Miz-waukee’s Best — The Brandon League

Last updated Friday, August 28 · 11:33 AM ET

🔎 Find a Player

Any player in the league universe · tap a result for the card.

☕ Morning Briefing

🏆 MIZ sits at 106.0 roto points, a commanding 21.5 clear of second place — a comfortable margin, but keep an eye on SV (KRTZ is just 4 saves back) and chip away at SB (you're 5 behind THAR for a free roto point).

⚾ Your guys delivered yesterday: Jac Caglianone went 5-for-6 with 1 HR, 3 R, and 6 RBI vs. the Blue Jays, while Jacob Misiorowski was surgical — 6 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 6 K for the win vs. the Mets, dropping his ERA to 1.73 and putting him atop the NL Cy Young leaderboard. Tonight, slot Eury Perez and Dylan Cease into your active lineup — both are on the card.

📊 Two under-the-radar contact signals worth noting from the wire: Drew Cavanaugh is running 86/99 heat (9 BBE, .634 xwOBAcon L7) and Hao-Yu Lee is at 83/99 (19 BBE, .468 xwOBAcon L7) — both small samples not yet Board-certified, but early-switch indicators to track. Meanwhile, Nick Sogard (dropped by Photogenic Nick Kurtz) is now a free agent if you want a speculative flier.

📰 Walker Jenkins — your stashed prospect — is making his MLB debut with Minnesota today, having slashed .323/.417/.559 with 14 HR and 17 SB in Triple-A this season; Byron Buxton may be heading to the IL, which opens a clear path to at-bats. Elsewhere, Willy Adames is likely done for the season after a PRP injection on his elbow with only 3–4 weeks remaining, a significant blow for anyone rostering him. On a brighter note, the external sources confirm Bryce Eldridge has been reinstated from the bereavement list — good news for your stash.

ELIGIBILITYC. Carrigg SS 9/10K. Schwarber 1B 6/10P. Ramirez 1B 4/10

Your standing

1stof 12

106.0 roto pts +21.5 clear of 2nd

no change vs last update

Top Gaps

SB (7.0) W (8.0)

categories below mid-pack

🎯 Category Pressure

Category ranks vs. the league.

Rank →

Δ to #1

898

976

🥇

258

285

🥇

RBI

840

862

🥇

125

131

136

190

+59

AVG

.254

.256

.257

.258

+0.002

1120

1151

1244

+93

+10

+11

ERA

3.43

3.16

🥇

WHIP

1.17

1.11

🥇

📅 Yesterday's MIZ Box Scores (2026-08-27)

Loading box scores…

🏥 IL Rehab Tracker

IL players · rehab game logs.

On the IL, no rehab games yet: James Wood (IL10), Joe Ryan (IL15), Spencer Schwellenbach (IL60 · watch).

📊 League Activity (last 24h)

All adds, drops, and trades across the 12 teams.

Team	Move
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ Javier Sanoja \| − Nick Sogard
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ David Peterson \| − Hayden Wesneski
Phil Swift's Flex Seal	+ Jakob Marsee \| − Jonah Cox
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	+ Andrew Painter \| − Sean Manaea
Miz-waukee’s Best	− Franklin Arias

🏆 League Standings

Current roto points · 10,000-sim projected finish. FAAB = acquisition budget remaining.

99.9% to win the league · proj finish 1.0 · 102.9 roto pts

#	Team	Pts	FAAB	Win%	Proj Pts	Range	Proj Rk
1	MIZ Miz-waukee’s Best	106.0	$0	99.9%	102.9	98–107	1.0
2	FRAN Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	84.5	$74	0.1%	87.7	81–94	2.1
3	PEYT Phil Swift's Flex Seal	76.0	$34	0.0%	77.9	71–85	3.5
4	KRTZ Photogenic Nick Kurtz	74.5	$29	0.0%	78.1	71–85	3.5
5	GoOs I need Buck Showalter	74.0	$170	0.0%	70.8	65–76	5.0
6	BLOB Camp MVP	67.0	$168	0.0%	68.2	63–72	5.7
7	THAR Phil Mickeltits	62.5	$176	0.0%	59.7	53–66	7.2
8	KNIG Team Knighton	58.0	$137	0.0%	55.6	50–61	8.1
9	GARR The Boys of Summer	52.0	$155	0.0%	53.4	47–60	8.6
10	RAGE Ramirez Against the Machine	43.0	$163	0.0%	37.9	34–43	11.8
11	DORN Dorn and Associates LLC	42.5	$89	0.0%	43.0	39–48	10.7
12	FRST Worst2First	40.0	$154	0.0%	44.8	40–50	10.3

10,000 sims · fixed seed · noise CV talent 0.12 / idio 0.06 / team-cat 0.08 · assumes ATC rest-of-season rates

Your categories · projected roto points

R 12.0HR 12.0RBI 11.4SB 7.2AVG 8.8W 7.8SV 9.0K 10.8ERA 12.0WHIP 12.0

Winnable — push here: SB, AVG, W, SV.

🚨 Today's Streaming Board

148 of 200 GS · should be 168 · 20 behindBehind pace — stream aggressively

052 left · ~12.1/wk to cap · proj 177200

⏳ BP's post is late — Verdict pill is running on our score + Pitcher List for now (BP joins the top-2 once it posts).

Your starters + top FA streamers

Pitcher	Matchup	Verdict	BP	MIZ	PL	Take
Eury Perez	@ WSH	AUTO START	—	6.2	#5	Favorable matchup vs. Nationals; strike-throwing emphasis noted.
Dylan Cease	vs SEA	AUTO START	—	7.2	#3	Elite tier, no caveats given.
Jacob Lopez	vs. BAL	AUTO START	—	—	#8	Start conditional on maintaining his peak command approach.
Jared Jones	@ STL	START	—	4.9	#9	Productive overall despite managerial friction; great matchup.
Quinn Mathews	vs PIT	START	—	5.6	#15	Got shelled last time but arsenal and matchup warrant starting.
Dean Kremer	vs CWS	DART	—	5.2	#16	Cutter/splitter workable but outcome highly variable; coin flip.
Christian Scott	vs HOU	DART	—	3.8	#14	Recent rough stretch; sweeper command vs. heavy RHB lineup key.
Cody Bradford	@ MIL	DART	—	3.5	#17	Extreme extension soft-tosser; razor-thin margin for error.
Blade Tidwell	vs AZ	SIT⚠ opener	—	5.7	#24	Can't sustain quality innings consistently enough.
Kohl Drake	@ SF	SIT	—	4.3	#27	Hasn't proven reliable even in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park.
Brandon Young	@ ATH	SIT	—	3.3	#25	Fun fastball, weak secondaries, tough venue context.
Drew Anderson	vs LAD	SIT⚠ opener	—	4.1	#30	Tough matchup vs. Dodgers; split-change still unproven.

Your staff: 3.16 ERA / 1.11 WHIP · GS 148/200 — Behind pace — stream aggressively. Verdict = the best 2 of BP · our score · Pitcher List, averaged (low outlier dropped); before BP posts it's our score + PL. ⚠ = our matchup score dissented — eyeball that one. Tap a MIZ score for the reasoning.

