5Max Scherzer

SP · Tor · 2.6% · HEATER

95th-percentile suppression on 31 trusted BBE; 79.2 EV screams elite contact suppression despite weak ATC.

Supp 95 · 31 BBE · ATC 25.0 IP · 1 W · 24 K · 4.77 · 1.27 · sim -0.0 pts

Passed on: Clay Holmes posts the best SP ERA projection (3.78) and elite suppression (88/99, 38 BBE) but his 1.33 WHIP is a direct threat to MIZ's razor-thin WHIP lead and the sim shows zero net gain.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Pitcher	MLB	Chg	ERA	xERA	K/9	RoS	Pollack’s Take
1	Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	-	1.68	1.98	13.4	3.32	I’m kinda incredulous that it’s mid-August and he’s still doing it.
9	Dylan Cease	TOR	+1	2.37	2.68	13.0	3.45	Cease’s walk rate will continue to keep the WHIP higher than we like, but that strikeout rate is bonkers.
16	Blake Snell	LAD	+8	2.57	2.16	11.1	3.42	It’s #HotSnellSummer.
18	Eury Pérez	MIA	+7	3.17	3.67	9.7	3.87	Pérez is getting more done with his slider to RHB, and I’m happy the fastballs find success, even if they need a touch more polish.
26	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	-3	3.46	3.67	6.7	4.19	He’s a QS machine. It’s as simple as that.
28	Kyle Harrison	MIL	-6	2.84	3.14	11.2	4.12	Say what you want about the scoring change of his last start, he still pitched badly. All I want is for him to redeem himself tonight.
38	Jared Jones	PIT	+2	4.76	3.67	10.2	3.99	Jones had some rough patches against the Red Sox, but was able to wriggle out of jams. I still question if this is too high a rank above …
39	Dustin May	MIL	+6	4.57	4.20	8.6	4.09	May isn’t getting the whiffs we want to see from his sweeper (yet), and is still a reliable arm for a winning team.
40	Walbert Ureña	LAA	+2	2.80	3.31	8.7	4.54	Ureña rarely lets us down. He’s really doing José a service.
41	Peter Lambert	HOU	-	3.68	3.44	8.8	4.58	It’s the tier of fantastic pickups and Lambert has produced so regularly for managers all year.
44	Jacob Lopez	ATH	+16	4.98	3.36	8.6	4.63	He’s doing what he did last summer. It’s AWESOME.
46	Joey Cantillo	CLE	-3	3.73	3.88	9.9	4.05	The velocity and curveball are there. It’s what you want.
51	Jackson Jobe	DET	-4	4.50	6.33	7.1	4.71	Jobe looked great, then looked blegh. The velocity was still there in his second start, though, with a flatter HAVAA than I receall befor…
53	Nick Lodolo	CIN	+5	5.04	6.49	7.1	4.24	We’ve seen two starts of Lodolo since returning from the IL and I was impressed by his changeup feel recently. Not the rest of his approa…
56	Sean Manaea	NYM	+3	4.31	4.81	9.0	4.26	Manaea’s last outing wasn’t as pretty as the others, but his four-seamer is still the pitch we want it to be.
57	Tyler Mahle	ATL	+11	4.41	4.17	8.5	4.10	Mahle is cooking right now. His command across his last few starts has been as good as anyone you’ll find in the majors.

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

🚨 Closer Tier Changes (vs. yesterday)

ROLE CHANGE Arizona Diamondbacks: Jonathan Loáisiga → Kevin Ginkel FA — ADD
COLOR SHIFT Baltimore Orioles: Andrew Kittredge → Andrew Kittredge (magenta → blue) FA — ADD
COLOR SHIFT Chicago Cubs: Jacob Webb → Jacob Webb (magenta → ) rostered
COLOR SHIFT San Diego Padres: Mason Miller → Mason Miller (magenta → ) rostered
COLOR SHIFT The Athletics: Hogan Harris → Hogan Harris ( → blue) rostered

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning

	Pitcher	Tm	Role	SV	SVHD	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K/9	Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—	Andrés Muñoz	Seattle Mariners	CL	23	23	47.3	4.37	1.20	3.29 ↓	14.3	5.0 · —
—	Louis Varland	Toronto Blue Jays	CL	29	34	66.3	1.22	0.98	2.24 ↑	11.1	5.0 · —
—	Justin Martinez	Arizona Diamondbacks	FU	0	0	2.0	0.00	1.00	5.56 ↑	4.5	1.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—	Dylan Smith	San Francisco Giants	CL	3	10	27.3	2.96	1.21	3.54	11.5	4.0 · 1%
	Andrew Kittredge	Baltimore Orioles	CL	6	15	39.3	3.43	1.35	3.86	7.6	3.0 · 2%
	Kevin Ginkel	Arizona Diamondbacks	CL	2	13	55.0	3.76	1.11	3.80	8.7	1.0 · 1%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

51	Justin Martinez RP · Ari low TV (0); UFDA — easy to drop; BUT strong RoS (3.46 ERA) sim −0.80% win if cut	TV 0 UFDA
39	Royce Lewis 3B · Min low TV (18) sim −0.12% win if cut	TV 18 Rd 13
16	Ryan Jeffers C · Min cold last 7d; UFDA — easy to drop sim cost ~0	TV 100 UFDA
10	Sandy Alcantara SP · Mia BUT solid keeper sim cost ~0	TV 72 Rd 14

Higher score = drop sooner. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 21: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

23 available — 3 yours

W. Jenkins YOURS

OF · MIN · AAA · 21 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

13·16·.321

F. Arias YOURS

SS · BOS · AAA · 20 · knocking on the door

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

23·5·.312

R. Velazquez YOURS

1B/C · CLE · AA · 20 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

27·2·.293

J. Tibbs III

OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

27·7·.302

S. Thompson

OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

12·14·.300

L. Montes

OF · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

37·6·.252

Y. Morales

3B · WSN · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

24·5·.291

S. King

SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·14·.325

M. Arroyo

SS · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

17·15·.281

E. Salas

C · SDP · AAA · 20 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

10·15·.293

M. Anderson

2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

15·5·.305

R. Ward

LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

20·7·.259

B. Davidson

OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

25·19·.286

C. Ingle

C · CLE · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·2·.292

P. Harber

3B · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

'27

Szn

17·4·.289

Z. Hope

OF · DET · AA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

25·22·.273

H. Mendez

OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

11·4·.279

K. Alderman

OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

18·10·.266

C. Cannarella

OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

13·18·.333

E. Arroyo

SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

15·14·.292

J. Long

1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

13·3·.279

J. Made

SS · MIL · AA · 19 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

13·33·.272

D. Crisantes

2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

8·0·.291

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 22: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