Tomorrow · 2 of yours + top 5 FA · Sat 8/29 · BP not out yet, so pill = our score + Pitcher List

Pitcher	Matchup	Verdict	BP	MIZ	PL	Take
Blake Snell	@ DET	AUTO START	—	8.0	—	average DET lineup, hot recent form, strong skills
Sandy Alcantara	@ WSH	START	—	5.9	—	tough WSH lineup, hot recent form, strong skills
Cal Quantrill	@ MIL	START⚠ opener	—	5.7	—	tough MIL lineup, hot recent form
Walker Buehler	@ TB	DART	—	5.2	—	tough TB lineup, hot recent form
Keider Montero	vs LAD	DART	—	5.0	—	tough LAD lineup, hot recent form, strong skills
Jake Bennett	@ NYY	DART	—	4.9	—	tough NYY lineup, shaky recent form, strong skills
Martín Pérez	vs COL	DART	—	4.2	—	average COL lineup, hitter park, weak skills

Openers filtered: Daniel Lynch IV

Quinn Mathewsvs PIT LHP5.6

PIT off .676 OPS · elite matchupskill 73 pctlL21: 8.0 ERA / 1.78 WHIPL14 contact +3.5 (.296 xwOBAcon-against, 28 BBE)~4.5 IP/startexp 5.36 ERA ↑ hurts (you 3.16)exp 1.72 WHIP ↑ hurts (you 1.11)GS 148/200 · Behind pace — stream aggressively

matchup

skill

form

win

park

📼 Streamer Report Card

Does the Streaming Board actually work? Every pick it showed, frozen at pick time and graded off the real box score. Two scoreboards below: first our own calls — the Verdict ladder and MIZ (our matchup score, 0–10) — then the outside lists behind them, BP (RelieverRecon's daily BP Streamers post) and PL (Pitcher List's tier ranking). Grades are recomputed from raw lines on every build — the rubric can change, the history follows.

Last 30d · 359 starts graded over 29 days · GOOD+ 51% · BLOWUP 16% · agg ERA 4.09 · WHIP 1.30 · 4.5 K/start · 388 picks logged, 13 never started, 16 awaiting a box score — not graded

Grade mix · all 359 graded starts

GEM 75 GOOD 109 OK 119 BLOWUP 56

GEM6+ IP, ≤1 ER · or 6+ IP, 8+ K, ≤2 ERGOODquality start (6+ IP, ≤3 ER) · or 5+ IP, ≤2 EROKheld the line without earning GOODBLOWUP5+ ER · or under 4 IP with 4+ ERGOOD+ = GEM + GOOD. A pick whose starter never took the ball grades to nothing and leaves every rate below.

Cohort	n	GOOD+	BLOWUP	ERA
Q1 — Do our own calls work? · Verdict ladder + MIZ bands · live board rows only, nothing backfilled
Verdict · AUTO START	22	73%	9%	3.06
Verdict · START	42	60%	7%	3.42
Verdict · DART	93	48%	15%	4.46
Verdict · SIT	172	47%	20%	4.42
MIZ ≥ 5.0	115	61%	12%	3.55
MIZ 3.5–4.9	115	50%	17%	4.51
MIZ < 3.5	84	39%	21%	4.88
All live board picks	329	51%	16%	4.20
Q1 read — GOOD+ falls 73% · 60% · 48% · 47% down the rungs, but BLOWUP does not rise with it, and MIZ sorts: GOOD+ falls 61% · 50% · 39% from the top band down.
Q2 — Which outside list earns the weight? · BP and PL graded on their own published lists · mostly rebuilt from git
PL · Auto Start	28	75%	7%	3.26
PL · Probably Start	36	58%	17%	3.84
PL · Questionable Start	90	52%	13%	4.08
PL · Do Not Start	179	49%	19%	4.21
BP · Auto	14	36%	7%	3.94
BP · Likely	54	46%	19%	4.35
All graded picks	359	51%	16%	4.09
Q2 read — against the 51% all-picks baseline, PL's top tiers clear it (75% · 58%) and BP's top tiers are too thin to call (36% · 46% on n=14 · n=54).

Rows are overlapping lenses on the same picks, not a partition — one start can be a PL Auto Start and a Verdict SIT at once, so they never sum to the headline; each group is read against its own baseline row.

⚠ Dissent check — the override is ahead so far — 67% GOOD+ on n=9. Splits are picks the board started over our MIZ sit-call (vs 51% for all live picks).

Calibration — do our numbers mean anything? · full season, 2026-06-29→2026-08-27 · 848 graded picks · MIZ on 314, BP on 230, Verdict on 329

The ladder above asks whether the tiers sort. This asks the harder question: is the number a probability — when the board says 7, do 70% of those starts come back GOOD+? Bins are equal-count and merge until every one clears n=15; the walk-forward rows are scored against a model that only ever saw earlier days.

Score bin	n	mean	GOOD+	95% CI
MIZ score → P(GOOD+) · our matchup score, 0–10 · live rows only · n=314
MIZ 0.5–3.2	65	2.5	38%	28%–51%
MIZ 3.3–3.9	65	3.6	48%	36%–60%
MIZ 4.0–4.8	62	4.4	52%	39%–64%
MIZ 4.9–5.6	63	5.2	52%	40%–64%
MIZ 5.7–8.9	59	6.5	68%	55%–78%
All MIZ-scored picks	314	—	51%	—
BP score → P(GOOD+) · RelieverRecon's published rating · includes git-backfilled rows · n=230
BP 4.6–6.6	48	6.1	35%	23%–50%
BP 6.7–7.3	44	7.0	52%	38%–66%
BP 7.4–7.7	47	7.5	45%	31%–59%
BP 7.8–8.4	47	8.1	47%	33%–61%
BP 8.5–10.0	44	9.1	43%	30%–58%
All BP-scored picks	230	—	44%	—
Verdict tier → P(GOOD+) · the consensus call itself · live rows only
AUTO START	22	—	73%	52%–87%
START	42	—	60%	44%–73%
DART	93	—	48%	38%–58%
SIT	172	—	47%	40%–55%

Out-of-sample	n	value	vs
Walk-forward probability · logistic on MIZ, refit daily on earlier days only · from 2026-08-05 · 22 days
Brier — our probability	250	0.247	lower is better
Brier — flat base rate to date	250	0.256	we win by 0.009
Brier — verdict-tier history	250	0.254	we win by 0.007
Log loss — our probability	250	0.687	lower is better
ECE — our probability	250	0.061	5 equal-count bins
ECE bins · predicted p vs what actually happened
said 32%–48%	51	39%	off by 5%
said 48%–52%	49	43%	off by 7%
said 52%–57%	50	46%	off by 9%
said 57%–61%	50	52%	off by 6%
said 61%–74%	50	62%	off by 3%
Verdict — usable with caveats: ECE 0.061 over n=250 out-of-sample picks (≤0.03 well calibrated · ≤0.07 usable with caveats); edges the flat base rate on Brier (0.247 vs 0.256, a thin margin; log-loss ~coin-flip).

🔥 Today's Hitter Streamers

Top 10 FA bats for today's slate · score = split vs SP hand (35%) + SP softness (35%) + bat quality (15%) + trailing 15 days (10%) + park (5%) · facing an elite arm fades the score hard (feast on weak pitchers).

#	Hitter	Matchup	Why	Legs	Score
1	AUTO STARTAndrew Vaughn1B · 4% own	vs TEX · Bradford LHP	szn .341 xwOBAL15: 0.884 OPS (45 PA)L14 contact -0.9 (.351 xwOBAcon, 29 BBE)usually bats 4th (×1.05)beats 4 of 4 eligible startersBradford .349 allowed · soft SP1.03 OPS vs LHP (92 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	86
2	AUTO STARTTroy JohnstonRF · 4% own	@ ATL · Holmes RHP	szn .331 xwOBAL15: 1.052 OPS (31 PA)L14 contact +3.6 (.449 xwOBAcon, 21 BBE)usually bats 6th (×0.98)fills OF needbeats 6 of 8 eligible startersHolmes .337 allowed · soft SP0.814 OPS vs RHP (264 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	69
3	AUTO STARTDrew GilbertRF · 1% own	vs AZ · Drake LHP	szn .329 xwOBAL15: 0.963 OPS (41 PA)L14 contact +6.0 (.580 xwOBAcon, 26 BBE)usually bats 1st (×1.12)fills OF needbeats 5 of 6 eligible startersshort side vs LHP — 14% of ABDrake .430 allowed · soft SP0.142 OPS vs LHP (41 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	64
4	AUTO STARTDane MyersCF · 0% own	@ CHC · Peterson LHP	szn .315 xwOBAL15: 0.800 OPS (52 PA)L14 contact -1.9 (.328 xwOBAcon, 36 BBE)usually bats 3rd (×1.07)fills OF needbeats 5 of 6 eligible startersPeterson .338 allowed · soft SP0.83 OPS vs LHP (89 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	64
5	AUTO STARTMichael ConfortoLF · 0% own	vs CIN · Lowder RHP	szn .324 xwOBAL15: 0.916 OPS (31 PA)L14 contact +1.9 (.412 xwOBAcon, 18 BBE)usually bats 8th (×0.93)fills OF needbeats 4 of 6 eligible startersLowder .346 allowed · soft SP0.759 OPS vs RHP (200 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	59
6	AUTO STARTKyle Karros3B · 3% own	@ ATL · Holmes RHP	szn .338 xwOBAusually bats 5thbeats 2 of 3 eligible startersHolmes .337 allowed · soft SP0.768 OPS vs RHP (221 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	58
7	AUTO STARTDominic Smith1B · 2% own	vs COL · Sugano RHP	szn .299 xwOBAusually bats 7th (×0.95)beats 2 of 3 eligible startersSugano .395 allowed · soft SP0.736 OPS vs RHP (226 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	56
8	STARTJose SiriCF · 0% own	vs PHI · Painter RHP	szn .314 xwOBAL15: 0.409 OPS (34 PA)L14 contact +1.1 (.394 xwOBAcon, 17 BBE)usually bats 5thfills OF needbeats 3 of 6 eligible startersshort side vs RHP — 48% of ABPainter .336 allowed · soft SP0.812 OPS vs RHP (77 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	55
9	STARTGary SanchezC · 2% own	vs TEX · Bradford LHP	szn .343 xwOBAL15: 0.225 OPS (32 PA)L14 contact -5.0 (.203 xwOBAcon, 19 BBE)usually bats 5thbeats 1 of 2 eligible startersBradford .349 allowed · soft SP0.768 OPS vs LHP (90 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	53
10	STARTMike YastrzemskiRF · 1% own	vs COL · Sugano RHP	szn .311 xwOBAL15: 0.421 OPS (30 PA)L14 contact +2.0 (.415 xwOBAcon, 17 BBE)usually bats 7th (×0.95)fills OF needbeats 3 of 6 eligible startersSugano .395 allowed · soft SP0.712 OPS vs RHP (264 AB)	L15 bat SP L/R park	53

Tiers vs YOUR lineup tonight — median starter 59, worst Randy Arozarena (17). AUTO START = beats the median eligible starter.

TBD starter = neutral SP + split legs until the probable posts (refresh upgrades it). Splits need 30+ AB vs that hand. IL bats are excluded; bats who rarely start against tonight's hand are dropped. Doubleheaders: legs average the ends he plays, and everyday bats get up to a ×1.50 volume boost. Lineup slot scales the score by expected PAs from the bat's usual spot (leadoff ×1.12 … 9-hole ×0.90, modal over the last ~10 played days) — his typical order, not today's card, since that posts after waivers run.

🎯 FA Hitters — Top 5 recommended · every signal we track considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Randy Arozarena

1Mickey GasperC · Bos · 7.1%HEATER

88/99 heat, 23 BBE trusted sample, .429/.417 last 7/14, 5 HR, 12 RBI recent — dominant contact quality signal

Heat 88 · 23 BBE · ATC 10 PA · 0 HR · 0 SB · 0.225 · L7 0.429 · 2 HR · sim -0.1 pts

2Drew Gilbert

RF · SF · 0.6% · HEATER

81/99 heat, 26 BBE trusted sample, .58 xwOBAcon, 3 HR, 11 RBI L14 — quality meets production

Heat 81 · 26 BBE · ATC 79 PA · 2 HR · 1 SB · 0.228 · L7 0.333 · 2 HR · sim -0.1 pts

3Justin Crawford

CF · Phi · 3.6% · CATEGORY FIT

Only positive roto sim (+0.1), 5 SB projected RoS — addresses MIZ's lone live category need at SB rank 6

ATC 92 PA · 1 HR · 5 SB · 0.268 · L7 0.188 · 0 HR · sim +0.1 pts

4Colton Cowser

CF · Bal · 1.7% · HEATER

79/99 heat, 22 BBE, .463 xwOBAcon, 3 HR L14, .539 BA L7 — real contact surge with everyday PT

Heat 79 · 22 BBE · ATC 88 PA · 3 HR · 2 SB · 0.223 · L7 0.539 · 1 HR · sim -0.3 pts

5Colt Keith

1B · Det · 5.2% · HEATER

83/99 heat leads hitters, .467 xwOBAcon elite, 22 BBE — projection uplift incoming despite cold surface stats

Heat 83 · 22 BBE · ATC 105 PA · 3 HR · 1 SB · 0.259 · L7 0.083 · 0 HR · sim -0.1 pts

Passed on: Tristan Peters has eye-popping L7 raw stats (5 HR, .476 BA) but his 17-BBE flare lacks corroboration from projection (wRC+ 87) and sits on a ChW lineup offering little run-support floor.

💪 Hitter List Rankings

PL Top 150 hitters · your bats + top FAs.