26 available

E. Pecko

SP · HOU · AAA · 23 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

90K·4.59

H. Smith

SP · CHW · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

August 1st

Szn

100K·3.93

C. Seymour

SP · SFG · AAA · 27 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

81K·4.04

K. Curtis

SP · PIT · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

109K·4.65

R. Snelling

SP · MIA · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

46K·2.38

A. Kelly

SP · PIT · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

70K·4.21

E. Rodríguez

SP · NYY · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

109K·2.91

J. Tong

SP · NYM · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

125K·4.75

T. Johnson

SP · TBR · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

78K·2.81

C. Crow

SP · MIL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

89K·3.55

T. Bremner

SP · LAA · AA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

'26

Szn

84K·4.26

D. Davalillo

SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

90K·4.61

T. McDougal

SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

47K·4.43

R. Sloan

SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb

PSS

100

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

111K·3.63

J. Ritchie

SP · ATL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

114K·3.83

G. Wood

P · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

'26

Szn

117K·4.11

M. Forret

SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

115K·3.85

B. Garrett

SP · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

June 1st

Szn

101K·3.68

B. Mautz

SP · STL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

90K·3.89

C. Dana

SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

69K·6.18

M. Ullola

SP · HOU · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

93K·4.50

J. Wenninger

SP · NYM · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

104K·4.17

L. Perales

SP · WSN · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

97K·3.64

B. Hopkins

SP · TBR · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

111K·5.52

T. Gibson

SP · BAL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

94K·5.15

L. Braun

SP · ATL · developing

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

95K·3.81

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 11 not a 2026 factor — Jurrangelo Cijntje · Joseph Dzierwa · Liam Doyle · Jamie Arnold · Anthony Eyanson · Christian Zazueta · Nestor German · Tyson Hardin · Jaxon Wiggins · Jonathan Santucci · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
↑ mild buy	Cam Smith RF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.0σ buy-low · RF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.216 / xBA 0.242 · xwOBA 0.324	8%	100 wRC+	↓ 0.5%	Walker Jenkins CF · comparable value (TV 2 vs target 6)
📈 BUY-LOW	Corey Seager SS · Tex · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.3σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.219 / xBA 0.239 · xwOBA 0.343	58%	129 wRC+	↑ 0.4%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B + +$5 FAAB · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 51)
↑ mild buy	Yordan Alvarez OF · Hou · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.9σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.320 / xBA 0.328 · xwOBA 0.458	100%	168 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buy	Oneil Cruz CF · Pit · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.8σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.266 / xBA 0.256 · xwOBA 0.363	83%	106 wRC+	↑ 0.3%	Zach Neto SS · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 62)
↑ mild buy	JJ Wetherholt SS · StL · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.7σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.243 / xBA 0.256 · xwOBA 0.352	85%	109 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Zach Neto SS · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 64)
↑ mild buy	Elly De La Cruz SS · Cin · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.7σ buy-low · SS — modest fit · BA 0.263 / xBA 0.271 · xwOBA 0.361	98%	112 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
↑ mild buy	Kazuma Okamoto 3B · Tor · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +0.6σ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.230 / xBA 0.219 · xwOBA 0.315	46%	107 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 24 vs target 28)
fair	Esteury Ruiz LF · Mia · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.250 / xBA 0.200 · xwOBA 0.304	2%	90 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fair	Max Clark CF · Det · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.250 / xBA 0.269 · xwOBA 0.298	19%	98 wRC+	↓ 0.6%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)
fair	Connor Norby 3B · Col · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +nanσ buy-low · 3B · BA 0.215 / xBA 0.195 · xwOBA 0.288	1%	86 wRC+	≈ 0.2%	Dylan Cease SP · comparable value (TV 100 vs target 100)

Pitchers

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
📈 BUY-LOW	Kodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins +1.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.67 vs xERA 4.91	11%	3.96 ERA	↑ 0.4%	Franklin Arias SS · comparable value (TV 9 vs target 15)
↑ mild buy	Freddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO +0.8σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.33 vs xERA 4.11	68%	4.01 ERA	↓ 0.5%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 42)
↑ mild buy	Bryce Miller SP · Sea · BLOB · crenshawh19 +0.7σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 3.71 vs xERA 3.03	42%	4.10 ERA	↓ 0.4%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B + +$3 FAAB · two-piece package (TV 42 vs target 49)
↑ mild buy	Landen Roupp SP · SF · FRST · prestonc51684 +0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.34 vs xERA 3.75	21%	3.98 ERA	≈ 0.2%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 18 vs target 19)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

Side	Sent	At deal	Now	Trend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Andy Pages	A- +7	A+ +44	▲ up
Camp MVP	Pete Crow-Armstrong	C -7	F -44	▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team Knighton	Matthew Boyd	F -22	F -22
Camp MVP	Kenley Jansen	A+ +22	A+ +22
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s Best	Charlie Condon, Payton Tolle	A+ +50	A+ +35	▼ down
Worst2First	Dylan Cease	F -50	F -35	▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Travis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLean	A+ +144	A+ +106	▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC	Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David Bednar	F -144	F -106	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s Best	Samuel Basallo, Kade Anderson	A- +8	A- +7
Ramirez Against the Machine	Blake Snell	C -8	C -7
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Jo Adell, Jacob deGrom	F -49	F -50
Team Knighton	Trea Turner	A+ +49	A+ +50
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the Machine	Sandy Alcantara	F -42	F -68	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best	Josh Jung	A+ +42	A+ +68	▲ up
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck Showalter	Nasim Nunez	A+ +28	B +0	▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Justin Wrobleski	F -28	B -0	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s Best	Chandler Simpson	A +10	A- +7	▼ down
The Boys of Summer	$30 FAAB	D -10	C -7	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s Best	Kenley Jansen	—	A- +7
Camp MVP	$30 FAAB	A- +3	C -7	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s Best	Nathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB	—	F -40
Ramirez Against the Machine	Jac Caglianone	A+ +60	A+ +40	▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

Verdict	Player	Own	Surface vs expected	Contact	2027 keeper
↓ SHOP	Yandy Diaz 1B · TB 0.70σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.306 / xBA 0.288 · xwOBA 0.356 — test the market, don't force it	93%	BA 0.306 / xBA 0.288 +.018 wOBA 0.367 / xwOBA 0.356 +.011	HH 47.3% · Brl/PA 5.3%	7th · +1 rd vs mkt
↓ SHOP	Henry Bolte RF · Oak 0.66σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.264 / xBA 0.237 · xwOBA 0.304 — test the market, don't force it	4%	BA 0.264 / xBA 0.237 +.027 wOBA 0.317 / xwOBA 0.304 +.013	HH 47.3% · Brl/PA 4.3%	25th · +2 rds vs mkt
HOLD — KEEPER PRICE	Louis Varland RP · Tor 0.51σ sell-high · RP · ERA 1.22 vs xERA 2.24 — only move for keeper-grade return	86%	ERA 1.22 / xERA 2.24 -1.02	Brl 4.4% allowed	22nd · +16 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber's walk-off HR caps Phillies' comeback vs. Cards
Mon 08-24 02:16 AM
Kyle Schwarber's major-league-leading 39th home run punctuated Philadelphia's unlikely rally from a four-run deficit in the bottom of the ninth inning Sunday and secured the Phillies' ninth straight win.
Kyle Schwarber Schwarber's 2-run HR with 2 out in 9th rallies Phillies for a 6-4 win over the Cardinals
Sun 08-23 09:08 PM
— Kyle Schwarber's MLB-leading 39th homer of the season was a two-run shot with two out in the bottom of the ninth inning as the Philadelphia Phillies rallied from a four-run deficit and beat the St. Louis Cardinals 6-4 on Sunday.
Kyle Schwarber St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia. Phillies: Game Highlight
Sun 08-23 08:36 PM
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia. Phillies: Game Highlight