On Hitter List · 17 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Hitter	MLB	Pos	Chg	AVG	xwOBA	HR	SB	RoS	Chu’s Take
18	Randy Arozarena	SEA	OF	-	.272	.348	20	20	123	Randy Arozarena is only hitting .238 in August, but his expected stats for this month suggest it should be closer to .280. I’m a little d…
19	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	DH	+2	.243	.367	40	3	128	When Kyle Schwarber is hot, he’s HOT. The Field of Dreams game was his second two-homer outing in his last five starts and facing the Twi…
39	Yandy Díaz	TB	1B	+10	.301	.354	19	3	123
40	Miguel Vargas	CHW	1B/3B	-10	.251	.390	29	13	113	Miguel Vargas continues to slump, and while there isn’t anything you should do about it from an add/drop perspective, it’s certainly frus…
57	Zach Neto	LAA	SS	+4	.237	.305	22	18	109
62	Royce Lewis	MIN	1B/2B/3B	+8	.234	.315	13	13	103
63	Cole Carrigg	COL	OF	+2	.265	.320	6	8	68
72	Jac Caglianone	KC	1B/OF	+23	.282	.362	23	6	107	Jac Caglianone has improved the strikeout rate in a huge way, and the ground ball rate is below 50%. All systems are GO.
77	Dansby Swanson	CHC	SS	+2	.216	.307	18	17	101
84	Ty France	SD	1B	+1	.288	.332	18	1	106
101	Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	1B/OF	+5	.245	.328	19	2	—
102	Jacob Wilson	ATH	SS	+8	.266	.282	7	4	—
112	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	C	+UR	.245	.336	12	0	97
114	Dylan Crews	WSH	OF	+15	.220	.319	10	8	88
117	Ryan Jeffers	MIN	C	+15	.276	.357	10	1	118
122	Andruw Monasterio	BOS	2B/SS	+15	.255	.302	6	4	92
126	Luis Rengifo	SD	2B/3B/OF	+17	.245	.304	4	6	87
133	Cam Smith	HOU	OF	+UR	.214	.321	17	10	100	OK, Cam Smith , go ahead, tease me one more time.
137	Abimelec Ortiz	WSH	1B/OF	+UR	.208	.324	5	0	87
139	Bryce Eldridge	SF	1B	-26	.252	.351	14	1	99	Bryce Eldridge is getting the ball in the air, but he’s not pulling it much and strikeouts have been an issue. He’s a solid hold in Dynas…
TS	Henry Bolte	Oak	OF	—	.272	.305	6	14	91	Henry Bolte (OF, ATH) — Playing every day but the results aren’t overly exciting (though playing a ton of lefties lately has helped).
TS	Jordan Lawlar	Ari	3B/OF	—	.290	.332	3	4	89	Jordan Lawlar (3B/OF, ARI) — Has a home run in back-to-back games on his rehab, but striking out a TON. Sounds like he’ll be back this we…
TS	Kaelen Culpepper	Min	SS	—	.333	.337	3	0	91	Kaelen Culpepper (SS, MIN) — Culpepper is off to a slow start and is sitting every third day or so, but can remain an upside stash if you…
TS	Pedro Ramirez	ChC	2B/3B	—	.286	.301	3	7	92	Pedro Ramirez (2B/3B, CHC) — Hitting well when he plays, which is not very often.
TS	Walker Jenkins	Min	OF	—	—	—	—	—	92	Walker Jenkins (OF, MIN) — Hitting extremely well in August (1.063 OPS), and the collapse of Larnach may give him a chance to break throu…
UR	James Wood	Wsh	OF	—	.265	.419	30	17	129	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.
UR	Ralphy Velazquez	Cle	1B	—	—	—	—	—	83	Not ranked or mentioned in this week's Hitter List.

🔥 Heat Board

Hottest ACTIVE free-agent bats by contact quality, 8/14–8/27 · Heat = percentile vs all MLB bats over the same window (xwOBAcon 30 · EV 20 · Brl 20 · HH 15 · K 10 · BB 5) · min 15 BBE to qualify (smaller samples live in the HM rail) · IL excluded.

Ryan Vilade

RF · TB · 0.2% own · xwOBAcon .651 · EV 97.5 · Brl 18.8% · 16 BBE

▲ .145 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.264	11	37	25	3
L14	.409	2	2	5	0

Mickey Gasper

C · Bos · 7.1% own · xwOBAcon .618 · EV 90.8 · Brl 26.1% · 23 BBE

▲ .142 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.275	5	19	17	0
L14	.417	5	12	6	0

Brett Baty

3B · NYM · 2.6% own · xwOBAcon .446 · EV 93.3 · Brl 11.8% · 17 BBE

▲ .112 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.221	8	40	45	5
L14	.333	0	2	3	0

Colt Keith

1B · Det · 5.2% own · xwOBAcon .467 · EV 93.8 · Brl 9.1% · 22 BBE

▼ .014 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.264	9	32	46	5
L14	.250	1	1	4	0

Esmerlyn Valdez

RF · Pit · 17.6% own · xwOBAcon .513 · EV 93.3 · Brl 17.6% · 17 BBE

▼ .006 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.249	15	42	36	0
L14	.243	1	3	6	0

Drew Gilbert

RF · SF · 0.6% own · xwOBAcon .580 · EV 91.9 · Brl 19.2% · 26 BBE

▲ .054 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.243	8	36	40	1
L14	.297	3	11	8	0

Andres Chaparro

1B · Wsh · 0.6% own · xwOBAcon .445 · EV 90.5 · Brl 24.0% · 25 BBE

▲ .083 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.250	9	33	27	0
L14	.333	3	5	6	0

Colton Cowser

CF · Bal · 1.7% own · xwOBAcon .463 · EV 93.5 · Brl 13.6% · 22 BBE

▲ .108 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.225	12	35	36	8
L14	.333	3	5	5	0

Xander Bogaerts

SS · SD · 18.6% own · xwOBAcon .337 · EV 94.5 · Brl 12.9% · 31 BBE

▼ .046 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.217	11	47	50	17
L14	.171	1	5	3	1

Patrick Bailey

C · Cle · 0.8% own · xwOBAcon .493 · EV 92.0 · Brl 6.2% · 16 BBE

▲ .046 BA vs SZN

	BA	HR	RBI	R	SB
SZN	.194	7	30	24	3
L14	.240	1	7	3	1

Honorable mention · hottest L7 (8/21–8/27), not yet on the board · tiny samples — peek, don't trust

Drew Cavanaugh

C · SF

.634 xwOBAcon

9 BBE · .267 L7

Hao-Yu Lee

3B · Det

.468 xwOBAcon

19 BBE · .227 L7

Tristan Peters

CF · ChW

.526 xwOBAcon

17 BBE · .476 L7

Ezequiel Tovar

SS · Col

.638 xwOBAcon

11 BBE · .357 L7

Elias Diaz

C · Tex

.386 xwOBAcon

11 BBE · .167 L7

Jonah Cox

CF · SF

.613 xwOBAcon

8 BBE · .385 L7

🎯 FA Pitchers — Top 5 recommended · every signal we track considered, ACTIVE only · Verdict: engine + model judgment · sim drop basis: Sandy Alcantara

1Andrew KittredgeRP · Bal · 1.8%BEST VALUE

Highest roto sim (+0.9), confirmed closer role, clean ratios protect ERA/WHIP supremacy.

Supp 71 · 19 BBE · ATC 11.0 IP · 1 W · 10 K · 3.87 · 1.21 · 2 SV · Closer · sim +0.9 pts

2Juan Morillo

RP · Ari · 2.7% · HEATER

93rd-pct suppression with confirmed closer role; +0.8 sim, saves upside with elite contact suppression.

Supp 93 · 10 BBE · ATC 10.0 IP · 1 W · 10 K · 3.83 · 1.35 · 1 SV · Closer · sim +0.8 pts

3Calvin Faucher

RP · Mia · 0.8% · CATEGORY FIT

+0.8 sim, confirmed closer, 80th-pct suppression; SV rank 3 needs volume against tight gap above.

Supp 80 · 13 BBE · ATC 11.0 IP · 1 W · 11 K · 3.96 · 1.39 · 1 SV · Closer · sim +0.8 pts

4Grayson Rodriguez

SP · LAA · 3.0% · HEATER

86th-pct suppression on 47 BBE trusted sample; 4 GS fit under aggressive-stream cap, +0.0 sim neutral.

Supp 86 · 47 BBE · ATC 25.0 IP · 2 W · 25 K · 4.30 · 1.31 · sim +0.0 pts

5Clay Holmes

SP · ChC · 29.2% · FLOOR

76th-pct suppression, 56 BBE trusted, 3.78 ERA safeguards ratio leads with reliable SP volume.

Supp 76 · 56 BBE · ATC 28.0 IP · 2 W · 23 K · 3.78 · 1.33 · sim -0.0 pts

Passed on: Joey Cantillo has elite 93rd-pct suppression but is slotted as RP with 0 SV role and 4.05 ERA projection that risks ratio dilution without saves upside to compensate.

⚾ Pitcher List Rankings

PL Top 100 SP · your arms + top FAs.

On Pitcher List · 6 yours · 10 FAs

Rank	Pitcher	MLB	Chg	ERA	xERA	K/9	RoS	Pollack’s Take
1	Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	-	1.73	2.00	13.2	3.32	Like a base set Charizard, Misiorowski’s not gonna stop being dope.
9	Blake Snell	LAD	+7	2.57	2.29	11.1	3.42	#HotSnellSummer is in full swing.
10	Dylan Cease	TOR	-1	2.37	2.68	13.0	3.45	Like a perfect burger without the condiments to hit all your macros, Cease gives you everything except for a stable WHIP due to his infla…
20	Kyle Harrison	MIL	+8	2.79	3.24	11.1	4.12	With a dominant outing, he muted our concerns, but Harrison’s still displaying decreased velocity and not commanding as well as he did in…
22	Eury Pérez	MIA	-4	3.17	3.67	9.7	3.87	Pérez has the stuff to be an ace, but there’s polishing to do in the command and game plan departments to unlock his full potential.
30	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	-4	3.38	3.64	6.7	4.19	Baseball’s premier innings eater hasn’t ruined his appetite.
38	Jacob Lopez	ATH	+6	4.98	3.36	8.6	4.63	It’s the 2025 hot streak all over again. Enjoy the ride, ya’ll!
39	Dustin May	MIL	-	4.56	4.20	8.5	4.09	May got Singled Out in a disastrous performance, but his stuff is still dope, and his new situation is ideal. Higher win chance, great de…
40	Walbert Ureña	LAA	-	2.94	3.44	8.7	4.54	Armed with upper-90s heaters and one of the best changeups in baseball, Ureña has hit few speed bumps. If that developing sweeper becomes…
45	Peter Lambert	HOU	-4	3.66	3.54	8.8	4.58	Lambert’s stumble last time was a product of being Singled Out . He’s been reliable all year, but we should be recognizing that Holly is …
46	Jared Jones	PIT	-8	4.76	3.67	10.2	3.99	The stuff is top-tier, but he’s still shaking off the Tommy John surgery rust with his command and the tight leash the Pirates have on hi…
54	Joey Cantillo	CLE	-8	3.70	3.97	9.6	4.05	Efficiency is a problem, but Cantillo is doing everything we want. More curveballs, faster fastballs, and supportive cutters. Throw more …
56	Shane Bieber	TOR	+14	4.37	5.94	7.1	4.19	Bieber is back in business. His heater looked awesome in The Trop, and his offspeed pitches are being the CSW monsters they need to be to…
57	Tyler Mahle	ATL	-	4.41	4.28	8.5	4.10	Mahle’s command and velocity have been stellar since returning from the IL in late June. He’s got an even better situation pitching in At…
58	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	-	3.51	3.75	6.2	4.60	Despite what the line suggests, Pfaadt’s last start wasn’t an end to his Vargas Rule . It was a textbook Careful, Icarus with a three-run…
59	Christian Scott	NYM	+1	3.73	3.97	11.2	3.94	Scott has been happy to show us his floor, but the stuff is still there to propel him up The List at a moment’s notice. It’s felt a littl…

🔒 Closer Chart

Save targets · roles + regression flags.

BLUEEntrenched closer (highest leverage)GREENNext man up / committee pieceYELLOWSetup, 8th-inning leverageORANGESpeculative / lower priorityMAGENTAHigh-upside future / multi-inning

	Pitcher	Tm	Role	SV	SVHD	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K/9	Rtg / Own
Yours on the chart
—	Andrés Muñoz	Seattle Mariners	CL	24	24	48.3	4.28	1.22	3.31	14.3	5.0 · —
—	Louis Varland	Toronto Blue Jays	CL	30	35	67.7	1.20	0.99	2.20 ↑	11.0	5.0 · —
—	Justin Martinez	Arizona Diamondbacks	FU	0	0	3.0	0.00	1.00	3.54 ↑	6.0	1.0 · —
Top 5 FA closers (by team rating)
—	Calvin Faucher	Miami Marlins	CL	2	16	56.3	3.99	1.37	3.72	10.1	3.5 · 1%
	Andrew Kittredge	Baltimore Orioles	CL	7	16	40.3	3.35	1.36	4.02	7.4	3.0 · 2%
	Juan Morillo	Arizona Diamondbacks	CL	2	19	52.3	2.24	1.01	2.29	10.3	1.0 · 3%
	Carson Seymour	San Francisco Giants	CL	1	5	18.3	4.91	1.53	6.45 ↑	6.9	1.0 · 0%
	Orlando Ribalta	Washington Nationals	CL	2	14	41.0	3.95	1.24	3.94	8.3	1.0 · 0%

ERA cell: green <3.00 · red >4.50. xERA arrow: ↓ ERA likely to fall (buy) · ↑ ERA likely to rise (sell). Triggers when |xERA−ERA| ≥ 1.00.

✂️ Cut List

Drop priority · value, form, pedigree, role.

49	Royce Lewis 3B · Min low TV (18) sim cost ~0	TV 18 Rd 13
39	Justin Martinez RP · Ari low TV (16); BUT fresh-callup upside; BUT strong RoS (3.46 ERA) sim −0.10% win if cut	TV 16 UFDA
19	Ryan Jeffers C · Min mid TV (36); BUT top-tier keeper; BUT young breakout signal sim cost ~0	TV 36 UFDA
15	Kyle Harrison SP · Mil mid TV (60); UFDA — easy to drop; BUT top-tier keeper sim cost ~0	TV 60 UFDA
11	Yandy Diaz 1B · TB BUT AVG specialist (0.301); BUT strong RoS (123 wRC+) sim cost ~0	TV 73 Rd 9

Higher score = drop sooner — top 5 by score, and only 8+ reaches the board, so the number has no ceiling and is only comparable within this list. The sim line is a roto-sim marginal (cut vs. keep on one shared set of draws), not a measured cost. Pedigree + named closers shielded.

🌱 Stash List

PL's top prospects · grab them cheap.

Hitters

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 22: Top 10 Hitting Prospects to Stash

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + PSS + PFV + age + 40-man + path.

24 available — 2 yours

W. Jenkins YOURS

OF · MIN · AAA · 21 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

14·17·.323

R. Velazquez YOURS

1B/C · CLE · AA · 20 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

27·2·.289

J. Tibbs III

OF · LAD · AAA · 23 · knocking on the door

100

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

27·7·.295

S. Thompson

OF · COL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

12·16·.302

F. Arias

SS · BOS · AAA · 20 · knocking on the door

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

23·6·.313

L. Montes

OF · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

37·8·.248

M. Anderson

2B · DET · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

16·5·.309

J. Melton

OF · TB · AAA · 25 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

7·26·.298

C. Cannarella

OF · MIA · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

13·20·.340

B. Davidson

OF · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

25·19·.284

Z. Hope

OF · DET · AA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

26·22·.275

E. Salas

C · SDP · AAA · 20 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

September

Szn

10·16·.295

M. Arroyo

SS · SEA · AAA · 21 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

days

Szn

18·16·.281

Y. Morales

3B · WSN · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

24·5·.288

S. King

SS/2B/3B · WSN · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·14·.321

R. Ward

LF · LAD · AAA · 28 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

20·7·.252

P. Harber

3B · SFG · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

'27

Szn

17·4·.288

C. Ingle

C · CLE · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

1-3wk

Szn

18·2·.287

H. Mendez

OF · MIN · AAA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

12·4·.278

J. Long

1B · CHC · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

13·3·.278

K. Alderman

OF · MIA · AAA · 23 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

18·10·.264

E. Arroyo

SS · CIN · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

15·14·.288

J. Made

SS · MIL · AA · 19 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

Sept

Szn

13·34·.272

D. Crisantes

2B/3B · ARI · AAA · 21 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

4-8wk

Szn

9·0·.293

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

Pitchers

Yours first · call-ups · then RI. Yours in green.