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

Player	Pos	MLB	BA	xBA	wOBA	xwOBA	Brl%	Own%	Signal
James Wood IL10	LF	Wsh	0.265	0.275	0.395	0.419	100.0	99.1	📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas	3B	ChW	0.245	0.266	0.367	0.390	93.0	94.9	📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle Schwarber	DH	Phi	0.245	0.239	0.380	0.367	98.0	99.5	📈 BUY-LOW
Bryce Eldridge	1B	SF	0.252	0.249	0.342	0.351	78.0	8.5	↑ mild buy
Jac Caglianone DTD	RF	KC	0.276	0.280	0.353	0.361	92.0	59.9	fair
Zach Neto	SS	LAA	0.237	0.204	0.327	0.301	76.0	58.7	fair
Randy Arozarena	LF	Sea	0.275	0.265	0.366	0.350	53.0	93.4	fair
Yandy Diaz	1B	TB	0.306	0.288	0.367	0.356	43.0	92.5	↓ mild fade
Cole Carrigg	CF	Col	0.273	0.257	0.357	0.325	nan	16.0	fair
Walker Jenkins	CF	Min	—	—	—	—	—	1.8	—
Ryan Jeffers	C	Min	0.282	0.252	0.380	0.355	nan	42.8	fair
Henry Bolte	RF	Oak	0.270	0.237	0.317	0.304	42.0	4.0	↓ mild fade
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	Min	0.289	0.260	0.345	0.327	nan	3.0	fair
Royce Lewis	3B	Min	0.234	0.243	0.314	0.319	76.0	20.1	↑ mild buy
Jordan Lawlar	3B	Ari	0.286	0.261	0.351	0.321	nan	3.2	fair
Franklin Arias	SS	Bos	—	—	—	—	—	1.4	—
Ralphy Velazquez	1B	Cle	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	—

Pitchers

Pitcher	Pos	MLB	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K-BB%	xwOBA-a	Brl%-a	Own%	Signal
Blake Snell	SP	LAD	21.0	2.57	1.05	2.16	19.5	0.229	0.0	87.6	↑ mild buy
Andres Munoz	RP	Sea	47.3	4.37	1.20	3.29	28.6	0.282	9.5	80.2	↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan IL15	SP	Min	125.7	4.08	1.15	3.49	21.2	0.290	10.5	90.4	fair
Jacob Misiorowski	SP	Mil	145.0	1.68	0.76	1.98	33.3	0.219	3.8	99.5	fair
Dylan Cease	SP	Tor	144.3	2.37	1.06	2.68	25.0	0.255	4.6	99.3	fair
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Mia	176.7	3.46	1.18	3.67	11.5	0.297	5.3	90.9	fair
Kyle Harrison	SP	Mil	98.3	2.84	1.11	3.14	23.9	0.276	6.8	75.7	fair
Eury Perez	SP	Mia	127.7	3.17	1.11	3.67	16.5	0.297	9.1	82.3	fair
Louis Varland	RP	Tor	66.3	1.22	0.98	2.24	24.8	0.233	4.4	85.9	↓ mild fade
Felix Bautista IL60	RP	Bal	0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6	—
Justin Martinez	RP	Ari	2.0	0.00	1.00	5.56	-11.1	0.358	0.0	1.7	—