Source: The Stash List Week 22: Top 10 Pitching Prospects to Stash in 2026

Yours first, then ⚡ call-ups, then Readiness & Impact (RI) — level + L3 quality + FV + age + 40-man + path.

27 available

L. Perales

SP · WSN · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

100K·3.94

H. Smith

SP · CHW · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

August 1st

Szn

101K·3.84

C. Seymour

SP · SFG · AAA · 27 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

84K·4.01

R. Snelling

SP · MIA · AAA · 22 · ↗ called up

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

46K·2.38

A. Kelly

SP · PIT · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

70K·4.21

J. Tong

SP · NYM · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

125K·4.75

T. Johnson

SP · TBR · AAA · 24 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

80K·2.90

T. Bremner

SP · LAA · AA · 22 · nearly ready

PSS

PFV

ETA

'26

Szn

84K·4.26

M. Bratt

SP · ARI · AAA · 22 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

79K·3.33

D. Davalillo

SP · TEX · AAA · 24 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

91K·5.01

J. Ritchie

SP · ATL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

114K·3.83

G. Wood

P · PHI · AA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

'26

Szn

117K·4.11

C. Crow

SP · MIL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

97K·3.82

M. Forret

SP · BAL · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

115K·3.85

T. McDougal

SP · CHW · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

47K·4.75

B. Garrett

SP · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

June 1st

Szn

101K·3.68

M. Wilkinson

SP · SFG · AAA · 23 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

98K·3.57

R. Sloan

SP · SEA · AA · 20 · on the climb

PSS

100

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

111K·3.63

B. Mautz

SP · STL · AAA · 24 · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

91K·3.86

C. Dana

SP · LAA · AAA · 22 · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

72K·5.90

M. Ullola

SP · HOU · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

94K·4.41

J. Wenninger

SP · NYM · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

104K·4.17

O. Murphy

SP · ATL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

119K·3.95

B. Hopkins

SP · TBR · on the climb

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

111K·5.52

T. Gibson

SP · BAL · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

98K·5.13

K. Curtis

SP · PIT · ↩ sent down

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

109K·4.65

L. Braun

SP · ATL · developing

PSS

PFV

ETA

—

Szn

101K·3.72

Tap a player for the full cardFA — stashablefar awayinactive / hurtgreen wash = yours · bar = RI heat

🔭 10 not a 2026 factor — Liam Doyle · Anthony Eyanson · Christian Zazueta · Jamie Arnold · Joseph Dzierwa · Jaxon Wiggins · Jurrangelo Cijntje · Tyson Hardin · Jonathan Santucci · Karson Milbrandt

💼 Trades

Buy-low targets · league trade history.

Top Buy-Lows

Rebound candidates · suggested offers.

Hitters

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
📈 BUY-LOW	Trent Grisham CF · NYY · RAGE · glhoward40 +1.2σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.217 / xBA 0.247 · xwOBA 0.341	33%	113 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 41 vs target 37)
📈 BUY-LOW	JJ Bleday CF · Cin · RAGE · glhoward40 +1.3σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.219 / xBA 0.245 · xwOBA 0.351	24%	104 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 24 vs target 27)
📈 BUY-LOW	Ronald Acuna Jr. RF · Atl · GoOs · My Best Guys +1.2σ buy-low · RF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.228 / xBA 0.251 · xwOBA 0.357	98%	136 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Blake Snell SP + +$3 FAAB · comparable value (TV 80 vs target 86)
📈 BUY-LOW	Heriberto Hernandez LF · Mia · FRAN · francisw789 +1.1σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.234 / xBA 0.250 · xwOBA 0.350	4%	99 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 17 vs target 23)
↑ mild buy	Taylor Ward LF · Sea · GoOs · My Best Guys +0.6σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.231 / xBA 0.244 · xwOBA 0.339	61%	118 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 60)
↑ mild buy	Kyle Stowers LF · Mia · KNIG · TKHOO +0.7σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.242 / xBA 0.233 · xwOBA 0.330	28%	111 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Bryce Eldridge 1B · comparable value (TV 24 vs target 27)
↑ mild buy	Brandon Nimmo LF · Tex · DORN · Lambertmt48 +0.6σ buy-low · LF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.259 / xBA 0.280 · xwOBA 0.355	67%	119 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 41 vs target 45)
↑ mild buy	Dominic Canzone RF · Sea · GARR · jregarris +0.6σ buy-low · RF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.256 / xBA 0.269 · xwOBA 0.355	12%	113 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Henry Bolte RF + Bryce Eldridge 1B + +$3 FAAB · two-piece package (TV 28 vs target 34)
📈 BUY-LOW	Mike Trout OF · LAA · KNIG · TKHOO +1.4σ buy-low · OF — fits a need · BA 0.241 / xBA 0.254 · xwOBA 0.383	94%	127 wRC+	≈ 0.1%	Sandy Alcantara SP · comparable value (TV 72 vs target 77)
↑ mild buy	Oneil Cruz CF · Pit · PEYT · simplejack2k9 +1.0σ buy-low · CF — strong fit (current need) · BA 0.257 / xBA 0.252 · xwOBA 0.361	83%	105 wRC+	≈ 0.0%	Kyle Harrison SP · comparable value (TV 60 vs target 61)

Pitchers

Verdict	Target	Own	RoS	Title Δ	Suggested offer
📈 BUY-LOW	Kodai Senga SP · NYM · KRTZ · FratSkins +1.5σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 7.79 vs xERA 4.97	10%	3.96 ERA	≈ 0.1%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 17 vs target 14)
↑ mild buy	Freddy Peralta SP · TB · KNIG · TKHOO +0.7σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 5.11 vs xERA 3.97	69%	4.01 ERA	≈ 0.0%	Royce Lewis 3B + Bryce Eldridge 1B · two-piece package (TV 41 vs target 43)
↑ mild buy	Bryce Miller SP · Sea · BLOB · crenshawh19 +0.6σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 4.12 vs xERA 3.17	36%	4.10 ERA	≈ 0.0%	Jac Caglianone RF · comparable value (TV 52 vs target 48)
↑ mild buy	Andrew Painter SP · Phi · KRTZ · FratSkins +0.8σ buy-low · SP — fits a need · ERA 6.04 vs xERA 4.81	15%	4.78 ERA	≈ 0.0%	Royce Lewis 3B · comparable value (TV 17 vs target 14)

League History

Completed trades · frozen grade at the deal + live grade now.

Side	Sent	At deal	Now	Trend
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Andy Pages	A- +7	A+ +44	▲ up
Camp MVP	Pete Crow-Armstrong	C -7	F -44	▼ down
Team Knighton ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-08-17
Team Knighton	Matthew Boyd	F -22	F -22
Camp MVP	Kenley Jansen	A+ +22	A+ +22
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Worst2First 2026-08-10
Miz-waukee’s Best	Charlie Condon, Payton Tolle	A+ +50	A+ +35	▼ down
Worst2First	Dylan Cease	F -50	F -35	▲ up
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Dorn and Associates LLC 2026-08-05
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Travis Bazzana, George Lombard Jr., Nolan McLean	A+ +144	A+ +107	▼ down
Dorn and Associates LLC	Jackson Chourio, Jhoan Duran, Brice Turang, David Bednar	F -144	F -107	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-07-31
Miz-waukee’s Best	Samuel Basallo, Kade Anderson	A- +8	A +9
Ramirez Against the Machine	Blake Snell	C -8	D -9
Photogenic Nick Kurtz ⇄ Team Knighton 2026-07-23
Photogenic Nick Kurtz	Jo Adell, Jacob deGrom	F -49	F -63	▼ down
Team Knighton	Trea Turner	A+ +49	A+ +63	▲ up
Ramirez Against the Machine ⇄ Miz-waukee’s Best 2026-07-19
Ramirez Against the Machine	Sandy Alcantara	F -42	F -68	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best	Josh Jung	A+ +42	A+ +68	▲ up
I need Buck Showalter ⇄ Hit the Damn Ball You Bums 2026-06-19
I need Buck Showalter	Nasim Nunez	A+ +28	B +1	▼ down
Hit the Damn Ball You Bums	Justin Wrobleski	F -28	B -1	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ The Boys of Summer 2026-06-12
Miz-waukee’s Best	Chandler Simpson	A +10	A- +7	▼ down
The Boys of Summer	$30 FAAB	D -10	C -7	▲ up
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Camp MVP 2026-05-01
Miz-waukee’s Best	Kenley Jansen	—	A- +6
Camp MVP	$30 FAAB	A- +3	C -6	▼ down
Miz-waukee’s Best ⇄ Ramirez Against the Machine 2026-04-22
Miz-waukee’s Best	Nathan Eovaldi, $70 FAAB	—	F -15
Ramirez Against the Machine	Jac Caglianone	A+ +60	A+ +15	▼ down

🔻 Sell-High — My Roster

Surface line outrunning the underlying skill — trade-value peaks. σ = his surface-stat z-score minus his Statcast-skill z-score, both against the league reference for his side — bigger σ = further ahead of the skill. Pair with Buy-Low Targets.

Verdict	Player	Own	Surface vs expected	Contact	2027 keeper
↓ SHOP	Henry Bolte RF · Oak 0.69σ sell-high · RF · BA 0.272 / xBA 0.242 · xwOBA 0.305 — test the market, don't force it	4%	BA 0.272 / xBA 0.242 +.030 wOBA 0.324 / xwOBA 0.305 +.019	HH 47.4% · Brl/PA 4.3%	25th · +2 rds vs mkt
↓ SHOP	Yandy Diaz 1B · TB 0.63σ sell-high · 1B · BA 0.301 / xBA 0.286 · xwOBA 0.354 — test the market, don't force it	93%	BA 0.301 / xBA 0.286 +.015 wOBA 0.361 / xwOBA 0.354 +.007	HH 47.1% · Brl/PA 5.1%	7th · +1 rd vs mkt
HOLD — KEEPER PRICE	Louis Varland RP · Tor 0.43σ sell-high · RP · ERA 1.20 vs xERA 2.20 — only move for keeper-grade return	86%	ERA 1.20 / xERA 2.20 -1.00	Brl 4.3% allowed	22nd · +16 rds vs mkt

👥 Your Roster

Your roster · news + buy/sell signals.

News (last 24h)

Player news · last 24h.

Walker Jenkins Fantasy baseball news and notes: Ailing Arenado sits for Arizona and more for Friday
Fri 08-28 02:33 PM
All of the important fantasy spin and actionable takeaways resulting from the latest baseball news.
Jacob Misiorowski Jackson Chourio and Jacob Misiorowski lead the Brewers to an 8-2 victory over the Mets
Fri 08-28 02:42 AM
— Jackson Chourio went 4 for 5 with two homers, four RBI and four runs to help Jacob Misiorowski and the Milwaukee Brewers beat the New York Mets 8-2 on Thursday night.
Jac Caglianone Caglianone goes 5 for 6 with HR, 6 RBIs to power the Royals past the Blue Jays 13-2
Fri 08-28 02:13 AM
— Jac Caglianone had a homer among his career-best five hits and finished with a career-high six RBI, Noah Cameron pitched six strong innings and the Kansas City Royals beat the Toronto Blue Jays 13-2 on Thursday night.
Walker Jenkins Twins call up top prospect Jenkins with Buxton's status unclear
Fri 08-28 12:41 AM
The Twins have called up top prospect Walker Jenkins, with the status of All-Star center fielder Byron Buxton unclear.

Leverage Buys/Sells

Buy/sell windows · surface vs. underlying.

Hitters

Player	Pos	MLB	BA	xBA	wOBA	xwOBA	Brl%	Own%	Signal
James Wood IL10	LF	Wsh	0.265	0.275	0.395	0.419	100.0	99.1	📈 BUY-LOW
Miguel Vargas	3B	ChW	0.251	0.268	0.371	0.390	93.0	95.2	📈 BUY-LOW
Kyle Schwarber	DH	Phi	0.243	0.238	0.379	0.367	98.0	99.5	📈 BUY-LOW
Bryce Eldridge	1B	SF	0.252	0.252	0.343	0.351	76.0	8.0	↑ mild buy
Jac Caglianone	RF	KC	0.282	0.282	0.358	0.362	94.0	57.0	fair
Zach Neto	SS	LAA	0.237	0.209	0.328	0.305	78.0	60.5	fair
Yandy Diaz	1B	TB	0.301	0.286	0.361	0.354	41.0	92.6	↓ mild fade
Cole Carrigg	CF	Col	0.265	0.251	0.345	0.320	—	14.0	fair
Ryan Jeffers	C	Min	0.276	0.256	0.372	0.357	74.0	40.7	fair
Randy Arozarena	LF	Sea	0.272	0.260	0.366	0.348	50.0	93.8	fair
Henry Bolte	RF	Oak	0.272	0.242	0.324	0.305	45.0	4.2	↓ mild fade
Kaelen Culpepper	SS	Min	0.333	0.267	0.392	0.337	—	5.2	fair
Royce Lewis	3B	Min	0.234	0.243	0.308	0.315	73.0	16.9	↑ mild buy
Walker Jenkins	CF	Min	—	—	—	—	—	8.0	—
Jordan Lawlar	3B	Ari	0.290	0.270	0.366	0.332	—	3.2	fair
Ralphy Velazquez	1B	Cle	—	—	—	—	—	0.8	—
Pedro Ramirez	3B	ChC	0.286	0.266	0.335	0.301	—	1.9	fair