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict	Notes
1.5	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	25th	#1 (+25.5)	#2 (+21.2)	S · $21	UFDA
1.5	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	21st	#2 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51	UFDA-G FV 55
3.5	Louis Varland	RP · 28yo	22nd	#4 (+18.2)	#3 (+17.0)	A · $17
4.0	Eury Perez	SP · 23yo	20th	#3 (+18.6)	#5 (+15.2)	A · $15	UFDA-G
5.5	Kyle Harrison	SP · 24yo	25th	#5 (+17.2)	#6 (+14.4)	A · $14	UFDA
6.0	Zach Neto	SS · 25yo	10th	#8 (+13.3)	#4 (+16.1)	A · $16
6.5	Bryce Eldridge	1B · 20yo	25th	#6 (+16.0)	#7 (+13.7)	A · $14	UFDA FV 55
7.5	Jac Caglianone	RF · 22yo	21st	#7 (+15.5)	#8 (+11.8)	A · $12	UFDA-G FV 55

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

Player	Pos · Age	Cost	Peter (if elig.)	Claude (if elig.)
Walker Jenkins	CF · 20yo	25th	#15 (-2.0)	#13 (+1.4)
Franklin Arias	SS · 19yo	25th	#15 (-2.0)	#12 (+3.0)
Ralphy Velazquez	1B · 19yo	25th	#15 (-2.0)	#13 (+1.4)

Updated Mon Aug 24 · 4:22 AM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	Team	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict
1.5	Jesus Luzardo	SP · 28yo	KNIG	21st	#1 (+28.7)	#2 (+42.1)	S · $42
3.0	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	MIZ	21st	#5 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51
3.5	Jordan Walker	RF · 24yo	GARR	25th	#2 (+27.5)	#5 (+38.7)	S · $39
4.0	Bryan Baker	RP · 31yo	DORN	25th	#4 (+25.4)	#4 (+38.7)	S · $39
6.0	Dillon Dingler	C · 27yo	GARR	22nd	#6 (+22.8)	#6 (+27.1)	S · $27
7.0	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	MIZ	25th	#3 (+25.5)	— (+21.2)	S · $21
7.0	Cam Schlittler	SP · 24yo	KRTZ	19th	— (+20.2)	#3 (+40.8)	S · $41
9.0	Ben Rice	1B · 27yo	DORN	20th	#7 (+22.1)	— (+15.2)	A · $15
9.0	Cristopher Sanchez	SP · 29yo	PEYT	9th	— (+18.2)	#7 (+26.9)	S · $27
9.5	Gabriel Moreno	C · 26yo	FRAN	25th	#8 (+22.1)	— (+17.1)	A · $17
9.5	Ivan Herrera	C · 26yo	RAGE	20th	— (+21.2)	#8 (+25.1)	S · $25
10.0	Payton Tolle	SP · 22yo	FRST	25th	#9 (+22.0)	— (+18.5)	S · $18
10.0	Nolan McLean	SP · 23yo	DORN	20th	— (+20.3)	#9 (+24.0)	S · $24
10.5	Carson Benge	CF · 22yo	KRTZ	25th	#10 (+21.6)	— (+19.8)	S · $20
10.5	Gavin Williams	SP · 26yo	THAR	11th	— (+12.1)	#10 (+23.6)	S · $24

Updated Mon Aug 24 · 4:22 AM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

Team	K1	K2	K3	K4	K5	K6	Cupboard
1MIZ	VargasR25	MisiorowskiR21	VarlandR22	PerezR20	HarrisonR25	NetoR10	100
2GARR	WalkerR25	DinglerR22	MessickR18	HancockR25	CanzoneR25	GrayR7	86
3DORN	BakerR25	RiceR20	McLeanR20	PerdomoR21	BazzanaR25	WarrenR25	84
4FRAN	MorenoR25	McCarthyR25	ContrerasR11	LatzR25	CavalliR21	BurnsR5	82
5KRTZ	BengeR25	SchlittlerR19	BurkeR25	McGonigleR17	StewartR10	IIR5	81
6KNIG	LuzardoR21	AbreuR15	deGromR13	MartinezR25	JensenR20	RodriguezR25	80
7THAR	MarshR25	O'BrienR17	WilliamsR11	BauersR25	RasmussenR8	SkenesR1	69
8GoOs	GriffinR25	BradleyR25	BaldwinR14	BurlesonR9	ReynoldsR10	RafaelaR8	66
9RAGE	HerreraR20	EwingR25	CamineroR5	BohmR18	BasalloR19	LeeR21	65
10BLOB	SorianoR25	LopezR20	ScottR25	LileR15	SuarezR12	SaleR1	63
11PEYT ▼ thin	SanchezR9	ArenadoR25	WooR8	HendersonR25	SmithR19	CameronR18	57
12FRST ▼ thin	TolleR25	RouppR25	WheelerR8	ElderR25	DurbinR17	SkubalR1	55

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 0h · BP 17h · PL 5d · HL 9d · PSS 0h · BR 0h · FG 0h · proj 15h · closer 0h · oyster 17h · AAA-sc 6h · cookie ok