Pitchers

Pitcher	Pos	MLB	IP	ERA	WHIP	xERA	K-BB%	xwOBA-a	Brl%-a	Own%	Signal
Blake Snell	SP	LAD	21.0	2.57	1.05	2.29	19.5	0.236	0.0	88.3	↑ mild buy
Andres Munoz	RP	Sea	48.3	4.28	1.22	3.31	27.9	0.283	9.4	80.2	↑ mild buy
Joe Ryan IL15	SP	Min	125.7	4.08	1.15	3.49	21.2	0.290	10.5	90.0	fair
Jacob Misiorowski	SP	Mil	151.0	1.73	0.75	2.00	32.7	0.220	3.6	99.6	fair
Dylan Cease	SP	Tor	144.3	2.37	1.06	2.68	25.0	0.255	4.6	99.4	fair
Sandy Alcantara	SP	Mia	183.7	3.38	1.18	3.64	11.6	0.296	5.3	91.3	fair
Kyle Harrison	SP	Mil	103.3	2.79	1.12	3.24	23.6	0.280	6.8	77.8	fair
Eury Perez	SP	Mia	127.7	3.17	1.11	3.67	16.5	0.297	9.1	84.2	fair
Louis Varland	RP	Tor	67.7	1.20	0.99	2.20	24.6	0.231	4.3	86.4	↓ mild fade
Justin Martinez	RP	Ari	3.0	0.00	1.00	3.54	0.0	0.292	0.0	1.7	—

📰 MLB News — Top Fantasy Stories

🔒 Keepers — 2027 Slate

Peter's model (additive): rounds-saved (cost arbitrage spine) + current skill + career-grade pedigree + sample stability + Statcast over/under-performance trend, with age-decline (33+), closer/RP, and top-30 talent adjustments. Heavy on bargain-hunting.
Claude's model (multiplicative dynasty index): EFV(2027) = (3 + skill + upside) × age_mult × pos_mult; score = EFV − cost_replacement − mookie-lock. Compounds age curve and position scarcity.
Sorted by consensus rank (average of both models). MLB-inactive players surfaced in 🚑 Return Watch below.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict	Notes
1.0	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	21st	#1 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51	UFDA-G FV 55
3.0	Louis Varland	RP · 28yo	22nd	#3 (+21.3)	#3 (+27.1)	S · $27
3.5	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	25th	#2 (+22.6)	#5 (+18.5)	S · $18	UFDA
4.5	Eury Perez	SP · 23yo	20th	#5 (+19.6)	#4 (+24.0)	S · $24	UFDA-G
4.5	Zach Neto	SS · 25yo	10th	#7 (+15.5)	#2 (+30.7)	S · $31
5.0	Kyle Harrison	SP · 24yo	25th	#4 (+20.2)	#6 (+17.1)	A · $17	UFDA
6.5	Bryce Eldridge	1B · 20yo	25th	#6 (+16.0)	#7 (+13.7)	A · $14	UFDA FV 55
8.5	Jac Caglianone	RF · 22yo	21st	#8 (+12.5)	— (+9.1)	B · $9	UFDA-G FV 55
8.5	Dylan Cease	SP · 30yo	4th	— (+11.9)	#8 (+11.7)	A · $12

NEW UFDA cap: Peter 3/3 · Claude 3/3 · BOTH = top 8 in both models. Peter only = his model values cost surplus more; Claude only = mine values projection / position scarcity more.

🚑 Return watch — would be keeper-eligible if they get MLB action this year. Rank shown is hypothetical (where they'd slot if eligible).

Player	Pos · Age	Cost	Peter (if elig.)	Claude (if elig.)
Walker Jenkins	CF · 20yo	25th	#14 (+0.0)	#12 (+1.6)
Ralphy Velazquez	1B · 19yo	25th	#15 (-2.0)	#12 (+1.4)

Updated Fri Aug 28 · 11:33 AM ET

🌍 League-Wide Top Keepers

Top 10 keepers · all 12 teams · both models. Yours in green.

Cons Rank	Player	Pos · Age	Team	2027 Cost	Peter	Claude	Verdict
3.0	Jesus Luzardo	SP · 28yo	KNIG	21st	#1 (+27.7)	#5 (+33.4)	S · $33
3.0	Bryan Baker	RP · 31yo	DORN	25th	#3 (+25.2)	#3 (+38.7)	S · $39
3.5	Jacob Misiorowski	SP · 22yo	MIZ	21st	#6 (+24.4)	#1 (+50.8)	S · $51
4.5	Geraldo Perdomo	SS · 26yo	DORN	21st	#5 (+25.0)	#4 (+33.4)	S · $33
5.0	Jordan Walker	RF · 24yo	GARR	25th	#2 (+25.5)	#8 (+29.9)	S · $30
6.5	Cam Schlittler	SP · 24yo	KRTZ	19th	— (+20.3)	#2 (+40.8)	S · $41
7.5	Payton Tolle	SP · 22yo	FRST	25th	#4 (+25.0)	— (+21.2)	S · $21
8.0	Nolan McLean	SP · 23yo	DORN	20th	#10 (+22.4)	#6 (+32.7)	S · $33
9.0	Ben Rice	1B · 27yo	DORN	20th	#7 (+23.3)	— (+24.0)	S · $24
9.0	Zach Neto	SS · 25yo	MIZ	10th	— (+15.5)	#7 (+30.7)	S · $31
9.5	Miguel Vargas	3B · 26yo	MIZ	25th	#8 (+22.6)	— (+18.5)	S · $18
10.0	Jose Soriano	SP · 27yo	BLOB	25th	#9 (+22.5)	— (+19.8)	S · $20
10.0	Foster Griffin	SP · 30yo	GoOs	25th	— (+21.8)	#9 (+29.9)	S · $30
10.5	Louis Varland	RP · 28yo	MIZ	22nd	— (+21.3)	#10 (+27.1)	S · $27

Updated Fri Aug 28 · 11:33 AM ET

🏚️ Keeper Cupboards

Every team's six best keepers · shade = dual-model consensus value. Cupboard score weights the top four heavily (the slots that get kept), keepers 5–8 taper. 100 = league's best cupboard.

Team	K1	K2	K3	K4	K5	K6	Cupboard
1MIZ	MisiorowskiR21	VarlandR22	VargasR25	PerezR20	NetoR10	HarrisonR25	100
2DORN	BakerR25	PerdomoR21	RiceR20	McLeanR20	WarrenR25	EdmanR25	97
3GARR	WalkerR25	MessickR18	RocchioR25	DinglerR22	CanzoneR25	GoreR8	77
4KNIG	LuzardoR21	MartinezR25	deGromR13	AbreuR15	RodriguezR25	DuranR25	69
5FRAN	CavalliR21	LatzR25	BradishR21	BurnsR5	AntonacciR25	McClanahanR17	67
6KRTZ	SchlittlerR19	BurkeR25	McGonigleR17	StewartR10	IIR5	ColeR11	62
7BLOB	SorianoR25	LopezR20	ScottR25	LileR15	SuarezR12	BurgerR19	61
8THAR	RasmussenR8	GonzalesR25	O'BrienR17	WilliamsR11	MizeR19	LeeR25	60
9GoOs	GriffinR25	BradleyR25	BurlesonR9	ReynoldsR10	BaldwinR14	WachaR25	59
10FRST	TolleR25	RouppR25	WheelerR8	ElderR25	SkubalR1	DurbinR17	56
11PEYT ▼ thin	SanchezR9	HendersonR25	WooR8	CameronR18	WetherholtR13	NolaR16	53
12RAGE ▼ thin	HerreraR20	CamineroR5	BledayR25	LeeR21	BibeeR14	BohmR18	44

The bottom two rows are your trade marks — thin cupboards pay up for keepable pieces.

data: snap 4h · BP 3d · PL 3d · HL 13d · PSS 5h · BR 0h · FG 2h · proj 2h · closer 0h · oyster 23h · AAA-sc 13h · cookie ok